Result
0:1
15/03/2026 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Meistriliiga - Round 2
- Referee: Kulljastinen K. (Est)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Estonia | ETV 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 62% | 38% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 1', Vaher A. 🟨,
- 9', 0 - 1, Vaher A. (Own goal),
- 44', Kask K. ↓, Baptista T. ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 57', Teevali T. ↓, Antonov I. ↑,
- 57', Zenjov S. ↓, Kuraksin D. ↑,
- 69', Boronilstsikov A. ↓, Tarassenkov D. ↑,
- 69', Ivanov N. ↓, Orlov M. ↑,
- 72', Kolobov M. 🟨,
- 74', Mashchenko D. 🟨,
- 75', Alamaa S. ↓, Kaares A. ↑,
- 80', Musolitin O. ↓, Vastsuk B. ↑,
- 82', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Flora Tallinn 38.3% | Draw 27.1% | Nõmme Kalju 34.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Flora Tallinn has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)Nõmme Kalju has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Flora Tallinn than the current prediction. (+4.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nõmme Kalju than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
Flora Tallinn - Nõmme Kalju Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.4 ↑ (2.16) |
3.39 ↓ (3.5) |
2.66 ↓ (2.85) |
8.9% (10%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Flora Tallinn - Nõmme Kalju?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Flora will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Flora (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DNB - Nõmme Kalju (1.92) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Flora (votes: 1 - 25%). Nõmme Kalju (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Flora won 2.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Nõmme Kalju may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Flora has had a series of home games.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Flora won 10 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 27:22. (average 1.4:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Flora won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 19:11. (average 1.7:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Flora Tallinn won against Nõmme Kalju?
Flora Tallinn has won 6 of their last 16 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nõmme Kalju won against Flora Tallinn?
Nõmme Kalju has won 5 of their last 16 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Flora Tallinn - Nõmme Kalju were as follows:
28.02.2026
Flora Tallinn
-
Nõmme Kalju
1:3
28.09.2025
Nõmme Kalju
-
Flora Tallinn
3:1
06.07.2025
Flora Tallinn
-
Nõmme Kalju
1:0
27.04.2025
Flora Tallinn
-
Nõmme Kalju
2:3
05.04.2025
Nõmme Kalju
-
Flora Tallinn
1:2
Latest results of Flora Tallinn
Latest results of Nõmme Kalju
Estonian Meistriliiga Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Levadia | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | 4 | 6 |
| 2 | Kalju | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 6 |
| 3 | Nomme Utd | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7:4 | 3 | 3 |
| 4 | Flora | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
| 5 | Parnu JK Vaprus | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:9 | -5 | 3 |
| 6 | Kuressaare | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 3 |
| 7 | Harju JK Laagri | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 3 |
| 8 | Paide | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 3 |
| 9 | Tammeka | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:4 | -2 | 0 |
| 10 | Narva | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Esiliiga