Pen-y-Bont vs Haverfordwest County – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
02/05/2026 at 12:25 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Cymru Premier - Conference League - Play Offs - Final
  • Referee: Jones J. A. (Wal)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomBBC iPlayer

Match Stats

Ball possession
48%52%
Total shots
58
Shots on target
30
Corner kicks
14
Yellow cards
31
Total shots
58
Shots on target
30
Shots off target
28
Corner kicks
14

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 10', 1 - 0, Venables C. , Cann E. (A),
  • 31', Baker A. 🟨,
  • 45+1', Cvetkovic A. , Green C. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 62', Jones O. , Hughes W. ,
  • 63', Baker A. , Jones J. ,
  • 64', 2 - 0, Davies M. ,
  • 68', Venables C. 🟨,
  • 80', Wilson J. , Bacon J. ,
  • 80', Venables C. , Daley N. ,
  • 85', Bacon J. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Clay J. 🟨,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/364wjabk

Official Live

Chances of winning


Pen-y-Bont
39.4%
Draw
28.7%
Haverfordwest County
31.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.1% 27.2% 27.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.4% 27.4% 27.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Pen-y-Bont has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pen-y-Bont's form might have worsened.
  • Haverfordwest County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pen-y-Bont than the current prediction. (+6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pen-y-Bont, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Haverfordwest County than the current prediction. (-4.4%)
  • Pen-y-Bont - Haverfordwest County Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.31
    (2.02)
    3.18
    (3.35)
    2.87
    (3.3)
    9.6%
    (9.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pen-y-Bont won 4.
    • Recent form of Pen-y-Bont has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Haverfordwest is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Pen-y-Bont won 13 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 29:13. (average 1.5:0.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Pen-y-Bont won 9 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 16:5. (average 1.5:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Pen-y-Bont - Haverfordwest County were as follows:
    07.10.2025 Pen-y-Bont - Haverfordwest County 2:1
    08.08.2025 Haverfordwest County - Pen-y-Bont 0:1
    21.03.2025 Haverfordwest County - Pen-y-Bont 1:2
    01.02.2025 Pen-y-Bont - Haverfordwest County 0:0
    03.12.2024 Pen-y-Bont - Haverfordwest County 1:0
    Latest results of Pen-y-Bont
    Draw
    Conference League - Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1Barry (3)Haverfordwest (7)1 : 2
    2Colwyn Bay (5)Penybont (6)0 : 1

    Final
    1Haverfordwest (7)Penybont (6)0 : 2