Port Vale vs Newport County – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:2
18/01/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ENGLAND: League Two - Round 27
  • Referee: Parkinson S. (Eng)

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.820.90
Ball Possession
50%50%
Goal Attempts
2212
Shots on Goal
103
Shots off Goal
54
Blocked Shots
75
Big Chances
51
Corner Kicks
96
Shots inside the Box
136
Shots outside the Box
96
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
12
Goalkeeper Saves
17
Free Kicks
719
Offsides
03
Fouls
197
Throw-ins
2321
Touches in the Opposition Box
4714
Passes
80% (307/385)78% (311/401)
Passes in the final third
69% (116/167)64% (45/70)
Crosses
38% (14/37)19% (3/16)
Tackles
74% (14/19)57% (12/21)
Clearances Total
1937
Interceptions
74

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 12', 0 - 1, Kamwa B. ,
  • 16', Croasdale R. 🟨,
  • 27', Smith N. 🟨,
  • 29', 1 - 1, Garrity B. , Headley J. (A),
  • 33', 1 - 2, Evans C. , Greaves O. (A),
  • 39', Brennan C. , Jameson K. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Hackford A. , Stockley J. ,
  • 46', Lowe J. , Harper R. ,
  • 55', Hart S. , Sang T. ,
  • 62', Jameson K. 🟨,
  • 62', 2 - 2, Stockley J. , Smith N. (A),
  • 71', Whitmore K. , Spellman M. ,
  • 71', Ajiboye D. , Hudlin K. ,
  • 77', 3 - 2, Headley J. ,
  • 84', Greaves O. , Davies T. ,
  • 87', Jameson K. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Tolaj L. , Curtis R. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Port Vale
61.1%
Draw
22.8%
Newport County
16%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
63.9% 21.6% 14.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.9% 21.6% 14.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Port Vale has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
  • Newport County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Port Vale than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newport County than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
  • Port Vale - Newport County Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.54
    (1.47)
    4.14
    (4.35)
    5.83
    (6.44)
    6.3%
    (6.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Port Vale - Newport County?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Port Vale will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Newport will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Port Vale: 15.4%84.6%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 19).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Port Vale won 2.
    • Recent matches Port Vale is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Newport is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Port Vale could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Port Vale is certain favorite.
    • Last 10 head-to-head matches Port Vale won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 10:11 (average 1:1.1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Port Vale won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4:5 (average 1:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Port Vale - Newport County were as follows:
    07.09.2024 Newport County - Port Vale 1:4
    Latest results of Port Vale
    Latest results of Newport County
    English League Two Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bromley ✔ 462415771:462587
    2MK Dons ✔ 462414886:454186
    3Cambridge Utd462216866:333382
    4Salford462561561:511081
    5Notts Co462481474:522280
    6Chesterfield462116971:561579
    7Grimsby4622121274:502478
    8Barnet4621131270:531776
    9Swindon462291570:591175
    10Oldham4618141460:441668
    11Crewe4619101764:58667
    12Colchester4618121662:491366
    13Walsall4618111756:56065
    14Bristol Rovers461952256:65-962
    15Fleetwood4615161557:58-161
    16Accrington4614112147:58-1153
    17Gillingham4613141953:72-1953
    18Cheltenham4614102253:79-2652
    19Shrewsbury4613102342:69-2749
    20Newport461272748:77-2943
    21Tranmere4610112554:79-2541
    22Crawley468162244:68-2440
    23Harrogate461092739:68-2939
    24Barrow46992845:78-3336

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Bromley is Qualified for League One
    MK Dons is Qualified for League One