Result
08/05/2026 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Catanzaro 40.4% | Draw 30.2% | Bari 29.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Catanzaro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)Bari has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Catanzaro than the current prediction. (+2.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bari than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
Catanzaro - Bari Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.33 ↑ (2.27) |
3.08 ↓ (3.12) |
3.18 ↓ (3.22) |
6.9% (7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 17 in the zone Serie B (Play Out: )).
- Catanzaro is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Catanzaro won 2.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Catanzaro might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Catanzaro won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:15. (average 1.4:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Catanzaro won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:6. (average 1.8:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Catanzaro won against Bari?
Catanzaro has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bari won against Catanzaro?
Bari has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Catanzaro - Bari were as follows:
19.12.2025
Bari
-
Catanzaro
1:2
06.04.2025
Catanzaro
-
Bari
3:3
18.10.2024
Bari
-
Catanzaro
1:1
27.02.2024
Catanzaro
-
Bari
2:0
24.09.2023
Bari
-
Catanzaro
2:2
Latest results of Catanzaro
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Venezia ✔ | 37 | 23 | 10 | 4 | 75:31 | 44 | 79 |
| 2 | Frosinone | 37 | 22 | 12 | 3 | 71:34 | 37 | 78 |
| 3 | Monza | 37 | 22 | 9 | 6 | 59:30 | 29 | 75 |
| 4 | Palermo | 37 | 20 | 12 | 5 | 61:31 | 30 | 72 |
| 5 | Catanzaro ✔ | 37 | 15 | 14 | 8 | 60:48 | 12 | 59 |
| 6 | Modena ✔ | 37 | 15 | 10 | 12 | 49:35 | 14 | 55 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia ✔ | 37 | 11 | 17 | 9 | 43:44 | -1 | 50 |
| 8 | Avellino | 37 | 12 | 10 | 15 | 42:55 | -13 | 46 |
| 9 | Cesena | 37 | 12 | 10 | 15 | 42:52 | -10 | 46 |
| 10 | Mantova | 37 | 13 | 7 | 17 | 45:52 | -7 | 46 |
| 11 | Carrarese | 37 | 10 | 14 | 13 | 46:50 | -4 | 44 |
| 12 | Sampdoria | 37 | 11 | 11 | 15 | 35:47 | -12 | 44 |
| 13 | Padova | 37 | 11 | 10 | 16 | 35:46 | -11 | 43 |
| 14 | Empoli | 37 | 9 | 13 | 15 | 45:52 | -7 | 40 |
| 15 | Sudtirol | 37 | 8 | 16 | 13 | 37:47 | -10 | 40 |
| 16 | Entella | 37 | 9 | 12 | 16 | 34:50 | -16 | 39 |
| 17 | Bari | 37 | 9 | 10 | 18 | 35:58 | -23 | 37 |
| 18 | Pescara | 37 | 7 | 13 | 17 | 50:65 | -15 | 34 |
| 19 | Spezia | 37 | 8 | 10 | 19 | 42:58 | -16 | 34 |
| 20 | Reggiana | 37 | 8 | 10 | 19 | 35:56 | -21 | 34 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Venezia is Qualified for Serie A
Catanzaro is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Modena is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Juve Stabia is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)