Result
04/05/2026 at 15:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Sporting Lisbon
73.6% | Draw
16.5% | Vitoria Guimarães
9.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sporting Lisbon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)Vitoria Guimarães has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
Sporting Lisbon - Vitoria Guimarães Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.28 ↑
(1.24) |
5.76 ↓
(5.82) |
9.51 ↓
(12.25) |
5.8%
(6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: ) and 7).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sporting won 3.
- Sporting has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Guimarães is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Guimarães may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Sporting is the undeniable favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sporting won 13 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 44:19. (average 2.2:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sporting won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 18:4. (average 1.8:0.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Sporting Lisbon won against Vitoria Guimarães?
Sporting Lisbon has won 5 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vitoria Guimarães won against Sporting Lisbon?
Vitoria Guimarães has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sporting Lisbon - Vitoria Guimarães were as follows:
06.01.2026
Sporting Lisbon
-
Vitoria Guimarães
1:2
23.12.2025
Vitoria Guimarães
-
Sporting Lisbon
1:4
17.05.2025
Sporting Lisbon
-
Vitoria Guimarães
2:0
03.01.2025
Vitoria Guimarães
-
Sporting Lisbon
4:4
21.04.2024
Sporting Lisbon
-
Vitoria Guimarães
3:0
Latest results of Sporting Lisbon
Latest results of Vitoria Guimarães
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Porto | 31 | 26 | 4 | 1 | 63:15 | 48 | 82 |
| 2 | Benfica | 31 | 22 | 9 | 0 | 67:20 | 47 | 75 |
| 3 | Sporting CP | 31 | 22 | 7 | 2 | 77:22 | 55 | 73 |
| 4 | Braga | 31 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 59:31 | 28 | 56 |
| 5 | Famalicao | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 39:27 | 12 | 51 |
| 6 | Gil Vicente | 31 | 13 | 10 | 8 | 46:32 | 14 | 49 |
| 7 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 31 | 12 | 6 | 13 | 38:43 | -5 | 42 |
| 8 | Moreirense | 31 | 11 | 6 | 14 | 34:45 | -11 | 39 |
| 9 | Alverca | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 34:49 | -15 | 38 |
| 10 | Estoril | 31 | 10 | 7 | 14 | 51:52 | -1 | 37 |
| 11 | Arouca | 31 | 10 | 5 | 16 | 39:60 | -21 | 35 |
| 12 | Rio Ave | 31 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 33:52 | -19 | 34 |
| 13 | Santa Clara | 31 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 28:38 | -10 | 32 |
| 14 | Nacional | 31 | 8 | 7 | 16 | 34:41 | -7 | 31 |
| 15 | Estrela | 31 | 6 | 10 | 15 | 34:51 | -17 | 28 |
| 16 | Casa Pia | 31 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 29:55 | -26 | 26 |
| 17 | Tondela | 31 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 23:52 | -29 | 22 |
| 18 | AFS ✔ | 31 | 1 | 11 | 19 | 22:65 | -43 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
Clinched Spots for Teams
AFS is Relegated to Liga Portugal 2
