Result
1:1
15/02/2026 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie C - Group B - Round 27
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 252, Sky Sport Uno |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 10 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 10 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 18', 1 - 0, Riccardi D. ⚽,
- 28', Riccardi D. 🟨,
- 30', Panelli T. 🟨,
- 35', Megelaitis L. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Verza N. ↓, Tcheuna R. ↑,
- 46', Megelaitis L. ↓, Ladinetti R. ↑,
- 46', Bacchin L. ↓, Joselito ↑,
- 58', Canotto L. ↓, Nepi A. ↑,
- 61', Rigo M. ↓, Stanzani L. ↑,
- 66', Stramaccioni D. ↓, Dell'Orco C. ↑,
- 67', Puletto F. ↓, Pietra N. ↑,
- 68', Figoli M. ↓, Giani E. ↑,
- 76', 1 - 1, Casarini F. ⚽,
- 78', Bartolomei P. ↓, Verre V. ↑,
- 90+4', Sall A. 🟨,
- 90+5', Ladinetti R. 🟨,
- 90+7', Riccardi D. 🟨,
- 90+8', Giani E. ↓, Lombardi L. ↑,
Chances of winning
Perugia
52.1% | Draw
28.9% | Carpi
19% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Perugia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)Carpi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Perugia than the current prediction. (-11.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Perugia that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carpi than the current prediction. (+10.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Carpi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Perugia - Carpi Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.75 ↓
(1.84) |
3.16 ↓
(3.45) |
4.79 ↑
(3.82) |
9.6%
(9.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Perugia - Carpi?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Perugia (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 14).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Perugia won 2.
- Perugia has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Carpi has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Carpi may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Perugia is considered a favorite.
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Perugia won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 16:13. (average 1:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Perugia won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:4. (average 1.4:0.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Perugia won against Carpi?
Perugia has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Carpi won against Perugia?
Carpi has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Perugia - Carpi were as follows:
05.10.2025
Carpi
-
Perugia
2:0
10.01.2025
Perugia
-
Carpi
1:0
08.09.2024
Carpi
-
Perugia
2:0
Latest results of Perugia
Italian Serie C Group B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Arezzo | 27 | 19 | 6 | 2 | 47:17 | 30 | 63 |
| 2 | Ascoli | 28 | 16 | 8 | 4 | 49:19 | 30 | 56 |
| 3 | Ravenna | 28 | 17 | 5 | 6 | 41:26 | 15 | 56 |
| 4 | Campobasso | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 40:34 | 6 | 42 |
| 5 | Juventus U23 | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 34:31 | 3 | 42 |
| 6 | Ternana | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 34:27 | 7 | 39 |
| 7 | Gubbio | 28 | 9 | 12 | 7 | 24:21 | 3 | 39 |
| 8 | Pianese | 28 | 9 | 12 | 7 | 30:28 | 2 | 39 |
| 9 | Pineto | 27 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 34:33 | 1 | 39 |
| 10 | Vis Pesaro | 28 | 8 | 12 | 8 | 28:28 | 0 | 36 |
| 11 | Livorno | 28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | 29:39 | -10 | 35 |
| 12 | Forli | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 33:38 | -5 | 33 |
| 13 | Guidonia | 27 | 7 | 11 | 9 | 23:25 | -2 | 32 |
| 14 | Carpi | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 26:37 | -11 | 32 |
| 15 | Bra | 29 | 5 | 11 | 13 | 31:43 | -12 | 26 |
| 16 | Sambenedettese | 28 | 5 | 10 | 13 | 23:31 | -8 | 25 |
| 17 | Torres | 28 | 4 | 13 | 11 | 22:36 | -14 | 25 |
| 18 | Perugia | 27 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 26:34 | -8 | 24 |
| 19 | Pontedera | 28 | 3 | 9 | 16 | 23:50 | -27 | 18 |
| 20 | Rimini | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Serie B
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
Serie C ~ Play Out
Relegation
