Montpellier vs Saint-Étienne: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer French Ligue 1 Montpellier - Saint-Étienne
Result
0:2
09/04/2025 at 11:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • FRANCE: Ligue 1 - Round 26
  • Referee: Letexier F. (Fra)
Montpellier - Saint-Étienne - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.121.21
Ball Possession
41%59%
Total shots
1311
Shots on target
36
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
46
Passes
74% (152/206)76% (241/317)
Yellow Cards
13
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.121.21
Total shots
1311
Shots on target
36
Shots off target
72
Blocked Shots
33
Shots inside the Box
107
Shots outside the Box
34
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
46
Touches in opposition box
2625
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
74
Passes
74% (152/206)76% (241/317)
Passes in final third
59% (43/73)72% (81/112)
Crosses
19% (3/16)33% (2/6)
Fouls
47
Tackles
63% (10/16)53% (10/19)
Clearances Total
1725
Interceptions
84
Goalkeeper Saves
43

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 7', Davitashvili Z. 🟨,
  • 9', Bernauer M. 🟨,
  • 11', 0 - 1, Stassin L. , Cardona I. (A),
  • 15', Savanier T. 🟨,
  • 45', Bernauer M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Nzingoula R. , Khazri W. ,
  • 46', Sainte-Luce T. , Sylla I. ,
  • 46', Bouchouari B. , Abdelhamid Y. ,
  • 53', 0 - 2, Stassin L. , Davitashvili Z. (A),

Chances of winning


Montpellier
40.9%
Draw
26.7%
Saint-Étienne
32.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.3% 25.2% 29.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44% 25.9% 30.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Montpellier has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)
  • Saint-Étienne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montpellier than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Saint-Étienne than the current prediction. (-2%)
  • Montpellier - Saint-Étienne Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.33
    (2.1)
    3.58
    (3.78)
    2.93
    (3.23)
    5%
    (5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

  • Watch this match and French Ligue 1 with fubo (for US customers)
  • Network on : beIN SPORTS Xtra En Español
  • What is the prediction for Montpellier - Saint-Étienne?
  • Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Montpellier will win (votes: 12 - 54.5%). Saint-Étienne will win (votes: 4 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 27.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Montpellier: 33.7%75.3%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Montpellier won 2.
    • Montpellier has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Saint-Étienne is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Montpellier could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Montpellier will have a poor advantage in this game.
    • There will not play in Montpellier: Ferri J. (Yellow Cards) Jullien C. (Knee Injury) Maksimovic N. (Thigh Injury) Omeragic B. (Knee Injury) Sylla I. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Saint-Étienne: Old B. (Knee Injury) Wadji I. (Injury)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Montpellier won 8 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 16:22 (average 0.8:1.1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Montpellier won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 11:14 (average 1:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Montpellier - Saint-Étienne were as follows:
    23.11.2024 Saint-Étienne - Montpellier 1:0
    31.07.2024 Montpellier - Saint-Étienne 1:2
    Latest results of Montpellier
    06.04.2025 Montpellier - Le Havre 0:2
    30.03.2025 Auxerre - Montpellier 1:0
    08.03.2025 Lille - Montpellier 1:0
    02.03.2025 Montpellier - Rennes 0:4
    23.02.2025 Nice - Montpellier 2:0
    Latest results of Saint-Étienne
    06.04.2025 Lens - Saint-Étienne 1:0
    09.03.2025 Le Havre - Saint-Étienne 1:1
    01.03.2025 Saint-Étienne - Nice 1:3
    22.02.2025 Saint-Étienne - Angers 3:3
    French Ligue 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Auxerre00000:000
    2Le Havre00000:000
    3Lille00000:000
    4Lorient00000:000
    5Metz00000:000
    6Monaco00000:000
    7Nantes00000:000
    8Nice00000:000
    9PSG00000:000
    10Strasbourg00000:000
    11Angers00000:000
    12Brest00000:000
    13Paris FC00000:000
    14Marseille00000:000
    15Toulouse00000:000
    16Lens00000:000
    17Rennes00000:000
    18Lyon00000:000

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ Ligue 2

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