Result
2:1 penalties
06/09/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.91 | 1.42 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (361/414) | 81% (303/373) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.91 | 1.42 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.73 | 1.36 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 15 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (361/414) | 81% (303/373) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 56% (29/52) | 48% (37/77) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 75% (82/109) | 63% (60/95) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (6/26) | 18% (2/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.01 | 0.84 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 6 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (9/15) | 55% (6/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 32 | 36 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 16 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.36 | 0.73 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.36 | -0.27 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Molina M. ↓, Molomo Z. ↑,
- 47', 0 - 1, Vivi Quesada G. ⚽, Vanney M. (A),
- 55', Essel A. 🟨,
- 58', Saribekyan L. 🟨,
- 61', 🟨,
- 62', Sangare F. ↓, Salazar C. ↑,
- 63', Baran D. ↓, Sedeh S. ↑,
- 69', Preston E. ↓, Coreas C. ↑,
- 75', Garcia V. ↓, Karani S. ↑,
- 78', Saribekyan L. ↓, Koreniuk K. ↑,
- 78', Vanney M. ↓, Luna I. ↑,
- 86', 🟨,
- 90+1', 1 - 1, Essel A. ⚽, DuBois J. (A), Contreras J. (A2)
- Penalties (5 - 4)
- 1, Musto T. (Pen),
- 1, Urzua A. (Pen),
- 2, Arnold G. (Pen),
- 2, Essel A. (Pen),
- 3, Karani S. (Pen),
- 3, Swann C. (Pen),
- 4, Bucknor J. (Pen),
- 4, Salazar C. (Pen),
- 5, Vivi Quesada G. (Pen),
- 5, Contreras J. (Pen),
Chances of winning
North Texas
39.4% | Draw
24.2% | Ventura County
36.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
North Texas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)Ventura County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for North Texas than the current prediction. (+5.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for North Texas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ventura County than the current prediction. (-5.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ventura County, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
North Texas - Ventura County Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.33 ↑
(2.07) |
3.79 ↓
(3.84) |
2.51 ↓
(2.87) |
9.1%
(9.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for North Texas - Ventura County?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH 0 - North Texas (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. North Texas (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Ventura County may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, North Texas won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has North Texas won against Ventura County?
North Texas has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ventura County won against North Texas?
Ventura County has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between North Texas - Ventura County were as follows:
31.08.2025
Ventura County
-
North Texas
0:1
11.09.2024
Ventura County
-
North Texas
1:3
Latest results of North Texas
Latest results of Ventura County
MLS Next Pro Table
2026Northeast Division | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | New York Red Bulls II | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 20:8 | 20 |
| 2 | Columbus Crew 2 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16:15 | 17 |
| 3 | Philadelphia Union II | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11:8 | 14 |
| 4 | Toronto FC II | 8 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 13:13 | 11 |
| 5 | New England Revolution II | 7 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:6 | 11 |
| 6 | Connecticut FC | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 10:15 | 8 |
| 7 | Cincinnati 2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9:11 | 6 |
| 8 | New York City II | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4:10 | 6 |
Southeast Division | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Crown Legacy | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 27:10 | 23 |
| 2 | Atlanta United 2 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 14:9 | 16 |
| 3 | Orlando City B | 8 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 17:19 | 13 |
| 4 | Huntsville | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 14:16 | 12 |
| 5 | Chattanooga | 8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 13:14 | 10 |
| 6 | Chicago Fire II | 7 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6:9 | 10 |
| 7 | Carolina Core | 8 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10:16 | 5 |
| 8 | Inter Miami II | 8 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 9:21 | 4 |
Pacific Division | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Ventura County | 9 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 14:13 | 14 |
| 2 | San Jose Earthquakes II | 7 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 14:7 | 13 |
| 3 | Portland Timbers 2 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8:8 | 13 |
| 4 | Los Angeles FC 2 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 15:19 | 13 |
| 5 | Real Monarchs | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12:12 | 10 |
| 6 | Vancouver Whitecaps 2 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 14:18 | 9 |
| 7 | Tacoma Defiance | 9 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 10:15 | 8 |
Frontier Division | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Houston Dynamo 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20:3 | 23 |
| 2 | St. Louis City 2 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 20:8 | 23 |
| 3 | Minnesota 2 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9:9 | 14 |
| 4 | Austin FC II | 7 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 10:8 | 13 |
| 5 | North Texas | 9 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 13:14 | 11 |
| 6 | Sporting Kansas City II | 10 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 11:26 | 7 |
| 7 | Colorado Rapids 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 9:19 | 3 |
Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Crown Legacy | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 27:10 | 23 |
| 2 | New York Red Bulls II | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 20:8 | 20 |
| 3 | Columbus Crew 2 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16:15 | 17 |
| 4 | Atlanta United 2 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 14:9 | 16 |
| 5 | Philadelphia Union II | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11:8 | 14 |
| 6 | Orlando City B | 8 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 17:19 | 13 |
| 7 | Huntsville | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 14:16 | 12 |
| 8 | Toronto FC II | 8 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 13:13 | 11 |
| 9 | New England Revolution II | 7 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:6 | 11 |
| 10 | Chattanooga | 8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 13:14 | 10 |
| 11 | Chicago Fire II | 7 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6:9 | 10 |
| 12 | Connecticut FC | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 10:15 | 8 |
| 13 | Cincinnati 2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9:11 | 6 |
| 14 | New York City II | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4:10 | 6 |
| 15 | Carolina Core | 8 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10:16 | 5 |
| 16 | Inter Miami II | 8 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 9:21 | 4 |
Western Conference | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Houston Dynamo 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20:3 | 23 |
| 2 | St. Louis City 2 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 20:8 | 23 |
| 3 | Minnesota 2 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9:9 | 14 |
| 4 | Ventura County | 9 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 14:13 | 14 |
| 5 | San Jose Earthquakes II | 7 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 14:7 | 13 |
| 6 | Austin FC II | 7 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 10:8 | 13 |
| 7 | Portland Timbers 2 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8:8 | 13 |
| 8 | Los Angeles FC 2 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 15:19 | 13 |
| 9 | North Texas | 9 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 13:14 | 11 |
| 10 | Real Monarchs | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12:12 | 10 |
| 11 | Vancouver Whitecaps 2 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 14:18 | 9 |
| 12 | Tacoma Defiance | 9 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 10:15 | 8 |
| 13 | Sporting Kansas City II | 10 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 11:26 | 7 |
| 14 | Colorado Rapids 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 9:19 | 3 |
Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
