Result
0:1
26/10/2025 at 12:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 1 - Round 9
- Referee: Ben El Hadj Salem H. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports XTRA Espanol |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 France | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV |
 Germany | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch |
 Hong-kong | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Italy | Ligue 1+ |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Mexico | Amazon Prime Video, Caliente TV |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport Extra |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Turkey | beIN Connect |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 7, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 United-kingdom | Ligue 1+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, Fanatiz, Tubi TV |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.57 | 0.94 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (281/341) | 82% (288/352) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.57 | 0.94 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.09 | 0.93 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 21 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (281/341) | 82% (288/352) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 56% (31/55) | 54% (32/59) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (81/114) | 54% (47/87) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (8/33) | 14% (2/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.62 | 0.50 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 29 | 9 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 21 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (5/7) | 63% (12/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 62 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 37 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.93 | 1.09 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.07 | 1.09 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2', Sangante A. 🟨,
- 28', Youte Kinkoue E. 🟨,
- 41', Sinayoko L. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Owusu E. ↓, Diousse A. ↑,
- 47', 0 - 1, Toure A. ⚽,
- 62', Samatta A. ↓, Namli Y. ↑,
- 68', Casimir J. ↓, Matondo R. ↑,
- 68', Mara S. ↓, Coulibaly L. ↑,
- 78', Ndiaye R. ↓, Ebonog S. ↑,
- 78', Kechta Y. ↓, Doucoure F. ↑,
- 82', Senaya M. ↓, Osman I. ↑,
- 87', Mensah G. ↓, Oppegard F. ↑,
- 89', Danny Namaso 🟨,
Chances of winning
Auxerre
45.1% | Draw
28.1% | Le Havre
26.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Auxerre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)Le Havre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Auxerre than the current prediction. (-1.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Le Havre than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
Auxerre - Le Havre Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.15 ↓
(2.26) |
3.47 ↑
(3.38) |
3.58 ↑
(3.21) |
3.2%
(5.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Auxerre - Le Havre?
Users Predictions:
38 users predict this event. Auxerre will win (votes: 30 - 78.9%). Le Havre will win (votes: 1 - 2.6%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 18.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Auxerre: 65.9% – 91.9%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Le Havre (1.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Auxerre will win (11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%) 🥇 Gold Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 14 high ROI users predict this event. Auxerre (votes: 11 - 78.6%). Le Havre (votes: 1 - 7.1%). Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 15 and 16 in the zone Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Auxerre won 1.
- The current form of both teams is below expectations.
- Auxerre may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Auxerre might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Auxerre: Buayi-Kiala N.
(Knee Injury)
Siwe T.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Le Havre: Lloris G.
(Red Card)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Auxerre won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 19:28. (average 1:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Auxerre won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:13. (average 1.1:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Auxerre won against Le Havre?
Auxerre has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Le Havre won against Auxerre?
Le Havre has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Auxerre - Le Havre were as follows:
04.05.2025
Auxerre
-
Le Havre
1:2
01.09.2024
Le Havre
-
Auxerre
3:1
Latest results of Auxerre
Latest results of Le Havre
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSG | 26 | 19 | 3 | 4 | 58:22 | 36 | 60 |
| 2 | Lens | 27 | 19 | 2 | 6 | 54:24 | 30 | 59 |
| 3 | Marseille | 27 | 15 | 4 | 8 | 54:35 | 19 | 49 |
| 4 | Lyon | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 41:29 | 12 | 47 |
| 5 | Lille | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 42:34 | 8 | 47 |
| 6 | Monaco | 27 | 14 | 4 | 9 | 47:38 | 9 | 46 |
| 7 | Rennes | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 43:37 | 6 | 44 |
| 8 | Strasbourg | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 43:33 | 10 | 40 |
| 9 | Toulouse | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 38:32 | 6 | 37 |
| 10 | Lorient | 27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 37:41 | -4 | 37 |
| 11 | Brest | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 34:39 | -5 | 36 |
| 12 | Angers | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 24:37 | -13 | 32 |
| 13 | Paris FC | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 32:43 | -11 | 31 |
| 14 | Le Havre | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 22:35 | -13 | 27 |
| 15 | Nice | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 32:52 | -20 | 27 |
| 16 | Auxerre | 27 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 22:36 | -14 | 22 |
| 17 | Nantes | 26 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 24:45 | -21 | 17 |
| 18 | Metz | 27 | 3 | 5 | 19 | 25:60 | -35 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2
