Result
0:1
23/08/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Pro - Round 26
- Referee: Torres Cajax A. (Ecu)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, Ecuavisa, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping |
 Peru | Zapping Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.82 | 1.68 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (357/444) | 75% (268/358) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.82 | 1.68 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.39 | 2.13 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 28 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (357/444) | 75% (268/358) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 55% (30/55) | 46% (33/71) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (84/123) | 66% (79/120) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 26% (7/27) | 21% (5/24) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.01 | 0.83 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 32 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 76% (16/21) | 56% (10/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 53 | 54 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 33 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 14 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.13 | 1.39 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.13 | 1.39 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 29', Maccari M. 🟨,
- 41', Morocho S. 🟨,
- 45+1', Torres Nazareno L. B. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Morocho S. ↓, Luna Tobar C. ↑,
- 62', Ordonez J. ↓, Arroyo L. ↑,
- 62', Estupinan L. ↓, Mancinelli L. ↑,
- 66', Ospitaleche F. ↓, Cabezas D. ↑,
- 71', Gomez A. 🟨,
- 73', Aleman C. (Pen),
- 76', Rodriguez A. ↓, Leguizamon N. ↑,
- 76', Maccari M. ↓, Noboa D. ↑,
- 80', Ramirez B. ↓, Valencia M. ↑,
- 80', Quintero D. ↓, Chala J. ↑,
- 80', Torres Nazareno L. B. ↓, Acosta M. ↑,
- 82', 0 - 1, Gustavino L. ⚽, Luna Tobar C. (A),
- 86', Bartora G. ↓, Zambrano J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Manta
33.1% | Draw
30.8% | Deportivo Cuenca
36.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Manta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Manta's performance.Deportivo Cuenca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Deportivo Cuenca might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manta than the current prediction. (-6.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Manta that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Cuenca than the current prediction. (+8.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deportivo Cuenca could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Manta - Deportivo Cuenca Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.75 ↓
(3.38) |
3 ↓
(3.23) |
2.59 ↑
(2.09) |
8.3%
(8.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Manta - Deportivo Cuenca?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. It will Tie (votes: 7 - 100%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 13 in the zone Liga Pro (Relegation Group: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Manta won 2.
- Manta is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Deportivo Cuenca's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Manta may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Manta won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 16:15. (average 1:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Manta won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:6. (average 1.5:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Manta won against Deportivo Cuenca?
Manta has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Cuenca won against Manta?
Deportivo Cuenca has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Manta - Deportivo Cuenca were as follows:
02.05.2025
Deportivo Cuenca
-
Manta
2:0
21.07.2024
Manta
-
Deportivo Cuenca
1:3
Latest results of Deportivo Cuenca
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
Placement Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 7 | Dep. Cuenca | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 36:32 | 4 | 46 |
| 8 | Emelec | 32 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 33:35 | -2 | 46 |
| 9 | Macara | 32 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 39:32 | 7 | 44 |
| 10 | Aucas | 32 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 40:44 | -4 | 42 |
| 11 | EL Nacional | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 34:48 | -14 | 35 |
| 12 | Delfin | 32 | 6 | 14 | 12 | 28:48 | -20 | 32 |
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
