Mainz vs Borussia Mönchengladbach – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football German Bundesliga
Result
0:1
05/12/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Bundesliga - Round 13
  • Referee: Brand B. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaAzam Sports 2, CANAL+ Sport 1, New World Sport 1, ZAP
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 2
angolaAngolaZ Sports 1
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaSetanta Sports 2
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1
azerbaijanAzerbaijanSetanta Sports 2
belgiumBelgiumPlay Sports 1
brazilBrazilCanal GOAT, Claro TV+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Xsports
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada, OneSoccer
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 3
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 3, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkTV3 MAX, Viaplay
europeEuropeSetanta Sports 2 Baltic
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
franceFranceNew World TV
georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sports 2
germanyGermanySky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga UHD, Sky Sport Top Event, WOW
greeceGreeceNova Sports 3
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 2, beIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live, Now Player
hungaryHungaryArena 4
icelandIcelandViaplay
indonesiaIndonesiaMNC Soccer Channel
israelIsraelSport 1
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kazakhstanKazakhstanSetanta Sports 2
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 3
kyrgyzstanKyrgyzstanSetanta Sports 2
laosLaosbeIN Connect
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 5
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
moldovaMoldovaSetanta Sports 2
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSky Sports Norte
norwayNorwayViaplay
pakistanPakistanTapmad
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect
polandPolandEleven Sports 3
portugalPortugalDAZN 1, DAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 4
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaShahid
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 3
slovakiaSlovakiaSport TV2, Voyo
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Fotbool
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Bundesliga 1
tajikistanTajikistanSetanta Sports 2
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
turkeyTurkeyS Sport+
turkmenistanTurkmenistanSetanta Sports 2
ukraineUkraineKyivstar TV, Setanta Sports
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomBBC iPlayer, BBC Sport
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
uzbekistanUzbekistanSetanta Sports 2
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamTV 360
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.941.78
Ball Possession
55%45%
Total shots
814
Shots on target
25
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
86
Passes
80% (422/528)77% (327/426)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
0.941.78
xG on target (xGOT)
0.581.48
Total shots
814
Shots on target
25
Shots off target
55
Blocked Shots
14
Shots inside the Box
610
Shots outside the Box
24
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
86
Touches in opposition box
2429
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
412
Passes
80% (422/528)77% (327/426)
Long passes
47% (23/49)39% (24/62)
Passes in final third
61% (88/145)68% (75/111)
Crosses
16% (3/19)29% (5/17)
Expected assists (xA)
1.181.50
Throw-ins
2124
Fouls
124
Tackles
58% (11/19)46% (11/24)
Duels won
4862
Clearances
2844
Interceptions
109
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
42
xGOT faced
1.480.58
Goals prevented
1.480.58

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 24', Scally J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 58', 0 - 1, da Costa D. (Own goal), Tabakovic H. (A),
  • 66', Mwene P. ↓, Nordin A. ↑,
  • 69', Reyna G. ↓, Stoger K. ↑,
  • 77', Widmer S. ↓, Veratschnig N. ↑,
  • 77', Moreno Fell F. ↓, Hollerbach B. ↑,
  • 79', Machino S. ↓, Ranos G. ↑,
  • 88', Lee Jae-Sung ↓, Kawasaki S. ↑,
  • 90+1', Castrop J. ↓, Friedrich M. ↑,
  • 90+1', Veratschnig N. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Hanche-Olsen A. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Mainz
34.9%		Draw
27.9%		Borussia Mönchengladbach
37.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.2% 26.2% 30.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45% 27.3% 29.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mainz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mainz's form might have worsened.
  • Borussia Mönchengladbach has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Borussia Mönchengladbach's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mainz than the current prediction. (+10.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mainz, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Borussia Mönchengladbach than the current prediction. (-7.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Borussia Mönchengladbach, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
    •

    Mainz - Borussia Mönchengladbach Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.74 ↑
    (2.2)    		 3.43 ↓
    (3.63)    		 2.57 ↓
    (3.11)    		 4.7%
    (5.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Mainz - Borussia Mönchengladbach?
  • Users Predictions: 47 users predict this event. Mainz will win (votes: 12 - 25.5%). Borussia M will win (votes: 21 - 44.7%). It will Tie (votes: 14 - 29.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Borussia M: 30.5% – 58.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 19 high ROI users predict this event. Mainz (votes: 3 - 15.8%). Borussia M (votes: 11 - 57.9%). Tie (votes: 5 - 26.3%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
    • DC - Borussia M (1.45) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH 0 - Borussia M (1.85) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 26 high ROI users predict this event. Mainz (votes: 4 - 15.4%). Borussia M (votes: 17 - 65.4%). Tie (votes: 5 - 19.2%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga and 12).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mainz won 2.
    • Mainz is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Borussia M is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Mainz may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Borussia M has had a series of home games.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in Mainz: Dal M. (Knee Injury) Kohr D. (Red Card) Nebel P. (Red Card) Zentner R. (Groin Injury)
    • There will not play in Borussia M: Chiarodia F. C. (Thigh Injury) Hack R. (Knee Injury) Honorat F. (Calf Injury) Kleindienst T. (Knee Injury) Neuhaus F. (Muscle Injury) Ngoumou N. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Sander P. (Muscle Injury) Urbich J. (Illness)
    • There are questionable in Mainz: Caci A. (Thigh Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Mainz won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 23:29. (average 1.2:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Mainz won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:15. (average 1.1:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Mainz - Borussia Mönchengladbach were as follows:
    07.03.2025 Borussia Mönchengladbach - Mainz 1:3
    25.10.2024 Mainz - Borussia Mönchengladbach 1:1
    02.03.2024 Mainz - Borussia Mönchengladbach 1:1
    06.10.2023 Borussia Mönchengladbach - Mainz 2:2
    24.02.2023 Mainz - Borussia Mönchengladbach 4:0
    Latest results of Mainz
    30.11.2025 Freiburg - Mainz 4:0 ✺
    27.11.2025 Universitatea Craiova - Mainz 1:0 ✺
    21.11.2025 Mainz - Hoffenheim 1:1 ✺
    09.11.2025 Eintracht Frankfurt - Mainz 1:0 ✺
    06.11.2025 Mainz - Fiorentina 2:1 ✺
    Latest results of Borussia Mönchengladbach
    02.12.2025 Borussia Mönchengladbach - St. Pauli 1:2 ✺
    28.11.2025 Borussia Mönchengladbach - RB Leipzig 0:0 ✺
    22.11.2025 Heidenheim - Borussia Mönchengladbach 0:3 ✺
    13.11.2025 Borussia Mönchengladbach - Lierse 1:0
    08.11.2025 Borussia Mönchengladbach - Köln 3:1 ✺
    German Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich24203188:236563
    2Dortmund24157251:252652
    3Hoffenheim24144649:311846
    4Stuttgart24144648:321646
    5RB Leipzig24135646:331344
    6Bayer Leverkusen23124744:291540
    7Eintracht Frankfurt2497848:49-134
    8Freiburg2496934:39-533
    9Augsburg24941130:41-1131
    10Union Berlin24771029:38-928
    11Hamburger SV2368926:34-826
    12B. Monchengladbach24671127:39-1225
    13FC Koln24661233:41-824
    14Mainz24581127:39-1223
    15St. Pauli24651323:40-1723
    16Werder Bremen24571225:44-1922
    17Wolfsburg24551433:53-2020
    18Heidenheim24351622:53-3114

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          Bundesliga (Relegation)
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