Chivas Guadalajara vs Toluca – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

20/09/2025 at 21:07 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio Akron (Zapopan).

Liga MX - Apertura - Round 9
Referee: Ortiz M. (Mex)
Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	Amazon Prime Video
Usa	NBC Universo, Peacock TV, Telemundo, UNIVERSO NOW

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.99	2.45
Ball Possession
53%	47%
Total shots
18	19
Shots on target
4	11
Big Chances
1	2
Corner Kicks
7	6
Passes
88% (392/443)	85% (349/411)
Yellow Cards
2	3
Red Cards
1	1
Expected Goals (xG)
0.99	2.45
xG on target (xGOT)
0.47	3.56
Total shots
18	19
Shots on target
4	11
Shots off target
8	6
Blocked Shots
6	2
Shots inside the Box
11	11
Shots outside the Box
7	8
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
0	1
Big Chances
1	2
Corner Kicks
7	6
Touches in opposition box
21	20
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
2	0
Free Kicks
9	17
Passes
88% (392/443)	85% (349/411)
Long passes
74% (23/31)	58% (31/53)
Passes in final third
76% (128/169)	78% (68/87)
Crosses
20% (5/25)	50% (4/8)
Expected assists (xA)
1.04	0.85
Throw-ins
17	14
Fouls
17	9
Tackles
80% (8/10)	71% (12/17)
Duels won
36	53
Clearances
15	24
Interceptions
11	9
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
1	0
Goalkeeper Saves
8	4
xGOT faced
3.56	0.47
Goals prevented
0.56	0.47

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 2)
21', 0 - 1, Paulinho ⚽,
24', 0 - 2, Gallardo J. ⚽, Vega A. (A),
42', Garcia L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Tapias M. ↓, Cowell C. ↑,
46', Castillo J. ↓, Chicharito ↑,
50', Gonzalez F. 🟥,
54', Pereira F. 🟨,
54', Alvarez E. ↓, Gomez M. ↑,
57', 0 - 3, Vega A. ⚽, Castro N. (A),
67', Barbosa D. ↓, Simon S. ↑,
67', Angulo J. ↓, Dominguez Chonteco J. P. ↑,
68', Sandoval S. ↓, Ledezma R. ↑,
69', Campillo Del Campo D. 🟨,
70', Bruno Mendez 🟥,
73', Gallardo J. 🟨,
73', Ledezma R. 🟨,
76', Paulinho ↓, Morales R. ↑,
76', Vega A. ↓, Briseno A. ↑,
76', Govea O. ↓, Sepulveda G. ↑,
86', Castro N. ↓, Herrera H. ↑,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning

Chivas Guadalajara
34%

Draw
27.5%

Toluca
38.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.6%

26.9%

36.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.6%

26.2%

37.6%

Chivas Guadalajara - Toluca Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.75 ↑ (2.52)	3.43 ↑ (3.43)	2.45 ↓ (2.52)	6.3% (8.7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

Preview Facts

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 12 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guadalajara won 2.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Guadalajara may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
There will not play in Guadalajara: Aguirre D. (Injury) Alvarado R. (Ankle Injury) Mozo A. (Knee Injury) Pulido A. (Muscle Injury) Sepulveda L. (Ankle Injury)
There are questionable in Toluca: Helinho (Injury) Luan (Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Guadalajara won 5 matches, drew 12 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 23:19. (average 1.2:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Guadalajara won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:10. (average 1.3:0.9).

How many head-to-head matches has Chivas Guadalajara won against Toluca?

Chivas Guadalajara has won 2 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Toluca won against Chivas Guadalajara?

Toluca has won 2 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Chivas Guadalajara - Toluca were as follows:

15.02.2025 Toluca - Chivas Guadalajara 2:1

06.07.2024 Chivas Guadalajara - Toluca 0:0

11.05.2024 Toluca - Chivas Guadalajara 0:0

08.05.2024 Chivas Guadalajara - Toluca 1:0

30.01.2024 Chivas Guadalajara - Toluca 3:2

Latest results of Chivas Guadalajara

17.09.2025 Chivas Guadalajara - Tigres UANL 0:0 ✺

13.09.2025 Club América - Chivas Guadalajara 1:2 ✺

30.08.2025 Chivas Guadalajara - Cruz Azul 1:2 ✺

22.08.2025 Tijuana - Chivas Guadalajara 3:3 ✺

16.08.2025 Chivas Guadalajara - Juárez 1:2 ✺

Latest results of Toluca

13.09.2025 Toluca - Puebla 3:1 ✺

29.08.2025 Atlético San Luis - Toluca 1:3 ✺

23.08.2025 Cruz Azul - Toluca 1:0 ✺

20.08.2025 Toluca - Orlando City 0:1 ✺

16.08.2025 Toluca - UNAM 1:1 ✺

Mexican Liga MX Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Toluca ✔	17	11	4	2	43:18	25	37
2	Tigres UANL ✔	17	10	6	1	35:16	19	36
3	Cruz Azul ✔	17	10	5	2	32:20	12	35
4	Club America ✔	17	10	4	3	33:18	15	34
5	Monterrey ✔	17	9	4	4	33:29	4	31
6	Guadalajara Chivas ✔	17	9	2	6	29:22	7	29
7	Club Tijuana ✔	17	6	6	5	29:23	6	24
8	Juarez ✔	17	6	5	6	27:28	-1	23
9	Pachuca ✔	16	6	4	6	21:20	1	22
10	UNAM Pumas	17	5	6	6	24:25	-1	21
11	Queretaro	17	6	2	9	19:29	-10	20
12	Santos Laguna	16	5	2	9	21:28	-7	17
13	Necaxa	17	4	5	8	24:32	-8	17
14	Atlas	17	4	5	8	24:35	-11	17
15	Atl. San Luis	17	5	1	11	25:29	-4	16
16	Mazatlan FC	17	2	8	7	20:29	-9	14
17	Club Leon	17	3	4	10	14:31	-17	13
18	Puebla	17	3	3	11	21:42	-21	12

Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )

Clinched Spots for Teams

Toluca is Qualified for Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Tigres UANL is Qualified for Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Cruz Azul is Qualified for Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Club America is Qualified for Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Monterrey is Qualified for Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Guadalajara Chivas is Qualified for Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Club Tijuana is Qualified for Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In )
Juarez is Qualified for Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In )
Pachuca is Qualified for Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In )