Result
2:1
17/04/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier Division - Round 12
- Referee: Carolan D. (Irl)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ireland | LOI TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.86 | 1.20 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 61% | 39% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 13 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (289/403) | 55% (140/255) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.86 | 1.20 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.66 | 0.99 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 13 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 31 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (289/403) | 55% (140/255) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 30% (21/71) | 38% (31/81) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (100/152) | 43% (45/105) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (8/33) | 18% (4/22) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.66 | 0.94 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 27 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 62% (8/13) | 68% (15/22) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 54 | 68 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 34 | 31 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 10 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.99 | 3.66 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.01 | 1.66 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 45+3', Animasahun M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 49', Wolfe M. 🟨,
- 55', Wolfe M. ↓, Barratt C. ↑,
- 55', Pierrot F. ↓, Walsh S. ↑,
- 56', Wilson J. 🟨,
- 68', Teahan R. ↓, Tracey S. ↑,
- 72', Bolger A. ↓, Piesold A. ↑,
- 73', Burns B. ↓, Groome H. ↑,
- 73', Kenny E. ↓, McDaid D. ↑,
- 81', 1 - 0, McDaid D. ⚽, Wilson T. (A),
- 85', 2 - 0, McDaid D. ⚽,
- 87', Devitt L. ↓, Lomboto F. ↑,
- 87', McCarthy E. ↓, Williams W. ↑,
- 90', 2 - 1, Walsh S. ⚽, Twardek K. (A),
Chances of winning
Dundalk
50.7% | Draw
25.9% | Galway United
23.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Dundalk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)Galway United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dundalk than the current prediction. (+1.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Galway United than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
Dundalk - Galway United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.85
(1.85) |
3.63 ↓
(3.73) |
4.03 ↑
(3.99) |
6.4%
(5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Dundalk - Galway United?
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. Dundalk will win (votes: 13 - 72.2%). Galway United will win (votes: 1 - 5.6%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Dundalk: 51.5% – 92.9%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 4 and 5).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dundalk won 0.
- Dundalk is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Galway United has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Dundalk may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Dundalk might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Dundalk: Cornwall R.
(Calf Injury)
Dervin A.
(Yellow Cards)
Garbett N.
(Hamstring Injury)
Leonard V.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Galway United: McGuinness D.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Dundalk: Mullen D.
(Inactive)
O'Keeffe C.
(Injury)
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Dundalk won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 29:23. (average 1.7:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Dundalk won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:6. (average 1.6:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Dundalk won against Galway United?
Dundalk has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Galway United won against Dundalk?
Galway United has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Dundalk - Galway United were as follows:
06.03.2026
Galway United
-
Dundalk
2:2
04.10.2024
Galway United
-
Dundalk
1:1
02.08.2024
Dundalk
-
Galway United
0:2
24.05.2024
Galway United
-
Dundalk
2:0
23.02.2024
Dundalk
-
Galway United
0:2
Latest results of Dundalk
Latest results of Galway United
Irish Premier Division Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Shamrock Rovers | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 24:12 | 12 | 31 |
| 2 | St. Patricks | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 27:14 | 13 | 28 |
| 3 | Bohemians | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 18:14 | 4 | 22 |
| 4 | Dundalk | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 26:23 | 3 | 22 |
| 5 | Derry City | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 19:18 | 1 | 19 |
| 6 | Shelbourne | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 23:24 | -1 | 17 |
| 7 | Galway | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 18:20 | -2 | 17 |
| 8 | Drogheda | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 18:24 | -6 | 16 |
| 9 | Sligo Rovers | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 11:19 | -8 | 15 |
| 10 | Waterford | 14 | 0 | 6 | 8 | 12:28 | -16 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Premier Division (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Division 1
