Rotherham United vs Bolton Wanderers – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
14/03/2026 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League One - Round 37
  • Referee: Oldham J. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.852.22
Ball possession
37%63%
Total shots
1019
Shots on target
510
Big chances
34
Corner kicks
86
Passes
60% (158/265)79% (358/455)
Yellow cards
31
Expected goals (xG)
0.852.22
xG on target (xGOT)
0.832.12
Total shots
1019
Shots on target
510
Shots off target
54
Blocked shots
05
Shots inside the box
616
Shots outside the box
43
Hit the woodwork
00
Headed goals
01
Big chances
34
Corner kicks
86
Touches in opposition box
2131
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
27
Free kicks
714
Passes
60% (158/265)79% (358/455)
Long passes
37% (26/70)50% (35/70)
Passes in final third
52% (64/122)64% (80/125)
Crosses
16% (3/19)33% (8/24)
Expected assists (xA)
0.862.26
Throw ins
1728
Fouls
147
Tackles
71% (15/21)71% (15/21)
Duels won
5366
Clearances
3648
Interceptions
96
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
73
xGOT faced
2.120.83
Goals prevented
0.12-1.17

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 13', Erhahon E. 🟨,
  • 21', Blackett-Taylor C. , Gale T. ,
  • 38', Rafferty J. 🟨,
  • 39', 1 - 0, Nombe S. ,
  • 42', 2 - 0, Nombe S. , Martha A. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 46', Rodrigues R. , Kenny J. ,
  • 46', Erhahon E. , Dempsey K. ,
  • 48', Cover B. 🟨,
  • 51', 2 - 1, Forino-Joseph C. , Kenny J. (A),
  • 57', Cann T. 🟨,
  • 58', Rafferty J. , Benson J. ,
  • 67', Osei-Tutu J. , Christie C. ,
  • 78', Martha A. , Watmore D. ,
  • 79', Conway M. , Apter R. ,
  • 83', 2 - 2, Dalby S. , Kenny J. (A),
  • 89', Agbaire L. , Adegboyega E. ,
  • 89', Gray H. , Biancheri G. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Rotherham United
22.9%
Draw
24.9%
Bolton Wanderers
52.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
22.3% 25.3% 52.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.8% 24.7% 53.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Rotherham United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
  • Bolton Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rotherham United than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bolton Wanderers than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
  • Rotherham United - Bolton Wanderers Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.09
    (4.15)
    3.75
    (3.65)
    1.79
    (1.76)
    6.9%
    (8.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Rotherham United - Bolton Wanderers?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH +0.5 - Rotherham (2.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Bolton Wanderers will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 53.51%100%.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Rotherham (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rotherham won 3.
    • Rotherham is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Bolton is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Rotherham may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Bolton is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Rotherham: Douglas H. (Injury) Hall D. (Inactive) Hatton B. (Inactive) Hugill J. (Inactive) Kaleta M. (Injury) Kayode J. (Knee Injury) Spence K. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Bolton: Cozier-Duberry A. (Inactive) Forss M. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Rotherham: Yearwood D. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Bolton: McAtee J. (Inactive) Taylor R. (Inactive)
    • In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Rotherham won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 29:16. (average 2.1:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Rotherham won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 22:7. (average 3.1:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Rotherham United - Bolton Wanderers were as follows:
    26.12.2025 Bolton Wanderers - Rotherham United 1:0
    02.09.2025 Bolton Wanderers - Rotherham United 1:0
    08.04.2025 Bolton Wanderers - Rotherham United 0:1
    11.01.2025 Rotherham United - Bolton Wanderers 3:1
    Latest results of Rotherham United
    Latest results of Bolton Wanderers
    English League One Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lincoln ✔ 463110589:4148103
    2Cardiff ✔ 462710990:504091
    3Stockport County4622111371:581377
    4Bradford City4622111358:51777
    5Bolton ✔ 461918970:521875
    6Stevenage4621121349:46375
    7Luton4621111468:561274
    8Plymouth462271775:631273
    9Huddersfield4618131574:641067
    10Mansfield4616171362:501265
    11Wycombe4617121769:581163
    12Reading4616151564:60463
    13Blackpool461792054:65-1160
    14Doncaster461792050:69-1960
    15Barnsley4615141768:73-559
    16Wigan4614141849:58-956
    17Burton4613151850:60-1054
    18Peterborough461582364:68-453
    19AFC Wimbledon461582351:72-2153
    20Leyton Orient4614102259:71-1252
    21Exeter4612132152:61-949
    22Port Vale ✔ 4610122436:61-2542
    23Rotherham ✔ 4610112541:71-3041
    24Northampton ✔ 46982939:74-3535

          Promotion ~ Championship
          Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ League Two

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Lincoln is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Championship
    Cardiff is Qualified for Championship
    Bolton is Qualified for League One (Play Offs )
    Port Vale is Relegated to League Two
    Rotherham is Relegated to League Two
    Northampton is Relegated to League Two