Result
1:2
26/04/2026 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Meistriliiga - Round 9
- Referee: Tohver K. (Est)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Estonia | Jalgpall.ee, Soccernet TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 34% | 66% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 2', 1 - 0, Anier H. ⚽, Victor Hugo (A),
- 36', Valdmets R. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Jobarteh M. ↓, Baranov N. ↑,
- 46', Lilander M. ↓, Luts D. ↑,
- 46', Anier H. ↓, Badamosi A. ↑,
- 52', Badamosi A. 🟨,
- 59', Kolobov M. 🟨,
- 62', 1 - 1, Sappinen R. ⚽, Varjund T. (A),
- 67', Zenjov S. 🟨,
- 70', Valdmets R. ↓, Usta T. ↑,
- 70', Alamaa S. ↓, Kuraksin D. ↑,
- 71', Hoim O. 🟨,
- 76', 1 - 2, Usta T. ⚽, Zenjov S. (A),
- 78', Sohna M. P. ↓, Willian Lins ↑,
- 82', Varjund T. ↓, Antonov I. ↑,
- 90', Juhkam G. ↓, Tur E. ↑,
- 90+2', 🟨,
- 90+3', Willian Lins 🟥,
Chances of winning
Paide LM
44.8% | Draw
25.9% | Flora Tallinn
29.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Paide LM has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)Flora Tallinn has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paide LM than the current prediction. (-2.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Flora Tallinn than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
Paide LM - Flora Tallinn Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.07 ↓
(2.29) |
3.59 ↑
(3.5) |
3.17 ↑
(2.73) |
7.6%
(8.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 5)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Paide won 2.
- Paide is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In recent matches, Flora has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Paide won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 25:24. (average 1.3:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Paide won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:12. (average 1.2:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Paide LM won against Flora Tallinn?
Paide LM has won 9 of their last 18 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Flora Tallinn won against Paide LM?
Flora Tallinn has won 6 of their last 18 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Paide LM - Flora Tallinn were as follows:
20.02.2026
Paide LM
-
Flora Tallinn
1:3
26.10.2025
Paide LM
-
Flora Tallinn
1:1
21.06.2025
Paide LM
-
Flora Tallinn
2:1
15.06.2025
Flora Tallinn
-
Paide LM
1:2
18.04.2025
Flora Tallinn
-
Paide LM
1:0
Latest results of Paide LM
Latest results of Flora Tallinn
Estonian Meistriliiga Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Kalju | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 22:6 | 16 | 22 |
| 2 | Levadia | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 24:7 | 17 | 21 |
| 3 | Flora | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 21:12 | 9 | 18 |
| 4 | Paide | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 17:12 | 5 | 17 |
| 5 | Harju JK Laagri | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 14:17 | -3 | 16 |
| 6 | Tammeka | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 11:17 | -6 | 10 |
| 7 | Nomme Utd | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 20:22 | -2 | 10 |
| 8 | Parnu JK Vaprus | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 9:18 | -9 | 10 |
| 9 | Kuressaare | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 10:17 | -7 | 9 |
| 10 | Narva | 10 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 9:29 | -20 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Esiliiga
