Lugo vs Barakaldo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
31/10/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 10
  • Where to Watch on TV:
spainSpainFootballclub, LaLiga+, Movistar Plus+

Match Stats

Ball Possession
55%45%
Total shots
96
Shots on target
43
Corner Kicks
63
Yellow Cards
32
Total shots
96
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
53
Corner Kicks
63

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 21', Lopez I. 🟨,
  • 26', 0 - 1, San Bartolome V. ,
  • 34', 1 - 1, Celorio N. ,
  • 37', 1 - 2, Huidobro J. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 59', Presa K. 🟨,
  • 64', Junior L. , Gonzalez J. ,
  • 64', Unzueta I. , Samanes S. ,
  • 64', Pastrana V. , Reniero N. ,
  • 67', San Bartolome V. , Galarza A. ,
  • 70', 🟨,
  • 73', Presa K. , Carbonell A. ,
  • 73', Celorio N. , Balboa A. ,
  • 76', Dufur U. 🟨,
  • 78', de Leon J. , Arana M. ,
  • 78', Ropero I. , Albizua U. ,
  • 86', 2 - 2, Reniero N. (Pen),
  • 90+3', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Lugo
42%
Draw
30.9%
Barakaldo
27.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38% 32.8% 29.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8% 33.5% 28.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lugo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)
  • Barakaldo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lugo than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barakaldo than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
  • Lugo - Barakaldo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.2
    (2.44)
    2.98
    (2.83)
    3.37
    (3.17)
    8.7%
    (7.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Lugo - Barakaldo?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1).
    • In recent matches, Lugo has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Barakaldo is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Lugo could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Lugo won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, Lugo won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lugo - Barakaldo were as follows:
    09.03.2025 Barakaldo - Lugo 3:2
    15.09.2024 Lugo - Barakaldo 0:0
    Latest results of Lugo
    18.10.2025 Lugo - Celta de Vigo B 2:0
    04.10.2025 Lugo - Cacereño 1:0
    Latest results of Barakaldo
    24.10.2025 Barakaldo - Tenerife 2:0
    18.10.2025 CD Guadalajara - Barakaldo 1:1
    05.10.2025 Arenteiro - Barakaldo 1:1
    27.09.2025 Barakaldo - Cacereño 1:1
    Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tenerife28186449:173260
    2Celta Vigo B28148643:35850
    3Ath Bilbao B28127930:30043
    4Barakaldo281110738:29943
    5Pontevedra271012532:201242
    6Zamora28119836:31542
    7Real Madrid B281261038:36242
    8Lugo281011727:27041
    9Racing Club Ferrol281251134:33141
    10Ponferradina281171028:23540
    11AD Merida281171037:38-140
    12Unionistas281081037:36138
    13Arenas Getxo271041331:38-734
    14Real Aviles28961340:48-833
    15Ourense CF28881231:33-232
    16Guadalajara28871330:41-1131
    17CF Talavera28861429:38-930
    18Cacereno286111126:37-1129
    19Arenteiro28671525:36-1125
    20Osasuna B28591418:33-1524

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