Result
2:2
22/04/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- FNL - Round 30
- Referee: Rubtsov E. (Rus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Russia | Match! Premier |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 8', Bozov N. 🟨,
- 12', Yakimov V. 🟨,
- 34', 0 - 1, Malyarov K. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Yakimov V. ↓, Magomedov B. ↑,
- 55', Porokhov I. ↓, Gongapshev A. ↑,
- 58', 1 - 1, Gnapi Dable A. ⚽,
- 65', 1 - 2, Samoilov D. ⚽,
- 73', 2 - 2, Netfullin R. ⚽,
- 74', Gaponov I. ↓, Alshin I. ↑,
- 75', Gnapi Dable A. 🟨,
- 82', Pusi B. ↓, Turishchev M. ↑,
- 85', Mironov D. ↓, Chernyi A. ↑,
- 85', Bozov N. ↓, Kotin N. ↑,
Chances of winning
Fakel
57.6% | Draw
27.5% | Shinnik
14.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fakel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)Shinnik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fakel than the current prediction. (+9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fakel, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shinnik than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
Fakel - Shinnik Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.66 ↑
(1.56) |
3.49 ↓
(3.8) |
6.42 ↓
(6.53) |
4.5%
(5.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League and 9).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fakel won 3.
- In recent matches, Fakel has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Shinnik is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, Fakel is the clear favorite.
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Fakel won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 19:9. (average 1.6:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Fakel won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 11:7. (average 1.8:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Fakel won against Shinnik?
Fakel has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Shinnik won against Fakel?
Shinnik has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fakel - Shinnik were as follows:
11.10.2025
Shinnik
-
Fakel
0:1
Latest results of Shinnik
Russian FNL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Fakel Voronezh | 32 | 19 | 7 | 6 | 41:22 | 19 | 64 |
| 2 | Rodina Moscow | 32 | 17 | 11 | 4 | 52:27 | 25 | 62 |
| 3 | Ural | 32 | 17 | 7 | 8 | 48:29 | 19 | 58 |
| 4 | R. Volgograd | 32 | 14 | 11 | 7 | 42:25 | 17 | 53 |
| 5 | Kamaz | 32 | 12 | 13 | 7 | 46:31 | 15 | 49 |
| 6 | S. Kostroma | 32 | 12 | 12 | 8 | 45:39 | 6 | 48 |
| 7 | Yenisey | 32 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 36:34 | 2 | 46 |
| 8 | Shinnik Yaroslavl | 32 | 11 | 13 | 8 | 31:25 | 6 | 46 |
| 9 | Chelyabinsk | 32 | 10 | 13 | 9 | 40:36 | 4 | 43 |
| 10 | Torpedo Moscow | 32 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 35:38 | -3 | 42 |
| 11 | Neftekhimik | 32 | 10 | 12 | 10 | 38:37 | 1 | 42 |
| 12 | Arsenal Tula | 32 | 8 | 15 | 9 | 41:39 | 2 | 39 |
| 13 | Ulyanovsk | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 33:43 | -10 | 36 |
| 14 | SKA Khabarovsk | 31 | 8 | 11 | 12 | 32:45 | -13 | 35 |
| 15 | Ufa | 31 | 7 | 10 | 14 | 30:37 | -7 | 31 |
| 16 | Chernomorets Novorossijsk | 32 | 7 | 8 | 17 | 33:48 | -15 | 29 |
| 17 | FK Chayka ✔ | 32 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 30:69 | -39 | 22 |
| 18 | Saratov ✔ | 32 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 14:43 | -29 | 22 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Premier League (Promotion: )
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
FK Chayka is Relegated to
Saratov is Relegated to
