Result
3:2
08/03/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 29
- Referee: Crezzini V. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | DAZN Italia, LAB Channel |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.00 | 0.78 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 64% | 36% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (497/556) | 75% (243/322) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.00 | 0.78 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.72 | 1.66 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 30 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 26 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (497/556) | 75% (243/322) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (19/44) | 35% (18/51) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 77% (111/144) | 62% (61/98) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (9/37) | 27% (4/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.35 | 0.68 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 17 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 26 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 53% (9/17) | 74% (14/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 62 | 51 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 33 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.66 | 2.72 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.34 | -0.28 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 1', 0 - 1, Elia S. ⚽, Curto M. (A),
- 15', 0 - 2, Nasti M. ⚽, Magnino L. (A),
- 17', Yepes G. 🟨,
- 24', Magnino L. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 46', D'Alessandro M. ↓, Alesi G. ↑,
- 46', Yepes G. ↓, Haas N. ↑,
- 46', Elia S. ↓, Candela A. ↑,
- 56', 1 - 2, Pittarello F. ⚽,
- 58', Ilie R. ↓, Ignacchiti L. ↑,
- 63', 2 - 2, Pittarello F. ⚽, Iemmello P. (A),
- 66', Saporiti E. ↓, Fila D. ↑,
- 72', Liberali M. ↓, Nuamah P. ↑,
- 73', 3 - 2, Cassandro T. ⚽, Pittarello F. (A),
- 84', Curto M. ↓, Bianchi F. ↑,
- 84', Pontisso S. ↓, Pompetti M. ↑,
- 84', Iemmello P. ↓, Frosinini R. ↑,
- 86', Matias Antonini 🟨,
- 90+1', Pittarello F. ↓, Koffi N. ↑,
Chances of winning
Catanzaro
42.5% | Draw
28.4% | Empoli
29.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Catanzaro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)Empoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Catanzaro than the current prediction. (+7.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Catanzaro, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Empoli than the current prediction. (-5.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Empoli, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Catanzaro - Empoli Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.21 ↑
(2) |
3.29 ↑
(3.25) |
3.2 ↓
(3.71) |
6.9%
(7.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Catanzaro - Empoli?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Catanzaro will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Empoli will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Catanzaro: 23.1% – 88.1%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Catanzaro (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- DC - Empoli (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DNB - Catanzaro (1.59) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Catanzaro (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Empoli (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 13).
- Catanzaro is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Empoli has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Catanzaro may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Catanzaro might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Catanzaro: Cisse A.
(Injury)
Di Francesco F.
(Inactive)
Oudin R.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Empoli: Ghion A.
(Inactive)
Lovato M.
(Red Card)
Pellegri P.
(Injury)
Popov B.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Catanzaro: Verrengia B.
(Injury)
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Catanzaro won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:5. (average 0.5:2.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Catanzaro won against Empoli?
Catanzaro has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Empoli won against Catanzaro?
Empoli has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Catanzaro - Empoli were as follows:
08.11.2025
Empoli
-
Catanzaro
1:0
10.08.2024
Empoli
-
Catanzaro
4:1
Latest results of Catanzaro
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Venezia | 32 | 20 | 8 | 4 | 64:27 | 37 | 68 |
| 2 | Frosinone | 32 | 18 | 11 | 3 | 62:32 | 30 | 65 |
| 3 | Monza | 32 | 19 | 8 | 5 | 50:26 | 24 | 65 |
| 4 | Palermo | 32 | 17 | 10 | 5 | 52:27 | 25 | 61 |
| 5 | Catanzaro | 31 | 14 | 10 | 7 | 49:38 | 11 | 52 |
| 6 | Modena | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 42:25 | 17 | 50 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia | 32 | 10 | 15 | 7 | 38:38 | 0 | 45 |
| 8 | Cesena | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | 41:47 | -6 | 43 |
| 9 | Carrarese | 32 | 9 | 12 | 11 | 41:42 | -1 | 39 |
| 10 | Avellino | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 37:51 | -14 | 39 |
| 11 | Sudtirol | 32 | 8 | 14 | 10 | 34:35 | -1 | 38 |
| 12 | Empoli | 32 | 8 | 12 | 12 | 43:47 | -4 | 36 |
| 13 | Padova | 32 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 32:43 | -11 | 34 |
| 14 | Mantova | 32 | 9 | 7 | 16 | 36:48 | -12 | 34 |
| 15 | Sampdoria | 32 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 31:43 | -12 | 34 |
| 16 | Entella | 32 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 31:45 | -14 | 34 |
| 17 | Bari | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 30:50 | -20 | 31 |
| 18 | Spezia | 32 | 7 | 9 | 16 | 31:46 | -15 | 30 |
| 19 | Reggiana | 32 | 7 | 9 | 16 | 30:49 | -19 | 30 |
| 20 | Pescara | 32 | 6 | 11 | 15 | 43:58 | -15 | 29 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
