Result
0:1
29/12/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 23
- Referee: Wright P. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.30 | 0.77 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 79% | 21% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (563/643) | 51% (91/179) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.30 | 0.77 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.11 | 1.10 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 12 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 14 | 2 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 46 | 7 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (563/643) | 51% (91/179) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (23/51) | 21% (13/61) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 82% (200/244) | 39% (24/62) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 18% (9/51) | 29% (2/7) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.59 | 0.25 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 27 | 26 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (10/14) | 55% (11/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 57 | 38 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 45 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 14 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.10 | 1.11 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.10 | 1.11 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 21', Hewitt E. 🟨,
- 28', Hewitt E. ↓, Reed L. ↑,
- 43', 0 - 1, Oates R. ⚽, Moriah-Welsh N. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 55', Dickov M. ↓, Evans W. ↑,
- 58', Simons X. ↓, Morley A. ↑,
- 58', Sheehan J. 🟨,
- 64', Moriah-Welsh N. 🟨,
- 66', Dalby S. ↓, Burstow M. ↑,
- 66', Randall J. ↓, Dempsey K. ↑,
- 66', Oates R. ↓, Bolton L. ↑,
- 66', McAdam K. ↓, McLaughlin S. ↑,
- 75', Gale T. ↓, Cissoko I. ↑,
- 75', Johnston G. ↓, Forss M. ↑,
- 81', Cissoko I. 🟨,
- 84', Reed L. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Bolton Wanderers
67.7% | Draw
20% | Mansfield Town
12.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bolton Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bolton Wanderers's performance.Mansfield Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mansfield Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bolton Wanderers than the current prediction. (-6.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bolton Wanderers that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mansfield Town than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
Bolton Wanderers - Mansfield Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.38 ↓
(1.58) |
4.69 ↑
(3.83) |
7.51 ↑
(5.13) |
7.1%
(8.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Bolton Wanderers - Mansfield Town?
Users Predictions:
27 users predict this event. Bolton will win (votes: 25 - 92.6%). Mansfield will win (votes: 1 - 3.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 3.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bolton: 82.7% – 100%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -1 - Bolton (1.63) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Bolton Wanderers will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Bolton (votes: 5 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: ) and 17).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bolton won 4.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- In this match, Bolton is the obvious favorite.
- There will not play in Bolton: Adeboyejo V.
(Knee Injury)
McAtee J.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Mansfield: Bolton L.
(Knee Injury)
Hendry R.
(Inactive)
Knoyle K.
(Inactive)
Maris G.
(Inactive)
Roberts T.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Bolton: Erhahon E.
(Inactive)
Taylor R.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Mansfield: Akins L.
(Inactive)
Bowery J.
(Inactive)
Gardner J.
(Inactive)
McDonnell J.
(Inactive)
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Bolton won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 11:7. (average 1.8:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Bolton won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 2:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Bolton Wanderers won against Mansfield Town?
Bolton Wanderers has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mansfield Town won against Bolton Wanderers?
Mansfield Town has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Bolton Wanderers - Mansfield Town were as follows:
09.12.2025
Mansfield Town
-
Bolton Wanderers
0:1
01.01.2025
Mansfield Town
-
Bolton Wanderers
2:1
03.12.2024
Bolton Wanderers
-
Mansfield Town
3:1
13.08.2024
Bolton Wanderers
-
Mansfield Town
2:1
Latest results of Bolton Wanderers
Latest results of Mansfield Town
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cardiff | 34 | 22 | 6 | 6 | 68:36 | 32 | 72 |
| 2 | Lincoln | 34 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 63:31 | 32 | 71 |
| 3 | Bolton | 35 | 16 | 13 | 6 | 50:34 | 16 | 61 |
| 4 | Bradford City | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 43:38 | 5 | 58 |
| 5 | Stockport County | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 47:43 | 4 | 56 |
| 6 | Huddersfield | 35 | 15 | 7 | 13 | 55:46 | 9 | 52 |
| 7 | Reading | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 50:44 | 6 | 51 |
| 8 | Stevenage | 33 | 14 | 9 | 10 | 37:35 | 2 | 51 |
| 9 | Wycombe | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 49:36 | 13 | 50 |
| 10 | Luton | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 43:41 | 2 | 47 |
| 11 | Peterborough | 35 | 14 | 4 | 17 | 50:49 | 1 | 46 |
| 12 | Plymouth | 34 | 14 | 4 | 16 | 49:50 | -1 | 46 |
| 13 | Barnsley | 31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | 53:53 | 0 | 44 |
| 14 | AFC Wimbledon | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 41:48 | -7 | 43 |
| 15 | Exeter | 33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | 38:39 | -1 | 41 |
| 16 | Mansfield | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 39:37 | 2 | 40 |
| 17 | Burton | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 38:49 | -11 | 39 |
| 18 | Doncaster | 33 | 11 | 6 | 16 | 36:55 | -19 | 39 |
| 19 | Wigan | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 35:46 | -11 | 37 |
| 20 | Blackpool | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 40:54 | -14 | 37 |
| 21 | Leyton Orient | 33 | 10 | 6 | 17 | 44:56 | -12 | 36 |
| 22 | Northampton | 35 | 9 | 8 | 18 | 31:47 | -16 | 35 |
| 23 | Rotherham | 33 | 9 | 7 | 17 | 33:47 | -14 | 34 |
| 24 | Port Vale | 32 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 26:44 | -18 | 27 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
