Result
0:3
22/03/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 32
- Referee: Perenzoni D. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | DAZN Italia, LAB Channel |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.23 | 1.39 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (335/397) | 82% (305/373) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.23 | 1.39 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.04 | 1.10 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 27 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (335/397) | 82% (305/373) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 55% (18/33) | 43% (24/56) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 80% (110/137) | 67% (64/96) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (7/29) | 32% (6/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.29 | 0.88 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 15 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (14/22) | 65% (11/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 61 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.10 | 1.04 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.90 | 0.04 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 42', Illanes J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 3)
- 46', Illanes J. ↓, Imperiale M. ↑,
- 46', Rubino T. ↓, Finotto M. ↑,
- 47', 0 - 1, Rouhi J. ⚽,
- 49', Zanon S. 🟨,
- 56', Rouhi J. ↓, Belloni N. ↑,
- 61', Dickmann L. ↓, Pagano R. ↑,
- 68', Zanon S. ↓, Bouah D. ↑,
- 70', Esteves T. ↓, Piscopo K. ↑,
- 70', Artioli F. ↓, Traore D. ↑,
- 72', 0 - 2, Abiuso F. ⚽, Hasa L. (A),
- 75', Pucino R. ↓, Cavuoti N. ↑,
- 75', Rao E. ↓, Cuni M. ↑,
- 81', 0 - 3, Bouah D. ⚽, Abiuso F. (A),
- 83', Zuelli E. ↓, Lordkipanidze D. ↑,
Chances of winning
Bari
31.3% | Draw
31.2% | Carrarese
37.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bari has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)Carrarese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bari than the current prediction. (+2.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carrarese than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
Bari - Carrarese Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.94 ↑
(2.75) |
2.98 ↓
(3.1) |
2.5 ↑
(2.4) |
7.6%
(10.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Bari - Carrarese?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Bari will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Carrarese will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bari: 29% – 96%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Bari will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Serie B (Play Out: ) and 11).
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Bari: Burgio R.
(Inactive)
Darboe E.
(Thigh Injury)
De Pieri G.
(Yellow Cards)
Piscopo K.
(Inactive)
Sibilli G.
(Suspended)
- There will not play in Carrarese: Accornero F.
(Inactive)
Salamon B.
(Inactive)
Schiavi N.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Bari: Verreth M.
(Injury)
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Bari won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 0.8:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Bari won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Bari won against Carrarese?
Bari has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Carrarese won against Bari?
Carrarese has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Bari - Carrarese were as follows:
10.01.2026
Carrarese
-
Bari
1:0
30.03.2025
Carrarese
-
Bari
2:1
29.10.2024
Bari
-
Carrarese
0:0
Latest results of Carrarese
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Venezia | 36 | 23 | 9 | 4 | 73:29 | 44 | 78 |
| 2 | Monza | 36 | 22 | 9 | 5 | 57:27 | 30 | 75 |
| 3 | Frosinone | 36 | 21 | 12 | 3 | 70:34 | 36 | 75 |
| 4 | Palermo | 36 | 19 | 12 | 5 | 58:29 | 29 | 69 |
| 5 | Catanzaro ✔ | 36 | 15 | 14 | 7 | 58:45 | 13 | 59 |
| 6 | Modena ✔ | 36 | 14 | 10 | 12 | 47:34 | 13 | 52 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia | 36 | 11 | 17 | 8 | 43:43 | 0 | 50 |
| 8 | Avellino | 36 | 12 | 10 | 14 | 42:54 | -12 | 46 |
| 9 | Cesena | 36 | 12 | 9 | 15 | 42:52 | -10 | 45 |
| 10 | Carrarese | 36 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 46:50 | -4 | 43 |
| 11 | Mantova | 36 | 12 | 7 | 17 | 42:50 | -8 | 43 |
| 12 | Sampdoria | 36 | 10 | 11 | 15 | 34:47 | -13 | 41 |
| 13 | Sudtirol | 36 | 8 | 16 | 12 | 37:46 | -9 | 40 |
| 14 | Padova | 36 | 10 | 10 | 16 | 34:46 | -12 | 40 |
| 15 | Entella | 36 | 9 | 12 | 15 | 34:48 | -14 | 39 |
| 16 | Empoli | 36 | 8 | 13 | 15 | 44:52 | -8 | 37 |
| 17 | Pescara | 36 | 7 | 13 | 16 | 50:64 | -14 | 34 |
| 18 | Bari | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 33:58 | -25 | 34 |
| 19 | Reggiana | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 34:54 | -20 | 34 |
| 20 | Spezia | 36 | 8 | 9 | 19 | 40:56 | -16 | 33 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Catanzaro is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Modena is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
