Result
1:0
28/02/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Super League - Round 23
- Referee: Vergetis C. (Gre)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | SportPlus |
 Bulgaria | Nova Sport |
 Greece | Nova Sports 2 |
 Poland | SportKlub |
 Usa | SportPlus |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.95 | 1.33 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (363/444) | 81% (307/377) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.95 | 1.33 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.71 | 1.16 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 20 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (363/444) | 81% (307/377) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 33% (18/54) | 51% (26/51) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 59% (63/107) | 65% (62/95) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (2/12) | 8% (1/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.37 | 0.37 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 25 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 20 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (8/12) | 58% (7/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 36 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.16 | 1.71 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.16 | 0.71 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 31', Mountes M. 🟨,
- 33', Moutoussamy S. 🟨,
- 39', Sielis C. 🟨,
- 41', 1 - 0, Baku M. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 52', Tsingaras T. 🟨,
- 56', Kerkez D. 🟨,
- 66', Esteban Diego ↓, Bregou A. ↑,
- 66', Lenny Lobato ↓, Aleksic K. ↑,
- 69', Jubitana D. ↓, Ukaki E. ↑,
- 71', Zuber S. 🟨,
- 75', Farley Rosa 🟨,
- 77', Matan A. (Penalty Awarded),
- 82', Tsingaras T. ↓, Karamanis A. ↑,
- 83', Zuber S. ↓, Tsantilas P. ↑,
- 85', Sielis C. ↓, Garcia J. ↑,
- 86', Farley Rosa ↓, Michalak K. ↑,
- 87', Mavrias Ch. 🟨,
- 90+3', Michorl P. ↓, Mitoglou G. ↑,
Chances of winning
Atromitos Athens
52.5% | Draw
28.1% | Panetolikos
19.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atromitos Athens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atromitos Athens's performance.Panetolikos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Panetolikos might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atromitos Athens than the current prediction. (-8.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atromitos Athens that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Panetolikos than the current prediction. (+5.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Panetolikos could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Atromitos Athens - Panetolikos Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.8 ↓
(2.12) |
3.31 ↑
(2.98) |
4.82 ↑
(3.72) |
6.4%
(7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Atromitos Athens - Panetolikos?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Atromitos (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Panetolikos (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +0.5 - Panetolikos (4.51) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Atromitos Athens will win
(9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Atromitos (votes: 2 - 50%). Panetolikos (votes: 2 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 9 in the zone Super League (Relegation Group: ) and 10 in the zone Super League (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atromitos won 4.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- In this match, Atromitos is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Atromitos: Choutetsiotis L.
(Yellow Cards)
Tsiloulis S.
(Muscle Injury)
Tzovaras G.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Panetolikos: Aguirre J.
(Ankle Injury)
Mavrias Ch.
(Injury)
Satsias G.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Atromitos won 11 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 27:19. (average 1.4:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Atromitos won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:9. (average 1.6:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Atromitos Athens won against Panetolikos?
Atromitos Athens has won 7 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Panetolikos won against Atromitos Athens?
Panetolikos has won 4 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Atromitos Athens - Panetolikos were as follows:
23.08.2025
Panetolikos
-
Atromitos Athens
0:2
09.08.2025
Atromitos Athens
-
Panetolikos
1:0
02.02.2025
Panetolikos
-
Atromitos Athens
0:1
19.10.2024
Atromitos Athens
-
Panetolikos
0:2
03.08.2024
Atromitos Athens
-
Panetolikos
2:0
Latest results of Atromitos Athens
Latest results of Panetolikos
Greek Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Olympiacos Piraeus ✔ | 23 | 16 | 5 | 2 | 42:11 | 31 | 53 |
| 2 | AEK Athens ✔ | 23 | 16 | 5 | 2 | 43:15 | 28 | 53 |
| 3 | PAOK ✔ | 22 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 44:14 | 30 | 50 |
| 4 | Levadiakos | 23 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 49:30 | 19 | 39 |
| 5 | Panathinaikos | 22 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 34:23 | 11 | 39 |
| 6 | OFI Crete | 22 | 9 | 1 | 12 | 30:37 | -7 | 28 |
| 7 | Aris | 23 | 6 | 10 | 7 | 20:25 | -5 | 28 |
| 8 | Atromitos | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 24:27 | -3 | 27 |
| 9 | Volos | 23 | 8 | 3 | 12 | 23:34 | -11 | 27 |
| 10 | Kifisia | 22 | 5 | 9 | 8 | 28:33 | -5 | 24 |
| 11 | Panetolikos | 23 | 6 | 3 | 14 | 22:37 | -15 | 21 |
| 12 | AEL Larissa | 23 | 4 | 9 | 10 | 21:37 | -16 | 21 |
| 13 | Asteras Tripolis ✔ | 23 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 20:37 | -17 | 16 |
| 14 | Panserraikos ✔ | 23 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 15:55 | -40 | 12 |
Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Super League (Conference League Group: )
Super League (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Olympiacos Piraeus is Qualified for Super League (Championship Group )
AEK Athens is Qualified for Super League (Championship Group )
PAOK is Qualified for Super League (Championship Group )
Asteras Tripolis is Super League (Relegation Group )
Panserraikos is Super League (Relegation Group )
