Bolton Wanderers vs Mansfield Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
29/12/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • League One - Round 23
  • Referee: Wright P. (Eng)

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.300.77
Ball Possession
79%21%
Total shots
227
Shots on target
43
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
132
Passes
88% (563/643)51% (91/179)
Yellow Cards
23
Expected Goals (xG)
2.300.77
xG on target (xGOT)
1.111.10
Total shots
227
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
123
Blocked Shots
61
Shots inside the Box
142
Shots outside the Box
85
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
132
Touches in opposition box
467
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
74
Passes
88% (563/643)51% (91/179)
Long passes
45% (23/51)21% (13/61)
Passes in final third
82% (200/244)39% (24/62)
Crosses
18% (9/51)29% (2/7)
Expected assists (xA)
1.590.25
Throw-ins
2726
Fouls
47
Tackles
71% (10/14)55% (11/20)
Duels won
5738
Clearances
2045
Interceptions
914
Errors leading to shot
11
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
25
xGOT faced
1.101.11
Goals prevented
0.101.11

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 21', Hewitt E. 🟨,
  • 28', Hewitt E. , Reed L. ,
  • 43', 0 - 1, Oates R. , Moriah-Welsh N. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 55', Dickov M. , Evans W. ,
  • 58', Simons X. , Morley A. ,
  • 58', Sheehan J. 🟨,
  • 64', Moriah-Welsh N. 🟨,
  • 66', Dalby S. , Burstow M. ,
  • 66', Randall J. , Dempsey K. ,
  • 66', Oates R. , Bolton L. ,
  • 66', McAdam K. , McLaughlin S. ,
  • 75', Gale T. , Cissoko I. ,
  • 75', Johnston G. , Forss M. ,
  • 81', Cissoko I. 🟨,
  • 84', Reed L. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Bolton Wanderers
67.7%
Draw
20%
Mansfield Town
12.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58.1% 24% 17.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.3% 22.7% 17%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Bolton Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bolton Wanderers's performance.
  • Mansfield Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mansfield Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bolton Wanderers than the current prediction. (-6.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bolton Wanderers that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mansfield Town than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
  • Bolton Wanderers - Mansfield Town Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.38
    (1.58)
    4.69
    (3.83)
    7.51
    (5.13)
    7.1%
    (8.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Bolton Wanderers - Mansfield Town?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH -1 - Bolton (1.63) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Bolton Wanderers will win (25 of 27 users predict this - 92.59%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 82.71%100%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Bolton Wanderers will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Bolton (votes: 5 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: ) and 17).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bolton won 4.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • In this match, Bolton is the obvious favorite.
    • There will not play in Bolton: Adeboyejo V. (Knee Injury) McAtee J. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Mansfield: Bolton L. (Knee Injury) Hendry R. (Inactive) Knoyle K. (Inactive) Maris G. (Inactive) Roberts T. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Bolton: Erhahon E. (Inactive) Taylor R. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Mansfield: Akins L. (Inactive) Bowery J. (Inactive) Gardner J. (Inactive) McDonnell J. (Inactive)
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Bolton won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 11:7. (average 1.8:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Bolton won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 2:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Bolton Wanderers - Mansfield Town were as follows:
    09.12.2025 Mansfield Town - Bolton Wanderers 0:1
    01.01.2025 Mansfield Town - Bolton Wanderers 2:1
    03.12.2024 Bolton Wanderers - Mansfield Town 3:1
    13.08.2024 Bolton Wanderers - Mansfield Town 2:1
    Latest results of Bolton Wanderers
    Latest results of Mansfield Town
    English League One Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lincoln ✔ 463110589:4148103
    2Cardiff ✔ 462710990:504091
    3Stockport County4622111371:581377
    4Bradford City4622111358:51777
    5Bolton ✔ 461918970:521875
    6Stevenage4621121349:46375
    7Luton4621111468:561274
    8Plymouth462271775:631273
    9Huddersfield4618131574:641067
    10Mansfield4616171362:501265
    11Wycombe4617121769:581163
    12Reading4616151564:60463
    13Blackpool461792054:65-1160
    14Doncaster461792050:69-1960
    15Barnsley4615141768:73-559
    16Wigan4614141849:58-956
    17Burton4613151850:60-1054
    18Peterborough461582364:68-453
    19AFC Wimbledon461582351:72-2153
    20Leyton Orient4614102259:71-1252
    21Exeter4612132152:61-949
    22Port Vale ✔ 4610122436:61-2542
    23Rotherham ✔ 4610112541:71-3041
    24Northampton ✔ 46982939:74-3535

          Promotion ~ Championship
          Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ League Two

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Lincoln is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Championship
    Cardiff is Qualified for Championship
    Bolton is Qualified for League One (Play Offs )
    Port Vale is Relegated to League Two
    Rotherham is Relegated to League Two
    Northampton is Relegated to League Two