Result
0:0
07/02/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- 3. Liga - Round 23
- Referee: Behrens K. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Croatia | SportKlub 9 |
 Germany | Magenta Sport, MDR Fernsehen, SR Fernsehen |
 Slovakia | Arena sport 2 |
 Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 59% | 41% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 19 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 44', Bormuth R. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 52', Kamara A. 🟨,
- 60', Fabisch J. 🟨,
- 76', Kamara A. ↓, Elongo-Yombo R. ↑,
- 78', Bar M. ↓, Guttau J. ↑,
- 84', Clausen M. ↓, Weinhauer E. ↑,
- 85', Baumann D. ↓, Schmidt P. ↑,
- 85', Krahn E. ↓, Vasiliadis S. ↑,
- 88', Stefaniak M. 🟨,
- 90+3', Pick F. ↓, Civeja T. ↑,
Chances of winning
Erzgebirge Aue
31.4% | Draw
26.6% | Saarbrücken
42% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Erzgebirge Aue has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)The chances for Saarbrücken have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Erzgebirge Aue than the current prediction. (+1.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Saarbrücken than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
Erzgebirge Aue - Saarbrücken Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.96 ↑
(2.88) |
3.5 ↓
(3.6) |
2.22 ↑
(2.21) |
7.4%
(7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Erzgebirge Aue - Saarbrücken?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Aue will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Saarbrücken will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 16).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aue won 1.
- Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
- Saarbrücken may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Aue won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:10. (average 0.9:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Aue won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 1.7:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Erzgebirge Aue won against Saarbrücken?
Erzgebirge Aue has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Saarbrücken won against Erzgebirge Aue?
Saarbrücken has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Erzgebirge Aue - Saarbrücken were as follows:
30.08.2025
Saarbrücken
-
Erzgebirge Aue
4:1
08.04.2025
Saarbrücken
-
Erzgebirge Aue
2:0
02.11.2024
Erzgebirge Aue
-
Saarbrücken
1:1
09.03.2024
Saarbrücken
-
Erzgebirge Aue
2:0
07.10.2023
Erzgebirge Aue
-
Saarbrücken
2:0
Latest results of Erzgebirge Aue
Latest results of Saarbrücken
German 3 Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | VfL Osnabruck | 35 | 22 | 7 | 6 | 58:28 | 30 | 73 |
| 2 | Cottbus | 35 | 19 | 9 | 7 | 68:48 | 20 | 66 |
| 3 | RW Essen | 35 | 18 | 10 | 7 | 73:58 | 15 | 64 |
| 4 | Duisburg | 35 | 18 | 9 | 8 | 63:47 | 16 | 63 |
| 5 | Hansa Rostock | 35 | 16 | 12 | 7 | 64:42 | 22 | 60 |
| 6 | Verl | 35 | 16 | 10 | 9 | 75:47 | 28 | 58 |
| 7 | Alemannia Aachen | 35 | 17 | 6 | 12 | 66:55 | 11 | 57 |
| 8 | Munich 1860 | 35 | 15 | 10 | 10 | 52:47 | 5 | 55 |
| 9 | Wehen | 35 | 14 | 8 | 13 | 49:47 | 2 | 50 |
| 10 | Mannheim | 35 | 14 | 7 | 14 | 57:65 | -8 | 49 |
| 11 | Viktoria Koln | 35 | 14 | 5 | 16 | 48:49 | -1 | 47 |
| 12 | Regensburg | 35 | 13 | 7 | 15 | 52:55 | -3 | 46 |
| 13 | Ingolstadt | 35 | 11 | 10 | 14 | 55:49 | 6 | 43 |
| 14 | Stuttgart II | 35 | 12 | 7 | 16 | 45:59 | -14 | 43 |
| 15 | Saarbrucken | 35 | 9 | 14 | 12 | 44:50 | -6 | 41 |
| 16 | Hoffenheim II | 35 | 11 | 7 | 17 | 61:65 | -4 | 40 |
| 17 | TSV Havelse | 35 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 53:77 | -24 | 32 |
| 18 | Ulm | 35 | 9 | 5 | 21 | 46:72 | -26 | 32 |
| 19 | Aue ✔ | 35 | 5 | 12 | 18 | 42:65 | -23 | 27 |
| 20 | Schweinfurt ✔ | 35 | 5 | 5 | 25 | 33:79 | -46 | 20 |
Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga
Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga (Promotion: )
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Aue is Relegated to
Schweinfurt is Relegated to
