Result
04/05/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- FNL - Round 32
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Russia | Match! Premier |
Chances of winning
Ural
48.7% | Draw
29% | Shinnik
22.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ural has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ural's form might have worsened.Shinnik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Shinnik's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ural than the current prediction. (+14.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ural, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shinnik than the current prediction. (-9.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Shinnik, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Ural - Shinnik Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.97 ↑
(1.58) |
3.3 ↓
(3.61) |
4.3 ↓
(7.31) |
4.4%
(4.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Ural - Shinnik?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -1 - Shinnik (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Ural will win
(4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 44.94% – 100%.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Shinnik (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Promotion: ) and 8).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ural won 5.
- Ural is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Shinnik is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, Ural is the team to beat.
- We predict that Ural will win today's game, with odds of 1.79.
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Ural won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:5. (average 1.3:0.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ural won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Ural won against Shinnik?
Ural has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Shinnik won against Ural?
Shinnik has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ural - Shinnik were as follows:
19.07.2025
Shinnik
-
Ural
0:1
10.11.2024
Shinnik
-
Ural
0:2
20.07.2024
Ural
-
Shinnik
2:1
Latest results of Shinnik
Russian FNL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Fakel Voronezh | 32 | 19 | 7 | 6 | 41:22 | 19 | 64 |
| 2 | Rodina Moscow | 32 | 17 | 11 | 4 | 52:27 | 25 | 62 |
| 3 | Ural | 31 | 17 | 7 | 7 | 48:28 | 20 | 58 |
| 4 | R. Volgograd | 31 | 14 | 10 | 7 | 40:23 | 17 | 52 |
| 5 | Kamaz | 32 | 12 | 13 | 7 | 46:31 | 15 | 49 |
| 6 | S. Kostroma | 32 | 12 | 12 | 8 | 45:39 | 6 | 48 |
| 7 | Yenisey | 32 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 36:34 | 2 | 46 |
| 8 | Shinnik Yaroslavl | 31 | 10 | 13 | 8 | 30:25 | 5 | 43 |
| 9 | Chelyabinsk | 32 | 10 | 13 | 9 | 40:36 | 4 | 43 |
| 10 | Torpedo Moscow | 32 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 35:38 | -3 | 42 |
| 11 | Neftekhimik | 32 | 10 | 12 | 10 | 38:37 | 1 | 42 |
| 12 | Arsenal Tula | 31 | 8 | 14 | 9 | 39:37 | 2 | 38 |
| 13 | Ulyanovsk | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 33:43 | -10 | 36 |
| 14 | SKA Khabarovsk | 31 | 8 | 11 | 12 | 32:45 | -13 | 35 |
| 15 | Ufa | 31 | 7 | 10 | 14 | 30:37 | -7 | 31 |
| 16 | Chernomorets Novorossijsk | 32 | 7 | 8 | 17 | 33:48 | -15 | 29 |
| 17 | FK Chayka | 32 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 30:69 | -39 | 22 |
| 18 | Saratov | 32 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 14:43 | -29 | 22 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Premier League (Promotion: )
Relegation
