The Town vs Ventura County: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS Next Pro
Soccer MLS Next Pro The Town - Ventura County
Result
2:1 penalties
29/06/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS Next Pro
The Town - Ventura County - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.390.47
Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
1210
Shots on target
45
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
54
Passes
87% (373/429)85% (391/462)
Yellow Cards
31
Expected Goals (xG)
1.390.47
xG on target (xGOT)
0.961.13
Total shots
1210
Shots on target
45
Shots off target
63
Blocked Shots
22
Shots inside the Box
65
Shots outside the Box
65
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
54
Touches in opposition box
2320
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
1313
Passes
87% (373/429)85% (391/462)
Long passes
58% (19/33)51% (38/74)
Passes in final third
75% (92/122)75% (101/135)
Crosses
6% (1/16)36% (5/14)
Expected assists (xA)
0.820.74
Throw-ins
915
Fouls
1313
Tackles
58% (7/12)50% (4/8)
Duels won
3833
Clearances
1515
Interceptions
58
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
43
xGOT faced
1.130.96
Goals prevented
0.13-0.04

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 52', Fernandez N. 🟨,
  • 62', Donnery J. ↓, Adimabua N. ↑,
  • 71', Rodriguez M. 🟨,
  • 82', Medina C. ↓, Rajagopal R. ↑,
  • 82', Rodriguez M. ↓, Walwyn-Bent K. ↑,
  • 86', Sullivan N. ↓, Bucknor J. ↑,
  • 88', 1 - 0, Mendoza E. (Pen),
  • 90', Miller H. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Dalgado R. ↓, Saribekyan L. ↑,
  • 90+1', Kocevski J. ↓, Garcia V. ↑,
  • 90+6', 1 - 1, Rindov C. ⚽, Musto T. (A),
  • 90+7', Mendoza E. 🟨,
  • Penalties (4 - 3)
  • 1, Musto T. (Pen),
  • 1, Adimabua N. (Pen),
  • 2, Pepe (Pen),
  • 2, Eisner W. (Pen),
  • 3, Miller H. (Pen),
  • 3, Fernandez N. (Pen),
  • 4, Lepley T. (Pen),
  • 4, Cano A. (Pen),
  • 5, Karani S. (Pen),
  • 5, Mbumba A. (Pen),

Chances of winning


The Town
47.6%		Draw
23.8%		Ventura County
28.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.2% 24.5% 29.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.1% 23.5% 28.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • The Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
  • Ventura County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for The Town than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ventura County than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
    •

    The Town - Ventura County Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.94 ↓
    (1.99)    		 3.88 ↑
    (3.74)    		 3.23 ↑
    (3.13)    		 8.5%
    (9.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    •
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • Now, both teams are in good form.
    • Ventura County may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, The Town has had a series of away games.
    • The Town could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, The Town won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:4. (average 3.5:2).
    • Including home match between the teams, The Town won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between The Town - Ventura County were as follows:
    28.07.2024 Ventura County - The Town 0:4
    30.06.2024 The Town - Ventura County 3:4
    Latest results of The Town
    22.06.2025 St. Louis City 2 - The Town 3:1
    08.06.2025 The Town - Vancouver Whitecaps 2 Postponed
    01.06.2025 Los Angeles II - The Town 1:2
    25.05.2025 Colorado Rapids 2 - The Town 0:3
    18.05.2025 Sporting Kansas City II - The Town 0:1
    Latest results of Ventura County
    15.06.2025 Minnesota United 2 - Ventura County 0:2
    11.06.2025 Portland Timbers 2 - Ventura County 2:3
    01.06.2025 Ventura County - Real Monarchs 4:3 ✺
    18.05.2025 Vancouver Whitecaps 2 - Ventura County 0:2
    13.05.2025 Ventura County - Austin II 0:1
    MLS Next Pro Table
    2025

    Northeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1New York Red Bulls 2151012238:2634
    2Philadelphia Union II13642128:1128
    3Chicago Fire II15722428:2427
    4New England Revolution II14541421:1824
    5Toronto FC II14603516:1821
    6New York City II15522628:3121
    7Cincinnati 214250713:2116
    8Columbus Crew 214312814:2613


    Southeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Chattanooga16822424:2130
    2Huntsville13532327:1623
    3Orlando City B15611721:2721
    4Crown Legacy14333521:2518
    5Inter Miami II16502925:3517
    6Carolina Core15324620:2117
    7Atlanta United 213224519:2314


    Pacific Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Ventura County16911530:2430
    2Vancouver Whitecaps 216630735:3124
    3Tacoma Defiance14620634:3222
    4Real Monarchs12523224:1922
    5Town FC13522428:1821
    6Portland Timbers 215512726:3119
    7Los Angeles FC II15511823:3118


    Frontier Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1St. Louis City 2151010429:2132
    2North Texas16721628:3126
    3Colorado Rapids 216703626:2524
    4Austin FC II15533417:1624
    5Houston Dynamo 215531621:2122
    6Minnesota 214602623:2020
    7Sporting Kansas City II14013109:335


    Eastern Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1New York Red Bulls 2151012238:2634
    2Chattanooga16822424:2130
    3Philadelphia Union II13642128:1128
    4Chicago Fire II15722428:2427
    5New England Revolution II14541421:1824
    6Huntsville13532327:1623
    7Toronto FC II14603516:1821
    8Orlando City B15611721:2721
    9New York City II15522628:3121
    10Crown Legacy14333521:2518
    11Inter Miami II16502925:3517
    12Carolina Core15324620:2117
    13Cincinnati 214250713:2116
    14Atlanta United 213224519:2314
    15Columbus Crew 214312814:2613


    Western Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1St. Louis City 2151010429:2132
    2Ventura County16911530:2430
    3North Texas16721628:3126
    4Colorado Rapids 216703626:2524
    5Vancouver Whitecaps 216630735:3124
    6Austin FC II15533417:1624
    7Tacoma Defiance14620634:3222
    8Real Monarchs12523224:1922
    9Houston Dynamo 215531621:2122
    10Town FC13522428:1821
    11Minnesota 214602623:2020
    12Portland Timbers 215512726:3119
    13Los Angeles FC II15511823:3118
    14Sporting Kansas City II14013109:335

          Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

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