Numancia vs Coruxo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
16/11/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 11
  • Where to Watch on TV:
spainSpainFootballclub

Match Stats

Red Cards
01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 64', 1 - 0, Juancho ,
  • 75', 1 - 1, Sola X. ,
  • 85', Bernardez S. 🟥,
  • 90+5', 1 - 2, ,

Chances of winning


Numancia
57.2%
Draw
25.9%
Coruxo
16.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58.3% 25.8% 15.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.2% 23.8% 14.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Numancia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
  • Coruxo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Numancia than the current prediction. (+6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Numancia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Coruxo than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
  • Numancia - Coruxo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.6
    (1.55)
    3.53
    (3.5)
    5.43
    (5.67)
    9.2%
    (10.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Numancia - Coruxo?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Numancia (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 12).
    • Numancia is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Coruxo's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, Numancia is the undeniable favorite.
    • We predict that Numancia will win today's game, with odds of 1.51.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Numancia won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, Numancia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Numancia - Coruxo were as follows:
    18.01.2025 Numancia - Coruxo 1:0
    07.09.2024 Coruxo - Numancia 1:2
    Latest results of Numancia
    09.11.2025 Real Ávila - Numancia 0:0
    02.11.2025 Numancia - Valladolid B 3:1
    19.10.2025 Numancia - Salamanca 3:1
    Latest results of Coruxo
    09.11.2025 Coruxo - Lealtad 1:0
    02.11.2025 Salamanca - Coruxo 2:0
    25.10.2025 Coruxo - UD Ourense 0:1
    19.10.2025 Sarriana - Coruxo 1:2
    12.10.2025 Coruxo - Bergantiños 0:1
    Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Oviedo B25157343:212252
    2Dep. Fabril25148341:162550
    3Gimnastica Segoviana24127528:22643
    4Coruxo FC25125833:25841
    5Salamanca25117733:27640
    6Numancia25116833:26739
    7UD Ourense25108726:26038
    8Real Avila25107835:38-337
    9Bergantinos2598829:27235
    10Marino de Luanco2489720:14633
    11Atl. Astorga25961028:30-233
    12Rayo Cantabria25514639:33629
    13Valladolid Promesas25771141:44-328
    14Sarriana25841330:33-328
    15Langreo25681121:30-926
    16Lealtad25561419:33-1421
    17Burgos CF B25491227:44-1721
    18UD Samano25261717:54-3712

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