Kashima Antlers vs Urawa Red Diamonds: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

16/03/2025 at 01:03 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Kashima Soccer Stadium (Kashima).

JAPAN: J1 League - Round 6

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.51	1.56
Ball Possession
60%	40%
Goal Attempts
10	12
Shots on Goal
3	6
Shots off Goal
3	6
Blocked Shots
4	0
Big Chances
2	1
Corner Kicks
9	4
Shots inside the Box
6	5
Shots outside the Box
4	7
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
1	0
Goalkeeper Saves
5	2
Free Kicks
11	7
Offsides
2	1
Fouls
7	11
Yellow Cards
2	0
Throw-ins
26	27
Touches in the Opposition Box
20	23
Passes
79% (392/494)	77% (260/336)
Passes in the final third
62% (80/130)	73% (85/116)
Crosses
22% (7/32)	15% (3/20)
Tackles
65% (11/17)	71% (5/7)
Clearances Total
22	36
Interceptions
11	12

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
4', Nono K. 🟨,
45+4', 0 - 1, Matsumoto T. ⚽, Sekine T. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
53', Shibasaki G. 🟨,
56', Matsumura Y. ↓, Morooka S. ↑,
56', Shibasaki G. ↓, Chinen K. ↑,
56', Koike R. ↓, Cavric A. ↑,
73', Matheus Savio ↓, Matsuo Y. ↑,
76', Higuchi Y. ↓, Funabashi Y. ↑,
81', Leo Ceara ↓, Tokuda H. ↑,
83', Sekine T. ↓, Inoue R. ↑,
83', Matsumoto T. ↓, Haraguchi G. ↑,
90+1', 1 - 1, Chinen K. ⚽, Ueda N. (A),
90+3', Kaneko T. ↓, Nitta R. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Kashima Antlers
37.1%

Draw
29.3%

Urawa Red Diamonds
33.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.5%

29.2%

28.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.6%

28.5%

27.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kashima Antlers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kashima Antlers's form might have worsened.

Urawa Red Diamonds has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Urawa Red Diamonds's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kashima Antlers than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kashima Antlers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Urawa Red Diamonds than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Urawa Red Diamonds, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Kashima Antlers - Urawa Red Diamonds Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.51 ↑ (2.22)	3.2 ↓ (3.22)	2.82 ↓ (3.32)	6.6% (6.3%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Kashima Antlers - Urawa Red Diamonds?

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Kashima will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). Urawa will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kashima: 54% – 99.8%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: ) and 16).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Kashima won 0.
Kashima is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Recent matches Urawa is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Kashima could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
There will not play in Urawa: Shibato K. (Knee Injury)
Last 20 head-to-head matches Kashima won 8 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 26:19 (average 1.3:1).
Including matches at home between the teams Kashima won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 12:4 (average 1.3:0.4).

How many head-to-head matches has Kashima Antlers won against Urawa Red Diamonds?

Kashima Antlers has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Urawa Red Diamonds won against Kashima Antlers?

Urawa Red Diamonds has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Kashima Antlers - Urawa Red Diamonds were as follows:

17.08.2024 Kashima Antlers - Urawa Red Diamonds 0:0

22.06.2024 Urawa Red Diamonds - Kashima Antlers 2:2

28.10.2023 Kashima Antlers - Urawa Red Diamonds 0:0

04.06.2023 Urawa Red Diamonds - Kashima Antlers 0:0

03.09.2022 Kashima Antlers - Urawa Red Diamonds 2:2

Latest results of Kashima Antlers

08.03.2025 Kashiwa Reysol - Kashima Antlers 1:3 ✺

01.03.2025 Kashima Antlers - Tokyo 2:0 ✺

26.02.2025 Kashima Antlers - Albirex Niigata 2:1 ✺

22.02.2025 Kashima Antlers - Tokyo Verdy 4:0 ✺

15.02.2025 Shonan Bellmare - Kashima Antlers 1:0 ✺

Latest results of Urawa Red Diamonds

08.03.2025 Urawa Red Diamonds - Fagiano Okayama 1:0 ✺

02.03.2025 Urawa Red Diamonds - Kashiwa Reysol 0:2 ✺

26.02.2025 Shonan Bellmare - Urawa Red Diamonds 2:1 ✺

22.02.2025 Kyoto Sanga - Urawa Red Diamonds 1:1 ✺

15.02.2025 Vissel Kobe - Urawa Red Diamonds 0:0 ✺

Japan J1 League Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Kashiwa Reysol	23	12	8	3	31:20	11	44
2	Vissel Kobe	23	13	4	6	32:21	11	43
3	Kyoto	23	12	5	6	38:27	11	41
4	Kashima Antlers	23	13	2	8	33:22	11	41
5	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	23	12	3	8	27:18	9	39
6	Kawasaki Frontale	23	10	8	5	37:24	13	38
7	Machida	23	11	4	8	33:25	8	37
8	Urawa Reds	21	9	7	5	26:20	6	34
9	Cerezo Osaka	23	9	6	8	34:30	4	33
10	Gamba Osaka	23	9	4	10	27:30	-3	31
11	Okayama	23	8	6	9	19:20	-1	30
12	Avispa Fukuoka	22	8	6	8	19:21	-2	30
13	Nagoya Grampus	23	7	7	9	28:30	-2	28
14	Verdy	23	7	7	9	15:23	-8	28
15	Shimizu S-Pulse	23	7	6	10	27:32	-5	27
16	FC Tokyo	23	7	5	11	24:32	-8	26
17	Shonan Bellmare	22	6	5	11	16:30	-14	23
18	Yokohama FC	23	5	4	14	14:28	-14	19
19	Albirex Niigata	23	4	7	12	24:39	-15	19
20	Yokohama F. Marinos	23	4	6	13	20:32	-12	18

      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
      Relegation ~ J2 League

Which TV channels are streaming of Kashima Antlers - Urawa Red Diamonds?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


China	QQ Sports
Japan	DAZN Japan