Result
0:2
19/04/2026 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Pro - Round 9
- Referee: Diaz A. (Ecu)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Chile | Zapping Sports |
Ecuador | Zapping, Zapping Sports, Zapping Sports+ |
Peru | Zapping Sports |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.76 | 0.69 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 70% | 30% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 31 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (454/515) | 77% (183/239) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.76 | 0.69 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.45 | 0.85 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 31 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 14 | 1 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 11 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 18 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 12 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 46 | 9 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (454/515) | 77% (183/239) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 68% (34/50) | 48% (22/46) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 80% (123/154) | 61% (41/67) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 35% (19/55) | 40% (2/5) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.21 | 0.19 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 26 | 11 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 6 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 46% (6/13) | 60% (6/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 13 | 54 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.85 | 0.45 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.15 | 0.45 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 2', 0 - 1, Pretell J. ⚽, Quinonez Y. (A),
- 7', Quintero J. 🟨,
- 38', Cornejo F. ↓, Minda K. ↑,
- 42', Sornoza J. 🟨,
- 42', Pretell J. 🟨,
- 43', Mina R. ↓, Allala Menendez G. F. ↑,
- 43', Minda K. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Deyverson ↓, Estrada M. ↑,
- 49', Segovia L. 🟨,
- 57', 0 - 2, Corozo J. ⚽, Estrada M. (A),
- 63', Quinonez Y. ↓, Caicedo J. ↑,
- 63', Pretell J. ↓, Luna Tobar C. ↑,
- 65', Rodriguez A. ↓, Pata E. ↑,
- 71', Briones R. ↓, Angulo J. ↑,
- 81', Romero Padilla D. A. ↓, Guagua D. ↑,
- 81', Perello M. ↓, Reasco D. ↑,
- 90+1', Estrada M. 🟨,
- 90+3', Angulo J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Independiente del Valle 49.3% | Draw 27.4% | LDU Quito 23.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Independiente del Valle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)LDU Quito has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente del Valle than the current prediction. (+6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Independiente del Valle, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for LDU Quito than the current prediction. (-3%)
Independiente del Valle - LDU Quito Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.88 ↑ (1.72) |
3.37 ↓ (3.72) |
4 ↓ (4.51) |
7.8% (7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Independiente del Valle - LDU Quito?
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Ind del Valle will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). LDU Quito will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: ) and 12 in the zone Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ind del Valle won 1.
- Ind del Valle has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In recent matches, LDU Quito has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- LDU Quito may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Ind del Valle is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ind del Valle won 6 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 23:25. (average 1.2:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ind del Valle won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:9. (average 1.2:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Independiente del Valle won against LDU Quito?
Independiente del Valle has won 1 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has LDU Quito won against Independiente del Valle?
LDU Quito has won 6 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente del Valle - LDU Quito were as follows:
10.12.2025
Independiente del Valle
-
LDU Quito
0:0
28.11.2025
LDU Quito
-
Independiente del Valle
2:1
22.06.2025
LDU Quito
-
Independiente del Valle
1:1
22.02.2025
Independiente del Valle
-
LDU Quito
1:1
14.12.2024
Independiente del Valle
-
LDU Quito
1:0
Latest results of Independiente del Valle
Latest results of LDU Quito
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. del Valle | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 19:11 | 8 | 25 |
| 2 | U. Catolica | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 19:5 | 14 | 22 |
| 3 | Aucas | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 12:8 | 4 | 19 |
| 4 | Barcelona SC | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 12:9 | 3 | 19 |
| 5 | Guayaquil City | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 10:10 | 0 | 18 |
| 6 | Mushuc Runa | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 15:12 | 3 | 16 |
| 7 | Macara | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 12:10 | 2 | 16 |
| 8 | LDU Quito | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 9:10 | -1 | 14 |
| 9 | Dep. Cuenca | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 12:15 | -3 | 14 |
| 10 | Emelec | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 9:13 | -4 | 14 |
| 11 | Orense | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 15:16 | -1 | 13 |
| 12 | Delfin | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 4:6 | -2 | 12 |
| 13 | Tecnico U | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 8:11 | -3 | 11 |
| 14 | Leones del Norte | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 8:12 | -4 | 10 |
| 15 | Libertad | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 8:14 | -6 | 10 |
| 16 | Manta | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 3:13 | -10 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )