Independiente del Valle vs LDU Quito – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
19/04/2026 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Pro - Round 9
  • Referee: Diaz A. (Ecu)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
chileChileZapping Sports
ecuadorEcuadorZapping, Zapping Sports, Zapping Sports+
peruPeruZapping Sports

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.760.69
Ball possession
70%30%
Total shots
317
Shots on target
65
Big chances
11
Corner kicks
181
Passes
88% (454/515)77% (183/239)
Yellow cards
25
Expected goals (xG)
1.760.69
xG on target (xGOT)
0.450.85
Total shots
317
Shots on target
65
Shots off target
141
Blocked shots
111
Shots inside the box
184
Shots outside the box
123
Hit the woodwork
10
Big chances
11
Corner kicks
181
Touches in opposition box
469
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
30
Free kicks
166
Passes
88% (454/515)77% (183/239)
Long passes
68% (34/50)48% (22/46)
Passes in final third
80% (123/154)61% (41/67)
Crosses
35% (19/55)40% (2/5)
Expected assists (xA)
1.210.19
Throw ins
2611
Fouls
616
Tackles
46% (6/13)60% (6/10)
Duels won
5040
Clearances
1354
Interceptions
108
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
36
xGOT faced
0.850.45
Goals prevented
-1.150.45

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 2', 0 - 1, Pretell J. , Quinonez Y. (A),
  • 7', Quintero J. 🟨,
  • 38', Cornejo F. , Minda K. ,
  • 42', Sornoza J. 🟨,
  • 42', Pretell J. 🟨,
  • 43', Mina R. , Allala Menendez G. F. ,
  • 43', Minda K. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Deyverson , Estrada M. ,
  • 49', Segovia L. 🟨,
  • 57', 0 - 2, Corozo J. , Estrada M. (A),
  • 63', Quinonez Y. , Caicedo J. ,
  • 63', Pretell J. , Luna Tobar C. ,
  • 65', Rodriguez A. , Pata E. ,
  • 71', Briones R. , Angulo J. ,
  • 81', Romero Padilla D. A. , Guagua D. ,
  • 81', Perello M. , Reasco D. ,
  • 90+1', Estrada M. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Angulo J. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Independiente del Valle
49.3%
Draw
27.4%
LDU Quito
23.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.2% 25.1% 20.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.3% 24.6% 20.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Independiente del Valle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)
  • LDU Quito has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente del Valle than the current prediction. (+6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Independiente del Valle, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for LDU Quito than the current prediction. (-3%)
  • Independiente del Valle - LDU Quito Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.88
    (1.72)
    3.37
    (3.72)
    4
    (4.51)
    7.8%
    (7.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Independiente del Valle - LDU Quito?
  • Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Ind del Valle will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). LDU Quito will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: ) and 12 in the zone Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ind del Valle won 1.
    • Ind del Valle has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • In recent matches, LDU Quito has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • LDU Quito may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Ind del Valle is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ind del Valle won 6 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 23:25. (average 1.2:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Ind del Valle won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:9. (average 1.2:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente del Valle - LDU Quito were as follows:
    10.12.2025 Independiente del Valle - LDU Quito 0:0
    28.11.2025 LDU Quito - Independiente del Valle 2:1
    22.06.2025 LDU Quito - Independiente del Valle 1:1
    22.02.2025 Independiente del Valle - LDU Quito 1:1
    14.12.2024 Independiente del Valle - LDU Quito 1:0
    Latest results of LDU Quito
    14.04.2026 LDU Quito - Mirassol 2:0
    10.04.2026 Delfín - LDU Quito 1:0
    07.04.2026 Always Ready - LDU Quito 0:1
    21.03.2026 LDU Quito - Manta 1:0
    Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. del Valle1181219:11825
    2U. Catolica1164119:51422
    3Aucas1154212:8419
    4Barcelona SC1154212:9319
    5Guayaquil City1153310:10018
    6Mushuc Runa1144315:12316
    7Macara1144312:10216
    8LDU Quito114259:10-114
    9Dep. Cuenca1142512:15-314
    10Emelec114259:13-414
    11Orense1134415:16-113
    12Delfin113354:6-212
    13Tecnico U113268:11-311
    14Leones del Norte112458:12-410
    15Libertad112458:14-610
    16Manta112183:13-107

          Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
          Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
          Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )