Result
1:1
01/03/2026 at 18:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga Nacional - Clausura - Round 9
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Honduras | Deportes TV |
 North-central-america | Centro America TV |
 Usa | Fanatiz, Fubo Latino |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 5 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 6', Melendez C. 🟨,
- 34', Rodriguez D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 58', 0 - 1, Zuniga Bernardez C. J. ⚽,
- 59', Reyes A. ↓, Gomez R. ↑,
- 59', Da Silva R. L. ↓, Mejia C. ↑,
- 61', Lopez K. ↓, Mejia Y. ↑,
- 61', Delgado J. ↓, Martinez D. ↑,
- 62', Vega L. ↓, Santos M. ↑,
- 62', Macias J. ↓, John Kleber ↑,
- 73', Leiva G. ↓, Lasso J. ↑,
- 74', Melendez D. ↓, Serrano J. ↑,
- 85', Munoz N. ↓, Benitez E. ↑,
- 85', Gomez H. ↓, Calix C. ↑,
- 90', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 90+1', Fonseca H. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Motagua
52.5% | Draw
25.8% | Olancho
21.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Motagua has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)Olancho has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Motagua than the current prediction. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olancho than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
Motagua - Olancho Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.75 ↓
(1.76) |
3.56 ↓
(3.59) |
4.23 ↑
(3.85) |
9%
(10.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Triangulares: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Triangulares: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Motagua won 2.
- Motagua is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- In recent matches, Olancho has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Olancho may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Motagua is the team to beat.
- We predict that Motagua will win today's game, with odds of 1.76.
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Motagua won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 19:19. (average 1.1:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Motagua won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:11. (average 1.4:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Motagua won against Olancho?
Motagua has won 7 of their last 17 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Olancho won against Motagua?
Olancho has won 5 of their last 17 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Motagua - Olancho were as follows:
20.11.2025
Motagua
-
Olancho
3:2
09.08.2025
Olancho
-
Motagua
3:1
12.03.2025
Motagua
-
Olancho
1:0
25.01.2025
Olancho
-
Motagua
2:1
03.11.2024
Motagua
-
Olancho
2:2
Latest results of Motagua
Latest results of Olancho
Honduras Liga Nacional Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Motagua | 12 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 22:8 | 14 | 26 |
| 2 | Real Espana | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 24:17 | 7 | 26 |
| 3 | Olimpia | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 21:11 | 10 | 22 |
| 4 | Marathon | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 19:9 | 10 | 21 |
| 5 | Olancho | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 16:12 | 4 | 18 |
| 6 | UPNFM | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 17:19 | -2 | 16 |
| 7 | Platense | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 17:18 | -1 | 11 |
| 8 | Choloma | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 9:15 | -6 | 11 |
| 9 | Victoria | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 14:22 | -8 | 10 |
| 10 | Genesis | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 11:20 | -9 | 10 |
| 11 | Juticalpa | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 12:31 | -19 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Triangulares: )
