Athletic Bilbao vs Sporting Lisbon – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

28/01/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Estadio San Mamés (Bilbao).

Champions League - League phase - Round 8
Referee: Zwayer F. (Ger)
Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport Maximo 360, SuperSport Motorsport
Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 6
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1
Brazil	HBO Max
Canada	DAZN Canada
Chile	Disney+
China	iQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+
Denmark	Viaplay
Europe	Go3 Extra Sports Baltic
Finland	MTV Katsomo+
France	Canal+ Live 14
Germany	DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport 4, WOW
Hong-kong	beIN SPORTS MAX
Hungary	RTL+
Iceland	Viaplay
India	JioTV app, Sony LIV
Indonesia	beIN Connect, Vidio
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect
Mexico	FOX One
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Nigeria	SuperSport Motorsport
Norway	TV2 Play
Pakistan	Tapmad
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN SPORTS MAX
Portugal	Sport TV1
Russia	Okko Sport
Singapore	beIN Connect
South-africa	SuperSport Motorsport
South-korea	SPOTV Now
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones 4
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	Blue Sport 9, Blue Sport 9
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Turkey	Tabii
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 16
United-kingdom	Discovery+ App, Discovery+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	DAZN Espanol, DAZN USA, Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	ON Plus, TV 360, VTV Prime

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
0.59	1.49
Ball possession
35%	65%
Total shots
9	9
Shots on target
2	6
Big chances
1	2
Corner kicks
6	7
Passes
74% (227/307)	87% (516/590)
Yellow cards
4	5
Expected goals (xG)
0.59	1.49
xG on target (xGOT)
1.20	2.20
Total shots
9	9
Shots on target
2	6
Shots off target
4	2
Blocked shots
3	1
Shots inside the box
5	7
Shots outside the box
4	2
Hit the woodwork
1	0
Headed goals
0	1
Big chances
1	2
Corner kicks
6	7
Touches in opposition box
13	23
Accurate through passes
0	1
Offsides
0	3
Free kicks
8	22
Passes
74% (227/307)	87% (516/590)
Long passes
32% (16/50)	46% (13/28)
Passes in final third
60% (71/118)	72% (63/87)
Crosses
5% (1/22)	24% (4/17)
Expected assists (xA)
0.33	0.54
Throw ins
17	17
Fouls
22	8
Tackles
69% (11/16)	65% (15/23)
Duels won
40	68
Clearances
13	30
Interceptions
13	11
Errors leading to shot
0	3
Errors leading to goal
0	1
Goalkeeper saves
3	0
xGOT faced
2.20	1.20
Goals prevented
-0.80	-0.80

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (2 - 1)
3', 1 - 0, Sancet O. ⚽,
12', 1 - 1, Diomande O. ⚽, Araujo M. (A),
26', Inacio G. ↓, Matheus Reis ↑,
28', 2 - 1, Guruzeta G. ⚽,
29', Matheus Reis 🟨,
35', Gomez U. 🟨,
39', Araujo M. 🟨,
44', Guruzeta G. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
49', Simoes J. 🟨,
50', Sancet O. ↓, Berenguer A. ↑,
54', Braganca D. ↓, Goncalves P. ↑,
54', Diomande O. ↓, Quaresma E. ↑,
54', Simoes J. ↓, Morita H. ↑,
55', Goncalves P. 🟨,
62', 2 - 2, Trincao ⚽,
66', Gomez U. ↓, Sanchez S. ↑,
66', Ruiz de Galarreta I. ↓, Vesga M. ↑,
75', Paredes A. 🟨,
81', Navarro R. ↓, Serrano N. ↑,
81', Guruzeta G. ↓, Hierro A. ↑,
82', Vesga M. 🟨,
86', Quaresma E. 🟨,
87', Trincao ↓, Alisson Santos ↑,
90+4', 2 - 3, Alisson Santos ⚽,

Chances of winning

Athletic Bilbao
33.8%

Draw
28.5%

Sporting Lisbon
37.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.7%

25.8%

25.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.7%

26.3%

25%

Athletic Bilbao - Sporting Lisbon Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.83 ↑ (1.99)	3.38 ↓ (3.74)	2.57 ↓ (3.79)	3.9% (3.5%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Athletic Bilbao - Sporting Lisbon?

Users Predictions: 76 users predict this event. Athletic will win (votes: 21 - 27.6%). Sporting will win (votes: 48 - 63.2%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 9.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sporting: 52.4% – 74%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 29 high ROI users predict this event. Athletic (votes: 10 - 34.5%). Sporting (votes: 15 - 51.7%). Tie (votes: 4 - 13.8%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

BTTS - yes (votes: 6 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

AH -0.25 - Sporting (1.93) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH -0.5 - Sporting (1.48) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 13 - 68.4%) .

