Result
1:1
21/01/2026 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Primera Division - Clausura - Round 2
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
El-salvador | Canal 4, TCS GO |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 36', Steib M. 🟥,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 50', 0 - 1, Osorio H. ⚽,
- 58', Carballo Diaz F. G. 🟥,
- 85', 1 - 1, Alesson ⚽,
Chances of winning
Cacahuatique 19.6% | Draw 28.7% | Alianza San Miguel 51.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Cacahuatique have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.Alianza San Miguel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cacahuatique than the current prediction. (-0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alianza San Miguel than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
Cacahuatique - Alianza San Miguel Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
4.61 ↑ (4.59) |
3.16 ↓ (3.19) |
1.75 ↑ (1.73) |
10.6% (11%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Cacahuatique - Alianza San Miguel?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Alianza San Miguel will win
(4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cacahuatique won 0.
- Recent performances by Cacahuatique have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Alianza is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Cacahuatique may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Alianza is considered a favorite.
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Cacahuatique won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 8:23. (average 0.8:2.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cacahuatique won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 4:13. (average 0.8:2.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Cacahuatique won against Alianza San Miguel?
Cacahuatique has won 2 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Alianza San Miguel won against Cacahuatique?
Alianza San Miguel has won 8 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cacahuatique - Alianza San Miguel were as follows:
13.12.2025
Alianza San Miguel
-
Cacahuatique
3:0
07.12.2025
Cacahuatique
-
Alianza San Miguel
1:2
24.09.2025
Alianza San Miguel
-
Cacahuatique
2:1
23.07.2025
Cacahuatique
-
Alianza San Miguel
1:2
10.05.2025
Alianza San Miguel
-
Cacahuatique
4:0
Latest results of Cacahuatique
Latest results of Alianza San Miguel
El Salvador Primera Division Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FAS | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 19:6 | 13 | 24 |
| 2 | Luis Angel Firpo | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 16:10 | 6 | 20 |
| 3 | Alianza FC | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 19:12 | 7 | 19 |
| 4 | Aguila | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 17:15 | 2 | 19 |
| 5 | Inter F.A | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 15:9 | 6 | 17 |
| 6 | Metapan | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 13:12 | 1 | 16 |
| 7 | Municipal Limeno | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 12:8 | 4 | 15 |
| 8 | Cacahuatique | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 11:11 | 0 | 13 |
| 9 | Platense Municipal | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 11:15 | -4 | 9 |
| 10 | Fuerte San Francisco | 10 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 8:18 | -10 | 5 |
| 11 | Hercules | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 10:25 | -15 | 5 |
| 12 | Zacatecoluca | 10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8:18 | -10 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Primera Division (Clausura ~ Play Offs: )