Result
2:2
17/04/2026 at 11:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- HNL - Round 30
- Referee: Kolaric P. (Cro)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Croatia | MAX Sport 1, MAXtv To Go |
 Italy | Como TV |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 9 |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.05 | 1.58 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (268/351) | 84% (382/456) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.05 | 1.58 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.36 | 1.13 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 24 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (268/351) | 84% (382/456) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 39% (23/59) | 49% (20/41) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 54% (45/84) | 76% (100/132) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 6% (1/18) | 26% (5/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.73 | 1.68 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 20 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 78% (14/18) | 61% (11/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 53 | 51 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.13 | 2.36 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.13 | 0.36 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 4', 1 - 0, Dabro M. ⚽, Kovacic D. (A),
- 28', Krovinovic F. ↓, Guillamon H. ↑,
- 36', Isasegi K. ↓, Sivalec G. ↑,
- 38', 1 - 1, Rebic A. ⚽, Pajaziti A. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Livaja M. 🟨,
- 51', 2 - 1, Cubelic I. ⚽, Kruselj F. (A),
- 63', 2 - 2, Bozic T. (Own goal),
- 71', Hrgovic S. ↓, Skelin M. ↑,
- 72', Mitrovic J. 🟨,
- 77', Sivalec G. ↓, Medjimorec V. ↑,
- 80', Pajaziti A. 🟨,
- 83', Pukstas R. ↓, Kalik A. ↑,
- 83', Rebic A. ↓, Almena I. ↑,
- 89', Dabro M. ↓, Bozic I. ↑,
Chances of winning
Slaven Belupo
18.9% | Draw
24.9% | Hajduk Split
56.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Slaven Belupo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Slaven Belupo's form might have worsened.Hajduk Split has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hajduk Split's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Slaven Belupo than the current prediction. (+5.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Slaven Belupo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hajduk Split than the current prediction. (-7.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hajduk Split, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Slaven Belupo - Hajduk Split Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.95 ↑
(3.7) |
3.78 ↑
(3.38) |
1.66 ↓
(1.92) |
7%
(8.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Slaven Belupo - Hajduk Split?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Slaven Belupo will win (votes: 2 - 20%). Hajduk will win (votes: 7 - 70%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hajduk: 41.6% – 98.4%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH +0.75 - Hajduk (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Hajduk (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 5 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Slaven Belupo won 0.
- Slaven Belupo is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Hajduk is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Hajduk may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Hajduk is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Slaven Belupo: Caimacov M.
(Hip Injury)
Jakir A.
(Injury)
Nestorovski I.
(Inactive)
Zuta L.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Hajduk: Almena I.
(Muscle Injury)
Fesyuk D.
(Inactive)
Hodak L.
(Muscle Injury)
Ivusic I.
(Ankle Injury)
- There are questionable in Slaven Belupo: Grgic A.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Slaven Belupo won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 8:36. (average 0.4:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Slaven Belupo won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 5:11. (average 0.5:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Slaven Belupo won against Hajduk Split?
Slaven Belupo has won 0 of their last 16 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Hajduk Split won against Slaven Belupo?
Hajduk Split has won 13 of their last 16 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Slaven Belupo - Hajduk Split were as follows:
07.02.2026
Hajduk Split
-
Slaven Belupo
2:0
02.11.2025
Slaven Belupo
-
Hajduk Split
0:0
17.08.2025
Hajduk Split
-
Slaven Belupo
3:0
05.04.2025
Slaven Belupo
-
Hajduk Split
0:1
26.01.2025
Hajduk Split
-
Slaven Belupo
0:0
Latest results of Slaven Belupo
Latest results of Hajduk Split
Croatian HNL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Din. Zagreb ✔ | 33 | 25 | 4 | 4 | 87:27 | 60 | 79 |
| 2 | Hajduk Split ✔ | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 54:30 | 24 | 64 |
| 3 | Varazdin | 33 | 13 | 8 | 12 | 42:45 | -3 | 47 |
| 4 | Rijeka | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 44:36 | 8 | 46 |
| 5 | Lok. Zagreb | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 38:50 | -12 | 41 |
| 6 | Gorica | 33 | 10 | 8 | 15 | 38:45 | -7 | 38 |
| 7 | Slaven Belupo | 32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 43:52 | -9 | 38 |
| 8 | Istra 1961 | 32 | 10 | 6 | 16 | 35:47 | -12 | 36 |
| 9 | Osijek | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 25:46 | -21 | 32 |
| 10 | Vukovar 1991 | 33 | 6 | 10 | 17 | 34:62 | -28 | 28 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Prva NL
Clinched Spots for Teams
Din. Zagreb is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (Qualification )
Hajduk Split is Qualified for Conference League (Qualification )
