Result
1:2
17/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 27
- Referee: Russell M. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.65 | 1.81 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (280/374) | 76% (274/361) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.65 | 1.81 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.82 | 1.63 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 12 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 30 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (280/374) | 76% (274/361) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 38% (26/69) | 36% (21/59) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 47% (47/99) | 72% (74/103) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 38% (6/16) | 27% (7/26) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.10 | 1.46 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 25 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 74% (14/19) | 63% (10/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 53 | 54 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 37 | 37 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.63 | 0.82 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.37 | -0.18 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 47', Williams J. 🟨,
- 54', 0 - 1, Jones J. ⚽, Tsaroulla N. (A),
- 64', Lolos K. 🟥,
- 68', Jones J. 🟨,
- 68', Pereira D. ↓, McKirdy H. ↑,
- 68', Williams J. ↓, Anderson M. ↑,
- 69', Jones J. ↓, Dennis M. ↑,
- 69', Grant C. ↓, Enoru B. ↑,
- 76', Iorpenda T. ↓, Hall T. ↑,
- 81', 0 - 2, Jatta A. ⚽,
- 85', Macari L. ↓, Ness L. ↑,
- 86', Tsaroulla N. ↓, Kouhyar Q. ↑,
- 90+3', Ness L. 🟨,
- 90+4', 1 - 2, McKirdy H. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Crawley Town
32.4% | Draw
27.2% | Notts County
40.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Crawley Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)Notts County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crawley Town than the current prediction. (+0.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Notts County than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
Crawley Town - Notts County Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.88 ↓
(2.92) |
3.41 ↓
(3.42) |
2.31 ↑
(2.26) |
7.5%
(7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Crawley Town - Notts County?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Crawley will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Notts County will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Crawley: 15.4% – 84.6%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Notts County (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 21 and 8).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Crawley won 1.
- Crawley is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Notts County has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Notts County may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Crawley: Anderson M.
(Thigh Injury)
Cashman D.
(Inactive)
Flower L.
(Inactive)
Malone S.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Notts County: Luker J.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Crawley: Loft R.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Notts County: Palmer M.
(Inactive)
Robertson S.
(Inactive)
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Crawley won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 19:34. (average 1.1:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Crawley won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:7. (average 0.9:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Crawley Town won against Notts County?
Crawley Town has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Notts County won against Crawley Town?
Notts County has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Crawley Town - Notts County were as follows:
20.09.2025
Notts County
-
Crawley Town
4:0
12.03.2024
Crawley Town
-
Notts County
2:1
28.11.2023
Notts County
-
Crawley Town
3:1
04.11.2023
Notts County
-
Crawley Town
3:2
Latest results of Crawley Town
Latest results of Notts County
English League Two Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bromley ✔ | 46 | 24 | 15 | 7 | 71:46 | 25 | 87 |
| 2 | MK Dons ✔ | 46 | 24 | 14 | 8 | 86:45 | 41 | 86 |
| 3 | Cambridge Utd | 46 | 22 | 16 | 8 | 66:33 | 33 | 82 |
| 4 | Salford | 46 | 25 | 6 | 15 | 61:51 | 10 | 81 |
| 5 | Notts Co | 46 | 24 | 8 | 14 | 74:52 | 22 | 80 |
| 6 | Chesterfield | 46 | 21 | 16 | 9 | 71:56 | 15 | 79 |
| 7 | Grimsby | 46 | 22 | 12 | 12 | 74:50 | 24 | 78 |
| 8 | Barnet | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 70:53 | 17 | 76 |
| 9 | Swindon | 46 | 22 | 9 | 15 | 70:59 | 11 | 75 |
| 10 | Oldham | 46 | 18 | 14 | 14 | 60:44 | 16 | 68 |
| 11 | Crewe | 46 | 19 | 10 | 17 | 64:58 | 6 | 67 |
| 12 | Colchester | 46 | 18 | 12 | 16 | 62:49 | 13 | 66 |
| 13 | Walsall | 46 | 18 | 11 | 17 | 56:56 | 0 | 65 |
| 14 | Bristol Rovers | 46 | 19 | 5 | 22 | 56:65 | -9 | 62 |
| 15 | Fleetwood | 46 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 57:58 | -1 | 61 |
| 16 | Accrington | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 47:58 | -11 | 53 |
| 17 | Gillingham | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 53:72 | -19 | 53 |
| 18 | Cheltenham | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 53:79 | -26 | 52 |
| 19 | Shrewsbury | 46 | 13 | 10 | 23 | 42:69 | -27 | 49 |
| 20 | Newport | 46 | 12 | 7 | 27 | 48:77 | -29 | 43 |
| 21 | Tranmere | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 54:79 | -25 | 41 |
| 22 | Crawley | 46 | 8 | 16 | 22 | 44:68 | -24 | 40 |
| 23 | Harrogate | 46 | 10 | 9 | 27 | 39:68 | -29 | 39 |
| 24 | Barrow | 46 | 9 | 9 | 28 | 45:78 | -33 | 36 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
Clinched Spots for Teams
Bromley is Qualified for League One
MK Dons is Qualified for League One
