Port Vale vs Grimsby Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
21/04/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League Two - Round 44
  • Referee: Eley R. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.431.27
Ball Possession
60%40%
Total shots
1711
Shots on target
84
Big Chances
43
Corner Kicks
107
Passes
73% (228/312)60% (133/222)
Yellow Cards
13
Expected Goals (xG)
2.431.27
xG on target (xGOT)
3.871.34
Total shots
1711
Shots on target
84
Shots off target
45
Blocked Shots
52
Shots inside the Box
126
Shots outside the Box
55
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
43
Corner Kicks
107
Touches in opposition box
4219
Through passes
50% (1/2)0% (0/1)
Offsides
30
Free Kicks
711
Passes
73% (228/312)60% (133/222)
Long passes
51% (24/47)21% (12/58)
Passes in final third
70% (86/123)46% (44/96)
Crosses
26% (9/34)0% (0/10)
Expected assists (xA)
1.910.09
Fouls
117
Tackles
82% (18/22)50% (7/14)
Duels won
8862
Clearances Total
4036
Interceptions
46
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
26
xGOT faced
1.343.87
Goals prevented
-0.661.87

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 24', 0 - 1, Rose D. ,
  • 26', Clark M. 🟨,
  • 40', Svanthorsson J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 52', 0 - 2, Rose D. (Pen),
  • 56', Smith N. , Headley J. ,
  • 56', Harper R. , Curtis R. ,
  • 59', Hart S. , Walters R. ,
  • 62', McEachran G. 🟨,
  • 64', Rodgers H. 🟨,
  • 68', Vernam C. , Obikwu J. ,
  • 76', Croasdale R. , Richards R. ,
  • 78', 1 - 2, Tolaj L. ,
  • 82', Svanthorsson J. , McJannett C. ,
  • 83', Green K. , Ainley C. ,
  • 88', McEachran G. , Barrington L. ,
  • 90+5', 2 - 2, Debrah J. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Port Vale
46.5%
Draw
29.2%
Grimsby Town
24.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.4% 27.4% 26.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.2% 25.8% 24.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Port Vale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
  • Grimsby Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Port Vale than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grimsby Town than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
  • Port Vale - Grimsby Town Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.02
    (2.02)
    3.22
    (3.42)
    3.86
    (3.59)
    6.4%
    (6.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Port Vale - Grimsby Town?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH -0.5 - Grimsby (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH 0 - Grimsby (2.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DNB - Port Vale (1.45) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Port Vale (1.25) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Port Vale will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Port Vale will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Port Vale (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Grimsby (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ League One and 8).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Port Vale won 1.
    • Port Vale is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Recent matches Grimsby is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • In this match Port Vale is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Port Vale: Heneghan B. (Inactive) Kyle John (Inactive) Sang T. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Grimsby: Gardner C. (Injury) Obikwu J. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Port Vale: Garrity B. (Injury) Headley J. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Grimsby: Luker J. (Inactive) Wilson D. (Inactive)
    • Last 9 head-to-head matches Port Vale won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 8:16 (average 0.9:1.8).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Port Vale won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5:4 (average 1.3:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Port Vale - Grimsby Town were as follows:
    29.12.2024 Grimsby Town - Port Vale 3:0
    21.07.2023 Port Vale - Grimsby Town 1:1
    Latest results of Port Vale
    12.04.2025 Port Vale - Bromley 5:0
    05.04.2025 Walsall - Port Vale 2:3
    01.04.2025 Port Vale - Bradford City 2:0
    Latest results of Grimsby Town
    English League Two Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bromley ✔ 462415771:462587
    2MK Dons ✔ 462414886:454186
    3Cambridge Utd462216866:333382
    4Salford462561561:511081
    5Notts Co462481474:522280
    6Chesterfield462116971:561579
    7Grimsby4622121274:502478
    8Barnet4621131270:531776
    9Swindon462291570:591175
    10Oldham4618141460:441668
    11Crewe4619101764:58667
    12Colchester4618121662:491366
    13Walsall4618111756:56065
    14Bristol Rovers461952256:65-962
    15Fleetwood4615161557:58-161
    16Accrington4614112147:58-1153
    17Gillingham4613141953:72-1953
    18Cheltenham4614102253:79-2652
    19Shrewsbury4613102342:69-2749
    20Newport461272748:77-2943
    21Tranmere4610112554:79-2541
    22Crawley468162244:68-2440
    23Harrogate461092739:68-2939
    24Barrow46992845:78-3336

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Bromley is Qualified for League One
    MK Dons is Qualified for League One