Result
0:3
10/02/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 26
- Referee: Chilowicz A. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.63 | 1.48 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 62% | 38% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (356/456) | 66% (179/271) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.63 | 1.48 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.09 | 0.76 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 13 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 13 | 40 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (356/456) | 66% (179/271) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 35% (23/66) | 21% (15/70) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 52% (62/119) | 54% (71/132) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (5/15) | 33% (7/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.20 | 1.40 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 18 | 29 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 79% (11/14) | 38% (3/8) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 60 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 46 | 37 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.76 | 0.09 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -2.24 | 0.09 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 37', Darcy R. 🟨,
- 42', Hoddle G. ↓, Ball D. ↑,
- 44', 0 - 1, McLoughlin S. ⚽, Gibbons J. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 61', McKirdy H. ↓, Richards T. ↑,
- 61', Richards L. ↓, Gordon K. ↑,
- 68', Brophy J. ↓, Kaikai S. ↑,
- 68', Appere L. ↓, Lavery S. ↑,
- 69', Knight B. ↓, Purrington B. ↑,
- 69', Vassell T. ↓, Bajrami G. ↑,
- 76', 0 - 2, Kaikai S. ⚽, Lavery S. (A),
- 89', Gordon K. 🟨,
- 90+4', Williams J. 🟨,
- 90+5', Mpanzu P. ↓, Nevitt E. ↑,
- 90+5', 0 - 3, Kaikai S. ⚽, Bennett L. (A),
Chances of winning
Crawley Town
28.9% | Draw
27.9% | Cambridge United
43.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Crawley Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Crawley Town's form might have worsened.Cambridge United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cambridge United's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crawley Town than the current prediction. (+7.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Crawley Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cambridge United than the current prediction. (-7.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cambridge United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Crawley Town - Cambridge United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.24 ↑
(2.56) |
3.34 ↑
(3.25) |
2.16 ↓
(2.52) |
7.1%
(9.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Crawley Town - Cambridge United?
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Crawley will win (votes: 3 - 20%). Cambridge will win (votes: 11 - 73.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cambridge: 50.9% – 95.7%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Crawley (2.43) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DNB - Crawley (2.36) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Cambridge United will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Crawley (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Cambridge (votes: 5 - 71.4%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 20 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Crawley won 2.
- Crawley has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Cambridge is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Cambridge will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Crawley: Cashman D.
(Inactive)
Flower L.
(Inactive)
Malone S.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Cambridge: Kouassi K.
(Hamstring Injury)
Mayor A.
(Inactive)
Morrison M.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Crawley: Loft R.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Cambridge: Bradshaw Z.
(Inactive)
Smith K.
(Injury)
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Crawley won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 17:22. (average 1.1:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Crawley won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:7. (average 1.1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Crawley Town won against Cambridge United?
Crawley Town has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cambridge United won against Crawley Town?
Cambridge United has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Crawley Town - Cambridge United were as follows:
04.10.2025
Cambridge United
-
Crawley Town
3:1
01.03.2025
Crawley Town
-
Cambridge United
0:2
17.08.2024
Cambridge United
-
Crawley Town
0:1
Latest results of Crawley Town
Latest results of Cambridge United
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bromley | 39 | 22 | 13 | 4 | 62:36 | 26 | 79 |
| 2 | MK Dons | 39 | 21 | 11 | 7 | 76:40 | 36 | 74 |
| 3 | Cambridge Utd | 38 | 20 | 12 | 6 | 56:28 | 28 | 72 |
| 4 | Notts Co | 38 | 21 | 7 | 10 | 65:39 | 26 | 70 |
| 5 | Swindon | 39 | 21 | 6 | 12 | 63:45 | 18 | 69 |
| 6 | Salford | 39 | 21 | 4 | 14 | 54:48 | 6 | 67 |
| 7 | Grimsby | 38 | 17 | 11 | 10 | 56:40 | 16 | 62 |
| 8 | Chesterfield | 39 | 16 | 14 | 9 | 61:52 | 9 | 62 |
| 9 | Crewe | 39 | 17 | 9 | 13 | 58:47 | 11 | 60 |
| 10 | Walsall | 39 | 17 | 9 | 13 | 48:41 | 7 | 60 |
| 11 | Oldham | 37 | 15 | 13 | 9 | 44:31 | 13 | 58 |
| 12 | Barnet | 39 | 15 | 12 | 12 | 49:43 | 6 | 57 |
| 13 | Fleetwood | 39 | 14 | 12 | 13 | 48:46 | 2 | 54 |
| 14 | Colchester | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 50:41 | 9 | 53 |
| 15 | Accrington | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 38:42 | -4 | 48 |
| 16 | Gillingham | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 44:56 | -12 | 45 |
| 17 | Bristol Rovers | 39 | 13 | 4 | 22 | 40:60 | -20 | 43 |
| 18 | Cheltenham | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 43:65 | -22 | 42 |
| 19 | Shrewsbury | 39 | 11 | 8 | 20 | 37:63 | -26 | 41 |
| 20 | Tranmere | 39 | 9 | 9 | 21 | 48:69 | -21 | 36 |
| 21 | Crawley | 39 | 6 | 13 | 20 | 36:60 | -24 | 31 |
| 22 | Newport | 39 | 8 | 7 | 24 | 39:67 | -28 | 31 |
| 23 | Harrogate | 39 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 29:58 | -29 | 30 |
| 24 | Barrow | 38 | 7 | 8 | 23 | 36:63 | -27 | 29 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
