Gil Vicente vs Sporting Lisbon – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Liga Portugal
Result
1:1
02/01/2026 at 13:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Portugal - Round 17
  • Referee: Correia G. (Por)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaZAP
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 2
andorraAndorrabeIN Sports 1
austriaAustriaDAZN
brazilBrazilESPN 4
bulgariaBulgariaRing, Voyo
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 3
denmarkDenmarkBold+, Sport Live
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Free
georgiaGeorgiaSilk Sport 3
germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch, Sportdigital FUSSBALL
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 3, COSMOTE Sport 9
hungaryHungarySport 2
israelIsraelSport 2
italyItalyDAZN Italia
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kazakhstanKazakhstanSport+
lithuaniaLithuaniaSport 1
polandPolandEleven Sports 2
portugalPortugalSport TV1
russiaRussiaTV Start
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 6
slovakiaSlovakiaArena sport 1
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 5
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
turkeyTurkeyTivibu Spor 2
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Ukraine

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.971.41
Ball Possession
36%64%
Total shots
1914
Shots on target
94
Big Chances
33
Corner Kicks
87
Passes
76% (189/250)87% (405/464)
Yellow Cards
44
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
0.971.41
xG on target (xGOT)
1.290.86
Total shots
1914
Shots on target
94
Shots off target
36
Blocked Shots
74
Shots inside the Box
107
Shots outside the Box
97
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
33
Corner Kicks
87
Touches in opposition box
2621
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
1417
Passes
76% (189/250)87% (405/464)
Long passes
40% (17/42)44% (15/34)
Passes in final third
70% (64/91)66% (55/83)
Crosses
30% (7/23)32% (7/22)
Expected assists (xA)
0.731.29
Throw-ins
1612
Fouls
1714
Tackles
55% (11/20)69% (9/13)
Duels won
5364
Clearances
2226
Interceptions
88
Errors leading to shot
02
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
38
xGOT faced
0.861.29
Goals prevented
-0.140.29

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 32', Caseres F. ↓, Ze Carlos ↑,
  • 38', Hjulmand M. 🟨,
  • 45', 0 - 1, Suarez L. ⚽, Quaresma E. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 49', Suarez L. 🟨,
  • 49', Ze Carlos 🟨,
  • 64', Toure T. ↓, Fernandes J. ↑,
  • 64', Garcia S. ↓, Fernandez M. ↑,
  • 70', Elimbi M. 🟨,
  • 77', Varela G. 🟨,
  • 78', Matheus Reis ↓, Alisson Santos ↑,
  • 78', Simoes J. ↓, Morita H. ↑,
  • 79', Inacio G. 🟥,
  • 83', Hevertton S. ↓, Mutombo J. ↑,
  • 83', Ze Carlos ↓, Carlos Eduardo ↑,
  • 84', Ioannidis F. ↓, Romulus ↑,
  • 87', 1 - 1, Carlos Eduardo ⚽, Esteves L. (A),
  • 90+2', Araujo M. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Romulus 🟨,
  • 90+5', Fernandez M. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Gil Vicente
13.7%		Draw
22.6%		Sporting Lisbon
63.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
16.5% 24.6% 58.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.2% 24.1% 60%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Gil Vicente has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
  • Sporting Lisbon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gil Vicente than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting Lisbon than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
    •

    Gil Vicente - Sporting Lisbon Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 6.89 ↑
    (5.87)    		 4.2 ↑
    (3.94)    		 1.49 ↓
    (1.65)    		 5.6%
    (3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Gil Vicente - Sporting Lisbon?
  • Users Predictions: 58 users predict this event. Gil Vicente will win (votes: 6 - 10.3%). Sporting will win (votes: 44 - 75.9%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 13.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Sporting: 64.9% – 86.9%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +1.25 - Sporting (2.13) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +1 - Sporting (1.80) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH +0.75 - Sporting (1.60) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.5 - Sporting (1.47) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +1.5 - Sporting (2.39) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS, 2nd Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Sporting Lisbon will win (17 of 21 users predict this - 80.95%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 28 Selected Experts predict this event. Sporting (votes: 24 - 85.7%). Tie (votes: 4 - 14.3%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gil Vicente won 0.
    • Gil Vicente has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Sporting is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • In this match, Sporting is the clear favorite.
    • There will not play in Gil Vicente: Konan G. (International duty) Mutombo J. (Injury) Thomas Luciano (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Sporting: Catamo G. (International duty) Debast Z. (Knee Injury) Diomande O. (International duty) Goncalves P. (Muscle Injury) Quenda G. (Foot Injury) Santos N. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Gil Vicente: Moreira A. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Gil Vicente won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 17 matches, and goals 13:45. (average 0.7:2.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Gil Vicente won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 6:22. (average 0.5:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Gil Vicente - Sporting Lisbon were as follows:
    04.05.2025 Sporting Lisbon - Gil Vicente 2:1
    27.02.2025 Gil Vicente - Sporting Lisbon 0:1
    22.12.2024 Gil Vicente - Sporting Lisbon 0:0
    12.04.2024 Gil Vicente - Sporting Lisbon 0:4
    04.12.2023 Sporting Lisbon - Gil Vicente 3:1
    Latest results of Gil Vicente
    28.12.2025 Arouca - Gil Vicente 2:2 ✺
    20.12.2025 Gil Vicente - Rio Ave 2:2 ✺
    13.12.2025 Casa Pia - Gil Vicente 1:1 ✺
    08.12.2025 Vitoria Guimarães - Gil Vicente 0:0 ✺
    29.11.2025 Gil Vicente - Tondela 0:1 ✺
    Latest results of Sporting Lisbon
    28.12.2025 Sporting Lisbon - Rio Ave 4:0 ✺
    23.12.2025 Vitoria Guimarães - Sporting Lisbon 1:4 ✺
    18.12.2025 Santa Clara - Sporting Lisbon 2:3 ✺
    13.12.2025 Sporting Lisbon - AVS 6:0 ✺
    09.12.2025 Bayern Munich - Sporting Lisbon 3:1 ✺
    Liga Portugal Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Porto31264163:154882
    2Benfica31229067:204775
    3Sporting CP31227277:225573
    4Braga31168759:312856
    5Famalicao31149839:271251
    6Gil Vicente311310846:321449
    7Vitoria Guimaraes311261338:43-542
    8Moreirense311161434:45-1139
    9Alverca311081334:49-1538
    10Estoril311071451:52-137
    11Arouca311051639:60-2135
    12Rio Ave318101333:52-1934
    13Santa Clara31881528:38-1032
    14Nacional31871634:41-731
    15Estrela316101534:51-1728
    16Casa Pia315111529:55-2626
    17Tondela314101723:52-2922
    18AFS ✔ 311111922:65-4314

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Liga Portugal (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    AFS is Relegated to Liga Portugal 2
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