Result
01/05/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier Division - Round 14
- Referee: Norton P. (Irl)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ireland | LOI TV |
Chances of winning
Dundalk
37.5% | Draw
26.4% | Shelbourne
36.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Dundalk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Dundalk's form might have worsened.Shelbourne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Shelbourne's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dundalk than the current prediction. (+9.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dundalk, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shelbourne than the current prediction. (-8.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Shelbourne, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Dundalk - Shelbourne Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.48 ↑
(2.03) |
3.54 ↓
(3.58) |
2.58 ↓
(3.32) |
7.4%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Dundalk - Shelbourne?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Dundalk will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Shelbourne will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 8).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dundalk won 1.
- Dundalk is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Shelbourne's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Dundalk: Garbett N.
(Hamstring Injury)
Kearns C.
(Inactive)
Leonard V.
(Inactive)
Mullen D.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Shelbourne: Casey O.
(Injury)
Mbeng M.
(Injury)
Odubeko M.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Dundalk: O'Keeffe C.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Dundalk won 9 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 24:18. (average 1.2:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Dundalk won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:7. (average 1.1:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Dundalk won against Shelbourne?
Dundalk has won 2 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Shelbourne won against Dundalk?
Shelbourne has won 4 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Dundalk - Shelbourne were as follows:
03.04.2026
Shelbourne
-
Dundalk
2:3
30.08.2024
Dundalk
-
Shelbourne
0:1
07.06.2024
Shelbourne
-
Dundalk
1:0
03.05.2024
Dundalk
-
Shelbourne
0:0
29.03.2024
Shelbourne
-
Dundalk
2:1
Latest results of Dundalk
Latest results of Shelbourne
Irish Premier Division Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | St. Patricks | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 24:11 | 13 | 26 |
| 2 | Shamrock Rovers | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 19:11 | 8 | 25 |
| 3 | Dundalk | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 22:18 | 4 | 21 |
| 4 | Bohemians | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 15:11 | 4 | 20 |
| 5 | Derry City | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 17:16 | 1 | 17 |
| 6 | Galway | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15:17 | -2 | 15 |
| 7 | Sligo Rovers | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 10:17 | -7 | 14 |
| 8 | Shelbourne | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 19:21 | -2 | 13 |
| 9 | Drogheda | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 16:20 | -4 | 13 |
| 10 | Waterford | 12 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 9:24 | -15 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Premier Division (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Division 1
