Result
0:1
17/01/2026 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 20
- Referee: Di Marco D. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | DAZN Italia, LAB Channel |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.24 | 2.60 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (325/408) | 77% (250/325) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.24 | 2.60 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.00 | 2.11 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 12 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 13 | 25 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 20 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (325/408) | 77% (250/325) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 34% (13/38) | 29% (12/42) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (90/129) | 74% (71/96) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 9% (3/33) | 27% (3/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.32 | 0.75 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 20 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 20 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 86% (12/14) | 82% (9/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 57 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 29 | 42 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.11 | 0.00 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.11 | 0.00 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 37', 0 - 1, Candellone L. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Nikolaou D. ↓, Rao E. ↑,
- 46', Giorgini A. 🟨,
- 47', Zeroli K. 🟨,
- 49', Piscopo K. 🟨,
- 61', Antonucci M. ↓, Bellomo N. ↑,
- 62', Maggiore G. ↓, Pagano R. ↑,
- 62', Braunoder M. 🟨,
- 68', Zeroli K. ↓, Mosti N. ↑,
- 68', Piscopo K. ↓, Cacciamani A. ↑,
- 69', Maistro F. ↓, Burnete R. ↑,
- 74', Carissoni L. 🟨,
- 84', Carissoni L. ↓, Baldi M. ↑,
- 84', Pucino R. ↓, Meroni A. ↑,
- 86', Verreth M. ↓, Cerri L. ↑,
- 89', Bellich M. ↓, Varnier M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Bari
29.8% | Draw
33% | Juve Stabia
37.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bari has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)Juve Stabia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bari than the current prediction. (+2.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juve Stabia than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
Bari - Juve Stabia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.09 ↑
(2.89) |
2.81 ↓
(2.89) |
2.52 ↓
(2.65) |
7.6%
(6.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Bari - Juve Stabia?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Bari will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). Juve Stabia will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 64.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 39.2% – 89.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Bari (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 9).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bari won 1.
- Bari is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- In recent matches, Juve Stabia has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Bari: Darboe E.
(Thigh Injury)
- There will not play in Juve Stabia: Battistella T.
(Knee Injury)
Duca E.
(Inactive)
Gabrielloni A.
(Inactive)
Morachioli G.
(Lacking Match Fitness)
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Bari won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:10. (average 1.2:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Bari won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 9:3. (average 1.5:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Bari won against Juve Stabia?
Bari has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Juve Stabia won against Bari?
Juve Stabia has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Bari - Juve Stabia were as follows:
04.12.2025
Juve Stabia
-
Bari
0:0
09.02.2025
Juve Stabia
-
Bari
3:1
17.08.2024
Bari
-
Juve Stabia
1:3
Latest results of Juve Stabia
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Venezia | 31 | 20 | 7 | 4 | 63:26 | 37 | 67 |
| 2 | Monza | 31 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 49:25 | 24 | 64 |
| 3 | Frosinone | 31 | 17 | 11 | 3 | 59:31 | 28 | 62 |
| 4 | Palermo | 31 | 16 | 10 | 5 | 51:27 | 24 | 58 |
| 5 | Catanzaro | 30 | 14 | 10 | 6 | 48:35 | 13 | 52 |
| 6 | Modena | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 40:24 | 16 | 47 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia | 31 | 9 | 15 | 7 | 35:37 | -2 | 42 |
| 8 | Cesena | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 38:46 | -8 | 40 |
| 9 | Avellino | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 36:49 | -13 | 39 |
| 10 | Sudtirol | 31 | 8 | 14 | 9 | 33:32 | 1 | 38 |
| 11 | Carrarese | 31 | 8 | 12 | 11 | 38:42 | -4 | 36 |
| 12 | Padova | 31 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 32:42 | -10 | 34 |
| 13 | Mantova | 31 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 35:46 | -11 | 34 |
| 14 | Empoli | 31 | 7 | 12 | 12 | 39:45 | -6 | 33 |
| 15 | Sampdoria | 31 | 7 | 10 | 14 | 29:42 | -13 | 31 |
| 16 | Bari | 31 | 7 | 10 | 14 | 30:47 | -17 | 31 |
| 17 | Entella | 31 | 7 | 10 | 14 | 28:45 | -17 | 31 |
| 18 | Spezia | 31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 30:43 | -13 | 30 |
| 19 | Reggiana | 31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 30:46 | -16 | 30 |
| 20 | Pescara | 31 | 6 | 11 | 14 | 41:54 | -13 | 29 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
