Carolina Core vs Philadelphia Union II – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:2
30/07/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS Next Pro
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaMLS Next Pro

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.501.75
Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
1019
Shots on target
46
Big Chances
34
Corner Kicks
56
Passes
79% (269/341)76% (248/326)
Yellow Cards
43
Expected Goals (xG)
2.501.75
xG on target (xGOT)
2.741.53
Total shots
1019
Shots on target
46
Shots off target
58
Blocked Shots
15
Shots inside the Box
911
Shots outside the Box
18
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
34
Corner Kicks
56
Touches in opposition box
1724
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
1610
Passes
79% (269/341)76% (248/326)
Long passes
49% (34/69)47% (26/55)
Passes in final third
69% (47/68)63% (78/123)
Crosses
56% (5/9)39% (7/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.980.60
Throw-ins
1223
Fouls
1016
Tackles
75% (15/20)56% (9/16)
Duels won
5852
Clearances
2315
Interceptions
168
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
41
xGOT faced
1.532.74
Goals prevented
-0.47-0.26

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 2)
  • 11', 0 - 1, Anderson M. , LeBlanc K. (A),
  • 22', 1 - 1, Nzingo G. (Pen),
  • 25', 2 - 1, Rodriguez J. , Canete F. (A), Juarez J. (A2)
  • 33', Alenga M. 🟨,
  • 37', 2 - 2, Olivas S. (Pen),
  • 45+1', Chica D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Rodriguez J. 🟨,
  • 51', 3 - 2, Nzingo G. (Pen),
  • 65', Jakupovic M. , Davis E. ,
  • 65', Benitez O. , Johnson J. ,
  • 71', Uzcategui R. 🟨,
  • 76', LeBlanc K. , Soria L. ,
  • 77', Olivas S. , Korzeniowski S. ,
  • 78', Covi I. 🟨,
  • 80', Leonardi P. , Scarlett Z. ,
  • 82', Anderson M. , Ferreira W. ,
  • 87', Rodriguez J. , Polanco D. ,
  • 87', Evans J. , Miller A. ,
  • 90+2', Sequera G. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Nzingo G. , Rodriguez J. ,
  • 90+6', Pariano N. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Carolina Core
25.7%
Draw
25.8%
Philadelphia Union II
48.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
24.2% 24.9% 50.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.3% 24% 52.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Carolina Core has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
  • Philadelphia Union II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carolina Core than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Philadelphia Union II than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
  • Carolina Core - Philadelphia Union II Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.58
    (3.79)
    3.57
    (3.68)
    1.9
    (1.8)
    8.8%
    (9.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 12 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In recent matches, Carolina Core has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Philadelphia II is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Philadelphia II may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Philadelphia II might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Carolina Core won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
    • Including home match between the teams, Carolina Core won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Carolina Core - Philadelphia Union II were as follows:
    11.09.2024 Carolina Core - Philadelphia Union II 0:2
    Latest results of Carolina Core
    Latest results of Philadelphia Union II
    MLS Next Pro Table
    2026

    Northeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1New England Revolution II422005:210
    2New York Red Bulls II420209:48
    3Columbus Crew 2421017:68
    4Philadelphia Union II421014:38
    5Connecticut FC420027:86
    6Toronto FC II410127:44
    7New York City II301111:63
    8Cincinnati 2400042:80


    Southeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Crown Legacy4400017:312
    2Orlando City B4210110:108
    3Atlanta United 2420117:67
    4Chicago Fire II412014:47
    5Huntsville411028:145
    6Chattanooga410128:104
    7Inter Miami II400225:112
    8Carolina Core300123:51


    Pacific Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Real Monarchs4220012:610
    2San Jose Earthquakes II420119:47
    3Ventura County412018:77
    4Portland Timbers 2411112:66
    5Vancouver Whitecaps 2410126:84
    6Los Angeles FC 2401217:104
    7Tacoma Defiance401122:73


    Frontier Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Houston Dynamo 24400013:012
    2St. Louis City 24310012:411
    3Austin FC II420116:67
    4Minnesota 2420026:76
    5North Texas410125:64
    6Sporting Kansas City II401032:122
    7Colorado Rapids 2400134:111


    Eastern Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1Crown Legacy4400017:312
    2New England Revolution II422005:210
    3New York Red Bulls II420209:48
    4Columbus Crew 2421017:68
    5Philadelphia Union II421014:38
    6Orlando City B4210110:108
    7Atlanta United 2420117:67
    8Chicago Fire II412014:47
    9Connecticut FC420027:86
    10Huntsville411028:145
    11Toronto FC II410127:44
    12Chattanooga410128:104
    13New York City II301111:63
    14Inter Miami II400225:112
    15Carolina Core300123:51
    16Cincinnati 2400042:80


    Western Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1Houston Dynamo 24400013:012
    2St. Louis City 24310012:411
    3Real Monarchs4220012:610
    4San Jose Earthquakes II420119:47
    5Austin FC II420116:67
    6Ventura County412018:77
    7Minnesota 2420026:76
    8Portland Timbers 2411112:66
    9North Texas410125:64
    10Vancouver Whitecaps 2410126:84
    11Los Angeles FC 2401217:104
    12Tacoma Defiance401122:73
    13Sporting Kansas City II401032:122
    14Colorado Rapids 2400134:111

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