Sporting Lisbon vs Nacional – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Liga Portugal
Result
2:1
01/02/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Portugal - Round 20
  • Referee: Baixinho R. (Por)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 3
austriaAustriaDAZN
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 2, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
bulgariaBulgariaRing, Voyo
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 4
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 5, Cytavision Sports 5
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free
germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch, Sportdigital FUSSBALL
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 3
israelIsraelSport 2
italyItalyDAZN Italia
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kuwaitKuwaitKTV Sport Plus
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
polandPolandEleven Sports 4
portugalPortugalSport TV2
russiaRussiaTV Start, TV Start Triumph
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 2
slovakiaSlovakiaArena sport 1
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 4
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
turkeyTurkeyTivibu Spor 2
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 5

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.741.33
Ball possession
62%38%
Total shots
166
Shots on target
74
Big chances
32
Corner kicks
110
Passes
85% (454/533)79% (269/342)
Yellow cards
03
Expected goals (xG)
1.741.33
xG on target (xGOT)
2.271.24
Total shots
166
Shots on target
74
Shots off target
61
Blocked shots
31
Shots inside the box
113
Shots outside the box
52
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
32
Corner kicks
110
Touches in opposition box
418
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
32
Free kicks
1512
Passes
85% (454/533)79% (269/342)
Long passes
54% (20/37)41% (21/51)
Passes in final third
74% (114/155)59% (35/59)
Crosses
15% (5/33)10% (1/10)
Expected assists (xA)
1.790.30
Throw ins
2312
Fouls
1215
Tackles
82% (9/11)68% (13/19)
Duels won
4849
Clearances
2235
Interceptions
313
Errors leading to shot
11
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper saves
25
xGOT faced
1.242.27
Goals prevented
0.240.27

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 28', Leo Santos 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 55', Ze Vitor 🟨,
  • 64', Simoes J. ↓, Trincao ↑,
  • 64', Luis Guilherme ↓, Faye S. ↑,
  • 65', Paulinho Boia ↓, Witi ↑,
  • 72', 1 - 0, Goncalves P. ⚽,
  • 76', 1 - 1, Nunez A. ⚽,
  • 80', Catamo G. ↓, Alisson Santos ↑,
  • 80', Goncalves P. ↓, Kochorashvili G. ↑,
  • 80', Silva J. ↓, Labidi C. ↑,
  • 80', Gabriel Veron ↓, Daniel Junior ↑,
  • 87', Nunez A. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Liziero ↓, Sousa A. ↑,
  • 90+2', Ramirez J. ↓, Joao L. ↑,
  • 90+6', 2 - 1, Suarez L. ⚽, Alisson Santos (A),

Chances of winning


Sporting Lisbon
82.3%		Draw
11.8%		Nacional
5.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
82.3% 11.6% 6.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • The chances for Sporting Lisbon have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • Nacional has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
    •

    Sporting Lisbon - Nacional Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.15
    (1.15)    		 8.14
    (8.14)    		 16.24 ↑
    (15.64)    		 5.1%
    (5.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
    What is the prediction for Sporting Lisbon - Nacional?
  • Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Sporting will win (votes: 16 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 20%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Sporting: 62.5% – 97.5%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 8.5 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • AH -2.5 - Nacional (1.66) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 0.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • DC - Sporting (1.03) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • 1X2, 1st Half - Sporting (1.47) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH -1, 1st Half - Sporting (1.94) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Sporting Lisbon will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 18 high ROI users predict this event. Sporting (votes: 16 - 88.9%). Nacional (votes: 2 - 11.1%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: ) and 11).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sporting won 5.
    • Sporting is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Nacional has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Sporting may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Sporting is the undisputed favorite.
    • There will not play in Sporting: Blopa S. (Inactive) Debast Z. (Injury) Ioannidis F. (Knee Injury) Matheus Reis (Red Card) Quenda G. (Foot Injury)
    • There will not play in Nacional: Fernandes I. (Injury) Soares F. (Injury) Ulisses (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Sporting: Inacio G. (Injury) Santos N. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Nacional: Aurelio J. (Inactive) Vallier L. (Inactive)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sporting won 16 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 42:9. (average 2.1:0.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Sporting won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 20:4. (average 2:0.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sporting Lisbon - Nacional were as follows:
    23.08.2025 Nacional - Sporting Lisbon 1:4
    25.01.2025 Sporting Lisbon - Nacional 2:0
    29.10.2024 Sporting Lisbon - Nacional 3:1
    17.08.2024 Nacional - Sporting Lisbon 1:6
    Latest results of Sporting Lisbon
    28.01.2026 Athletic Bilbao - Sporting Lisbon 2:3 ✺
    24.01.2026 Arouca - Sporting Lisbon 1:2 ✺
    20.01.2026 Sporting Lisbon - Paris Saint-Germain 2:1 ✺
    16.01.2026 Sporting Lisbon - Casa Pia 3:0 ✺
    06.01.2026 Sporting Lisbon - Vitoria Guimarães 1:2 ✺
    Latest results of Nacional
    25.01.2026 Nacional - Rio Ave 4:0 ✺
    17.01.2026 Gil Vicente - Nacional 2:1 ✺
    11.01.2026 Nacional - Santa Clara 3:3 ✺
    02.01.2026 Vitoria Guimarães - Nacional 2:1 ✺
    21.12.2025 AVS - Nacional 2:2 ✺
    Liga Portugal Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Porto24212147:83965
    2Sporting CP24194162:125061
    3Benfica24177051:143758
    4Braga24136550:232745
    5Gil Vicente24117635:231240
    6Famalicao24106829:21836
    7Moreirense241041030:34-434
    8Estoril2496946:42433
    9Vitoria Guimaraes24951028:35-732
    10Alverca24761124:39-1527
    11Arouca24751232:52-2026
    12Estrela24591026:41-1524
    13Casa Pia24581126:44-1823
    14Nacional24561328:36-821
    15Rio Ave24491123:44-2121
    16Santa Clara24471320:31-1119
    17Tondela24471319:38-1919
    18AFS24161718:57-399

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