DC - Sporting (1.44) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - draw (votes: 0 - 0%) .

AH 0 - Sporting (1.80) (votes: 4 - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

DNB - Sporting (1.75) (votes: 3 - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

AH -1 - Athletic (4.44) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 44 high ROI users predict this event. Athletic (votes: 13 - 29.5%). Sporting (votes: 27 - 61.4%). Tie (votes: 4 - 9.1%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Athletic has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Sporting is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Sporting may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Athletic has had a series of away games.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
There will not play in Athletic: Alvarez Y. (Doping) Egiluz U. (Knee Injury) Izeta (Inactive) Jauregizar M. (Yellow Cards) Prados Diaz B. (Knee Injury) Sannadi M. (Knee Injury) Williams I. (Muscle Injury)
There will not play in Sporting: Blopa S. (Inactive) Ioannidis F. (Knee Injury) Luis Guilherme (Inactive) Quaresma E. (Injury) Quenda G. (Foot Injury) Santos N. (Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Athletic: Laporte A. (Muscle Injury) Williams N. (Groin Injury)
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Athletic won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 1.3:2).
Including home match between the teams, Athletic won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.

How many head-to-head matches has Athletic Bilbao won against Sporting Lisbon?

Athletic Bilbao has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Sporting Lisbon won against Athletic Bilbao?

Sporting Lisbon has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Athletic Bilbao - Sporting Lisbon were as follows:

27.07.2024 Sporting Lisbon - Athletic Bilbao 3:0

Latest results of Athletic Bilbao

24.01.2026 Sevilla - Athletic Bilbao 2:1 ✺

21.01.2026 Atalanta - Athletic Bilbao 2:3 ✺

17.01.2026 Mallorca - Athletic Bilbao 3:2 ✺

13.01.2026 Leonesa - Athletic Bilbao 3:4 ✺

07.01.2026 Barcelona - Athletic Bilbao 5:0 ✺

Latest results of Sporting Lisbon

24.01.2026 Arouca - Sporting Lisbon 1:2 ✺

20.01.2026 Sporting Lisbon - Paris Saint-Germain 2:1 ✺

16.01.2026 Sporting Lisbon - Casa Pia 3:0 ✺

06.01.2026 Sporting Lisbon - Vitoria Guimarães 1:2 ✺

02.01.2026 Gil Vicente - Sporting Lisbon 1:1 ✺

UEFA Champions League Table

League phase

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Arsenal	8	8	0	0	23:4	19	24
2	Bayern Munich	8	7	0	1	22:8	14	21
3	Liverpool	8	6	0	2	20:8	12	18
4	Tottenham	8	5	2	1	17:7	10	17
5	Barcelona	8	5	1	2	22:14	8	16
6	Chelsea	8	5	1	2	17:10	7	16
7	Sporting CP	8	5	1	2	17:11	6	16
8	Manchester City	8	5	1	2	15:9	6	16
9	Real Madrid	8	5	0	3	21:12	9	15
10	Inter	8	5	0	3	15:7	8	15
11	PSG	8	4	2	2	21:11	10	14
12	Newcastle	8	4	2	2	17:7	10	14
13	Juventus	8	3	4	1	14:10	4	13
14	Atl. Madrid	8	4	1	3	17:15	2	13
15	Atalanta	8	4	1	3	10:10	0	13
16	Bayer Leverkusen	8	3	3	2	13:14	-1	12
17	Dortmund	8	3	2	3	19:17	2	11
18	Olympiacos Piraeus	8	3	2	3	10:14	-4	11
19	Club Brugge KV	8	3	1	4	15:17	-2	10
20	Galatasaray	8	3	1	4	9:11	-2	10
21	Monaco	8	2	4	2	8:14	-6	10
22	Qarabag	8	3	1	4	13:21	-8	10
23	Bodo/Glimt	8	2	3	3	14:15	-1	9
24	Benfica	8	3	0	5	10:12	-2	9
25	Marseille	8	3	0	5	11:14	-3	9
26	Pafos	8	2	3	3	8:11	-3	9
27	Royale Union SG	8	3	0	5	8:17	-9	9
28	PSV	8	2	2	4	16:16	0	8
29	Ath Bilbao	8	2	2	4	9:14	-5	8
30	Napoli	8	2	2	4	9:15	-6	8
31	FC Copenhagen	8	2	2	4	12:21	-9	8
32	Ajax	8	2	0	6	8:21	-13	6
33	Eintracht Frankfurt	8	1	1	6	10:21	-11	4
34	Slavia Prague	8	0	3	5	5:19	-14	3
35	Villarreal	8	0	1	7	5:18	-13	1
36	Kairat Almaty	8	0	1	7	7:22	-15	1

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