Result
2:2
17/01/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Eredivisie - Round 19
- Referee: Nijhuis B. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 3, ESPN Extra |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.55 | 1.43 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 61% | 39% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (408/499) | 70% (221/316) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.55 | 1.43 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.69 | 1.57 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 10 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (408/499) | 70% (221/316) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 63% (50/80) | 40% (29/73) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (74/113) | 58% (56/96) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 28% (8/29) | 39% (7/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.16 | 1.38 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 25 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (6/9) | 43% (6/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 37 | 53 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 34 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.57 | 0.69 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.43 | -1.31 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 52', 0 - 1, Ritmeester van de Kamp J. ⚽, Noslin T. (A),
- 57', 0 - 2, Rossen N. ⚽,
- 59', Hartjes L. 🟨,
- 68', Hartjes L. ↓, Janssen S. ↑,
- 68', Zagre A. ↓, Nadje C. ↑,
- 72', Naujoks N. 🟨,
- 74', Noslin T. ↓, Lechkar A. ↑,
- 74', Brouwer P. ↓, Hetli S. ↑,
- 74', Hansson E. ↓, de Regt G. ↑,
- 74', Sanches Fernandes D. ↓, Jonathans M. ↑,
- 75', 1 - 2, Yegoian I. ⚽,
- 79', Zonneveld M. ↓, Tejan K. ↑,
- 81', 2 - 2, Naujoks N. ⚽,
- 82', Naujoks N. ↓, van Duinen M. ↑,
- 83', Rossen N. ↓, Mertens D. ↑,
- 87', Nadje C. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Excelsior
41.9% | Draw
28% | Telstar
30.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Excelsior has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)Telstar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
Excelsior - Telstar Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.25 ↑
(2.06) |
3.36 ↓
(3.54) |
3.12 ↓
(3.32) |
6.3%
(6.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Excelsior - Telstar?
Users Predictions:
21 users predict this event. Excelsior will win (votes: 7 - 33.3%). Telstar will win (votes: 5 - 23.8%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 42.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 21.7% – 64.1%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Excelsior (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Telstar (2.18) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- DC - Excelsior (1.38) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.25 - Excelsior (1.92) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Excelsior (votes: 3 - 50%). Telstar (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 14 and 15).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Excelsior won 3.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Excelsior may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Telstar has had a series of away games.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Telstar: Hatenboer C.
(Red Card)
- There are questionable in Excelsior: Nadje C.
(Injury)
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Excelsior won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 29:22. (average 2.1:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Excelsior won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:12. (average 1.5:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Excelsior won against Telstar?
Excelsior has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Telstar won against Excelsior?
Telstar has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Excelsior - Telstar were as follows:
01.11.2025
Telstar
-
Excelsior
2:2
21.02.2025
Telstar
-
Excelsior
1:3
13.09.2024
Excelsior
-
Telstar
3:2
Latest results of Excelsior
Latest results of Telstar
Dutch Eredivisie Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSV | 27 | 22 | 2 | 3 | 77:34 | 43 | 68 |
| 2 | Feyenoord | 27 | 16 | 4 | 7 | 60:39 | 21 | 52 |
| 3 | Nijmegen | 27 | 14 | 7 | 6 | 67:45 | 22 | 49 |
| 4 | Ajax | 27 | 12 | 11 | 4 | 52:34 | 18 | 47 |
| 5 | Twente | 27 | 11 | 11 | 5 | 45:29 | 16 | 44 |
| 6 | AZ Alkmaar | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 47:42 | 5 | 42 |
| 7 | Heerenveen | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 47:44 | 3 | 40 |
| 8 | Utrecht | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 40:31 | 9 | 38 |
| 9 | Sparta Rotterdam | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 33:47 | -14 | 38 |
| 10 | Groningen | 27 | 10 | 5 | 12 | 37:37 | 0 | 35 |
| 11 | Sittard | 27 | 10 | 5 | 12 | 42:50 | -8 | 35 |
| 12 | G.A. Eagles | 27 | 7 | 11 | 9 | 45:43 | 2 | 32 |
| 13 | Zwolle | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 36:52 | -16 | 30 |
| 14 | FC Volendam | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 30:46 | -16 | 27 |
| 15 | Excelsior | 27 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 28:46 | -18 | 26 |
| 16 | Telstar | 27 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 35:45 | -10 | 24 |
| 17 | NAC Breda | 27 | 5 | 8 | 14 | 28:48 | -20 | 23 |
| 18 | Heracles | 27 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 32:69 | -37 | 18 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie
