Result
1:0
19/04/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Meistriliiga - Round 7
- Referee: Jaanovits J. (Est)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Estonia | Jalgpall.ee, Soccernet TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 35% | 65% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 54', Sotsugov D. 🟨,
- 56', Vukusic R. 🟨,
- 65', Kask K. ↓, Orlov M. ↑,
- 65', Cham P. A. ↓, Anier H. ↑,
- 66', Luts D. ↓, Jobarteh M. ↑,
- 67', 1 - 0, Nigula R. ⚽, Anier H. (A),
- 72', Mannilaan M. ↓, Ivanov N. ↑,
- 72', Borolinstsikov A. ↓, Tarassenkov D. ↑,
- 72', Sotsugov D. ↓, Baptista T. ↑,
- 74', Nigula R. ↓, Victor Hugo ↑,
- 80', Miller M. ↓, Smirnov R. ↑,
- 81', Siht R. 🟨,
- 82', Musolitin O. ↓, Jabir I. ↑,
- 90+3', Daniel Cabral 🟨,
Chances of winning
Paide LM
32.4% | Draw
28.5% | Nõmme Kalju
39.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Paide LM has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)Nõmme Kalju has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paide LM than the current prediction. (+3.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nõmme Kalju than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
Paide LM - Nõmme Kalju Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.84 ↑
(2.51) |
3.22 ↓
(3.34) |
2.35 ↓
(2.42) |
8.8%
(11.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Paide won 3.
- Both teams have recently enjoyed a winning streak.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Paide won 9 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 31:21. (average 1.6:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Paide won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:9. (average 1.6:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Paide LM won against Nõmme Kalju?
Paide LM has won 8 of their last 17 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nõmme Kalju won against Paide LM?
Nõmme Kalju has won 3 of their last 17 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Paide LM - Nõmme Kalju were as follows:
14.02.2026
Paide LM
-
Nõmme Kalju
2:1
08.11.2025
Nõmme Kalju
-
Paide LM
1:1
14.09.2025
Paide LM
-
Nõmme Kalju
1:1
28.05.2025
Nõmme Kalju
-
Paide LM
0:2
09.03.2025
Paide LM
-
Nõmme Kalju
4:0
Latest results of Paide LM
Latest results of Nõmme Kalju
Estonian Meistriliiga Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Levadia | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 24:7 | 17 | 21 |
| 2 | Kalju | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 19:6 | 13 | 19 |
| 3 | Paide | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 17:11 | 6 | 17 |
| 4 | Harju JK Laagri | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 14:12 | 2 | 16 |
| 5 | Flora | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 16:12 | 4 | 15 |
| 6 | Nomme Utd | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 20:22 | -2 | 10 |
| 7 | Parnu JK Vaprus | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 9:18 | -9 | 10 |
| 8 | Kuressaare | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 10:17 | -7 | 9 |
| 9 | Tammeka | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 10:17 | -7 | 7 |
| 10 | Narva | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 9:26 | -17 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Esiliiga
