Erzgebirge Aue vs Alemannia Aachen – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:3
07/03/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • 3. Liga - Round 28
  • Referee: Exuzidis L. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
germanyGermanyMagenta Sport, MDR Fernsehen, WDR Fernsehen
switzerlandSwitzerlandSunrise TV, Sunrise TV
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Ball possession
48%52%
Total shots
126
Shots on target
44
Corner kicks
97
Yellow cards
22
Total shots
126
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
82
Corner kicks
97
Offsides
11
Free kicks
1013
Throw ins
3120
Fouls
129

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 10', da Silva Kiala J. 🟨,
  • 22', Collins J. 🟨,
  • 24', 0 - 1, Gindorf L. , Schroers M. (A),
  • 27', 0 - 2, Gindorf L. , Loune M. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Stefaniak M. , Clausen M. ,
  • 46', Ocansey V. A. F. , Weinhauer E. ,
  • 46', Guttau J. , Gunther-Schmidt J. ,
  • 47', 1 - 2, Malone R. , Weinhauer E. (A),
  • 60', da Silva Kiala J. , Yarbrough L. ,
  • 69', Loune M. , Ademi F. ,
  • 76', Fallmann P. , Schmid M. ,
  • 80', 1 - 3, Nadjombe P. , Ademi F. (A),
  • 81', Simnica L. , Fabisch J. ,
  • 84', Ademi F. 🟨,
  • 88', Schroers M. , Sillah O. ,
  • 88', Gindorf L. , Castelle N. H. ,
  • 88', Wagner M. , Strujic S. ,
  • 90+6', Ehlers J. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Erzgebirge Aue
35.5%
Draw
26.8%
Alemannia Aachen
37.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.2% 26.3% 35.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.1% 26.2% 35.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Erzgebirge Aue has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
  • Alemannia Aachen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Erzgebirge Aue than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alemannia Aachen than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
  • Erzgebirge Aue - Alemannia Aachen Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.6
    (2.4)
    3.47
    (3.48)
    2.49
    (2.59)
    7.4%
    (9.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Erzgebirge Aue - Alemannia Aachen?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Aue will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Aachen will win (votes: 3 - 60%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Aue (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 13).
    • Aue is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Aachen is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Aue may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Aue won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).
    • Including home match between the teams, Aue won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Erzgebirge Aue - Alemannia Aachen were as follows:
    30.09.2025 Alemannia Aachen - Erzgebirge Aue 0:1
    08.02.2025 Erzgebirge Aue - Alemannia Aachen 1:1
    31.08.2024 Alemannia Aachen - Erzgebirge Aue 1:2
    Latest results of Erzgebirge Aue
    Latest results of Alemannia Aachen
    German 3 Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1VfL Osnabruck29177549:262358
    2Cottbus29158654:431153
    3RW Essen291410559:481152
    4Verl29149667:412651
    5Duisburg29149652:401251
    6Hansa Rostock291311552:322050
    7Munich 186029147845:37849
    8Wehen29146942:321048
    9Mannheim291331347:53-642
    10Alemannia Aachen291251251:50141
    11Ingolstadt291010949:391040
    12Viktoria Koln291151340:39138
    13Stuttgart II291151335:46-1138
    14Regensburg291061337:43-636
    15Hoffenheim II291051453:53035
    16Saarbrucken297121040:43-333
    17Aue29591533:52-1924
    18Ulm29731938:61-2324
    19TSV Havelse29581641:64-2323
    20Schweinfurt29422326:68-4214

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