Leonesa vs Ceuta – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

25/10/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio Reino de León (León).

LaLiga2 - Round 11
Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV Sports, DSports 6
Chile	DirecTV Sports
Ecuador	DirecTV Sports, DSports 6
Mexico	Sky Sport
North-central-america	DirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
Peru	DirecTV Sports
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion, Movistar Plus+
Uruguay	DirecTV Sports, DSports 6
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.07	1.07
Ball Possession
67%	33%
Total shots
15	5
Shots on target
2	1
Big Chances
2	2
Corner Kicks
8	2
Passes
85% (508/597)	77% (233/301)
Yellow Cards
2	1
Expected Goals (xG)
1.07	1.07
xG on target (xGOT)
0.31	0.79
Total shots
15	5
Shots on target
2	1
Shots off target
7	3
Blocked Shots
6	1
Shots inside the Box
8	5
Shots outside the Box
7	1
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Big Chances
2	2
Corner Kicks
8	2
Touches in opposition box
34	17
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	3
Free Kicks
11	15
Passes
85% (508/597)	77% (233/301)
Long passes
53% (21/40)	42% (25/60)
Passes in final third
75% (144/191)	61% (46/76)
Crosses
19% (5/27)	22% (2/9)
Expected assists (xA)
1.46	0.34
Throw-ins
14	14
Fouls
15	11
Tackles
41% (7/17)	40% (4/10)
Duels won
45	40
Clearances
12	44
Interceptions
7	12
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
0	2
xGOT faced
0.79	0.31
Goals prevented
-0.21	0.31

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
13', 0 - 1, Jamelli (Pen),
23', de la Fuente K. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
60', de la Fuente K. ↓, Kone K. ↑,
65', Justo M. ↓, Collado D. ↑,
65', Sobrino R. ↓, Ribeiro L. ↑,
70', Ojeda T. 🟨,
74', Diallo Selu M. ↓, Cortes P. ↑,
82', Zalazar K. ↓, Bassinga A. ↑,
82', Ahmed A. ↓, Sanchez S. ↑,
82', Jamelli ↓, Bodiger Y. ↑,
82', Chacon L. ↓, Paraschiv D. ↑,
82', Hinojo R. ↓, Larios J. ↑,
89', Fernandez Sanchez M. ↓, Caparros A. ↑,
90+4', Barzic M. 🟨,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/yzy5anrs

Chances of winning

Leonesa
39.2%

Draw
29.4%

Ceuta
31.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.2%

28.9%

35.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.5%

30%

34.6%

Leonesa - Ceuta Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.46 ↓ (2.68)	3.21 ↓ (3.27)	3 ↑ (2.63)	5.2% (5.9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Leonesa - Ceuta?

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Leonesa will win (votes: 1 - 10%). Ceuta will win (votes: 5 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ceuta: 19% – 81%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Ceuta (votes: 1 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 and 10).
Leonesa has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Ceuta is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
There will not play in Leonesa: Satrustegui E. (Knee Injury) Tresaco R. (Muscle Injury)
There are questionable in Leonesa: Mboula J. (Ankle Injury)
There are questionable in Ceuta: Almenara G. (Injury) Kone K. (Injury) Ortuno J. (Injury)
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Leonesa won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:8. (average 2:2).
Including home matches between the teams, Leonesa won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Leonesa won against Ceuta?

Leonesa has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Ceuta won against Leonesa?

Ceuta has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Leonesa - Ceuta were as follows:

31.05.2025 Ceuta - Leonesa 4:3

28.05.2025 Leonesa - Ceuta 2:2

22.01.2023 Ceuta - Leonesa 2:1

04.09.2022 Leonesa - Ceuta 2:0

Latest results of Leonesa

18.10.2025 Zaragoza - Leonesa 0:5 ✺

13.10.2025 Córdoba - Leonesa 1:0 ✺

06.10.2025 Leonesa - Albacete Balompié 0:0 ✺

28.09.2025 Valladolid - Leonesa 0:1 ✺

20.09.2025 Leonesa - Castellón 1:3 ✺

Latest results of Ceuta

18.10.2025 Ceuta - Mirandés 2:0 ✺

12.10.2025 Albacete Balompié - Ceuta 0:0 ✺

03.10.2025 Ceuta - Eibar 1:0 ✺

28.09.2025 Cádiz - Ceuta 0:0 ✺

21.09.2025 Ceuta - Zaragoza 1:0 ✺

Spanish LaLiga2 Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Racing Santander	11	7	1	3	27:18	9	22
2	Las Palmas	11	5	4	2	12:7	5	19
3	Almeria	11	5	4	2	20:17	3	19
4	Cadiz CF	11	5	4	2	11:9	2	19
5	Burgos CF	11	5	3	3	17:11	6	18
6	Gijon	11	6	0	5	17:17	0	18
7	Ceuta	11	5	3	3	11:12	-1	18
8	Dep. La Coruna	11	4	5	2	19:12	7	17
9	Valladolid	11	4	4	3	13:10	3	16
10	Cordoba	11	4	4	3	14:14	0	16
11	Leganes	11	3	6	2	10:7	3	15
12	Andorra	11	4	3	4	14:17	-3	15
13	Malaga	11	4	2	5	13:13	0	14
14	Huesca	10	4	2	4	9:12	-3	14
15	Eibar	11	3	4	4	11:10	1	13
16	Albacete	11	3	4	4	16:19	-3	13
17	Castellon	11	3	3	5	13:14	-1	12
18	Cultural Leonesa	11	3	2	6	12:14	-2	11
19	Granada CF	11	2	5	4	11:15	-4	11
20	Real Sociedad B	10	2	3	5	14:17	-3	9
21	Mirandes	11	2	3	6	10:17	-7	9
22	Zaragoza	11	1	3	7	6:18	-12	6

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