Result
1:1
19/09/2025 at 23:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga MX - Apertura - Round 9
- Referee: Garcia L. (Mex)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Azteca 7, Caliente TV, Tubi TV |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.86 | 1.67 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (228/303) | 80% (321/399) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.86 | 1.67 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.99 | 1.44 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 21 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (228/303) | 80% (321/399) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 28% (13/46) | 45% (19/42) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 59% (54/91) | 53% (39/73) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (4/18) | 42% (5/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.84 | 0.26 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 12 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 21 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 59% (10/17) | 56% (10/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 58 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 13 | 30 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.44 | 0.99 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.44 | -0.01 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 44', Rocha A. ↓, Ramirez P. ↑,
- 44', Benedetti N. (Pen),
- 45+4', Barcenas Y. 🟨,
- 45+5', Ramirez P. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 61', Djurdjevic U. 🟨,
- 61', Merolla L. 🟨,
- 66', del Prete G. ↓, Garcia M. E. ↑,
- 66', Moreno Villegas O. F. ↓, Hernandez D. ↑,
- 79', Mora A. 🟨,
- 79', Esquivel J. ↓, Meraz R. ↑,
- 82', Rios De Alba V. H. 🟨,
- 84', Gonzalez D. ↓, Gonzalez A. ↑,
- 87', 1 - 0, Almada F. ⚽, Merolla L. (A),
- 90+1', Benedetti N. ↓, Duarte A. ↑,
- 90+1', Fabio Gomes ↓, Dudu ↑,
- 90+13', 1 - 1, Djurdjevic U. (Pen),
Chances of winning
Mazatlan
42.2% | Draw
26.8% | Atlas
31% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mazatlan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mazatlan's performance.Atlas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mazatlan than the current prediction. (-5.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mazatlan that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlas than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
Mazatlan - Atlas Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.26 ↓
(2.45) |
3.53 ↑
(3.1) |
3.08 ↑
(2.65) |
5%
(10.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Mazatlan - Atlas?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Mazatlan will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 14 and 15).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mazatlan won 3.
- The current form of both teams is below expectations.
- Mazatlan is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Mazatlan: Herrera A.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Atlas: Aguirre E.
(Muscle Injury)
Coccaro M.
(Red Card)
Cruz C.
(Knee Injury)
Manotas M.
(Knee Injury)
Ortega E.
(Suspended)
Rodriguez J.
(Injury)
Zaldivar E.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Mazatlan: Diaz J.
(Shoulder Injury)
Intriago J.
(Hamstring Injury)
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Mazatlan won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:11. (average 1.2:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Mazatlan won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:2. (average 1.4:0.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Mazatlan won against Atlas?
Mazatlan has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlas won against Mazatlan?
Atlas has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mazatlan - Atlas were as follows:
28.03.2025
Mazatlan
-
Atlas
3:2
18.10.2024
Atlas
-
Mazatlan
0:0
09.02.2024
Mazatlan
-
Atlas
2:0
30.12.2023
Atlas
-
Mazatlan
1:0
20.10.2023
Atlas
-
Mazatlan
1:3
Latest results of Mazatlan
Mexican Liga MX Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Toluca | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 31:14 | 17 | 25 |
| 2 | Monterrey | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 23:17 | 6 | 25 |
| 3 | Club America | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 23:11 | 12 | 24 |
| 4 | Cruz Azul | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 21:12 | 9 | 24 |
| 5 | Tigres UANL | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 19:9 | 10 | 19 |
| 6 | Juarez | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 15:12 | 3 | 18 |
| 7 | Pachuca | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 15:13 | 2 | 17 |
| 8 | Club Tijuana | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 19:11 | 8 | 16 |
| 9 | Guadalajara Chivas | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 16:17 | -1 | 14 |
| 10 | UNAM Pumas | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 14:17 | -3 | 13 |
| 11 | Club Leon | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10:18 | -8 | 12 |
| 12 | Atl. San Luis | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 16:18 | -2 | 10 |
| 13 | Santos Laguna | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 13:18 | -5 | 10 |
| 14 | Atlas | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 18:26 | -8 | 10 |
| 15 | Necaxa | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11:20 | -9 | 9 |
| 16 | Mazatlan FC | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 13:20 | -7 | 8 |
| 17 | Queretaro | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 11:18 | -7 | 8 |
| 18 | Puebla | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 9:26 | -17 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )
