Result
1:4
23/08/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal - Round 3
- Referee: Costa B. J. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | ZAP |
 Brazil | Claro TV+, ESPN 2, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 7, Cytavision Sports 7 |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 6, Free |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL 2 |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 7 |
 Hungary | Sport 2 |
 Italy | DAZN Italia |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Lithuania | Sport 1 |
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
 Russia | TV Start, TV Start Triumph |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 5, Arena Sport 6 |
 Slovakia | Arena sport 2 |
 South-america | Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Play Latinoamerica |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 4 |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Sport, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Inter |
 World | Triller TV+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.71 | 2.67 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 27% | 73% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 3 | 27 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 66% (119/180) | 85% (424/496) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.71 | 2.67 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.24 | 2.28 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 3 | 27 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 11 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 9 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 16 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 0 | 11 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 13 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 6 | 49 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 66% (119/180) | 85% (424/496) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 38% (20/53) | 71% (30/42) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 56% (35/63) | 77% (152/198) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 30% (3/10) | 32% (7/22) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.88 | 2.07 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 14 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 45% (9/20) | 82% (9/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 39 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 46 | 9 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.28 | 0.24 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.72 | -0.76 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 3', 1 - 0, Leo Santos ⚽, Liziero (A),
- 26', Pablo Ruan 🟨,
- 30', Goncalves P. 🟨,
- 32', Morita H. ↓, Kochorashvili G. ↑,
- 37', Pablo Ruan 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 4)
- 46', Labidi C. ↓, Soares F. ↑,
- 52', 1 - 1, Goncalves P. ⚽, Suarez L. (A),
- 59', Paulinho Boia 🟨,
- 60', Mangas R. 🟨,
- 64', Fresneda I. ↓, Vagiannidis G. ↑,
- 64', Mangas R. ↓, Quenda G. ↑,
- 70', Ramirez J. ↓, Joao L. ↑,
- 75', Paulinho Boia ↓, Witi ↑,
- 75', Liziero ↓, Silva J. ↑,
- 76', 1 - 2, Goncalves P. ⚽, Inacio G. (A),
- 78', Catamo G. ↓, Harder C. ↑,
- 83', 1 - 3, Harder C. ⚽, Goncalves P. (A),
- 90', Matheus Dias ↓, Watts ↑,
- 90+3', 1 - 4, Goncalves P. ⚽, Suarez L. (A),
Chances of winning
Nacional
9.3% | Draw
16.2% | Sporting Lisbon
74.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nacional has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)Sporting Lisbon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
Nacional - Sporting Lisbon Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
10.19 ↑
(9.16) |
5.89 ↓
(5.97) |
1.3 ↑
(1.27) |
3.7%
(6.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Nacional - Sporting Lisbon?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Nacional will win (votes: 1 - 7.1%). Sporting will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 21.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sporting: 47.7% – 95.1%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Sporting (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nacional won 0.
- Sporting is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Sporting may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Sporting has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Sporting is the undisputed favorite.
- There will not play in Nacional: Baeza M.
(Muscle Injury)
Deivison
(Inactive)
Fernandes I.
(Inactive)
Ulisses
(Red Card)
- There will not play in Sporting: Araujo M.
(Injury)
Braganca D.
(Knee Injury)
Diomande O.
(Injury)
Matheus Reis
(Suspended)
Santos N.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Nacional: Joao L.
(Inactive)
Nourani M.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Nacional won 0 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 9:39. (average 0.5:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Nacional won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 5:19. (average 0.5:1.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Nacional won against Sporting Lisbon?
Nacional has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sporting Lisbon won against Nacional?
Sporting Lisbon has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nacional - Sporting Lisbon were as follows:
25.01.2025
Sporting Lisbon
-
Nacional
2:0
29.10.2024
Sporting Lisbon
-
Nacional
3:1
17.08.2024
Nacional
-
Sporting Lisbon
1:6
Latest results of Nacional
Latest results of Sporting Lisbon
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Porto | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 12:1 | 11 | 15 |
| 2 | Sporting CP | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 15:4 | 11 | 12 |
| 3 | Moreirense | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8:4 | 4 | 12 |
| 4 | Benfica | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7:2 | 5 | 10 |
| 5 | Famalicao | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6:2 | 4 | 10 |
| 6 | Braga | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 10:4 | 6 | 8 |
| 7 | Gil Vicente | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4:2 | 2 | 7 |
| 8 | Estoril | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 5 |
| 9 | Santa Clara | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 5 |
| 10 | Arouca | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7:11 | -4 | 5 |
| 11 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:8 | -4 | 4 |
| 12 | Nacional | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4:8 | -4 | 4 |
| 13 | Alverca | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5:9 | -4 | 4 |
| 14 | Estrela | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 3 |
| 15 | Rio Ave | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 7:9 | -2 | 3 |
| 16 | Casa Pia | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2:8 | -6 | 3 |
| 17 | AFS | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4:11 | -7 | 1 |
| 18 | Tondela | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2:10 | -8 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
