Darmstadt vs Schalke 04 – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:0
29/10/2025 at 15:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • DFB Pokal - 1/16-finals
  • Referee: Bickel F. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria Top Event, Sky Sport Mix
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport 4, Sky Sport 8, Sky Sport 9, Sky Sport Mix, Sky Sport Top Event, WOW
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Mix, Sky Sport Top Event
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 14
united-arab-emiratesUnited-arab-emiratesAbu Dhabi Sports 1

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.661.32
Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
157
Shots on target
81
Big Chances
44
Corner Kicks
63
Passes
80% (349/436)79% (333/419)
Yellow Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
2.661.32
xG on target (xGOT)
3.440.66
Total shots
157
Shots on target
81
Shots off target
35
Blocked Shots
41
Shots inside the Box
116
Shots outside the Box
41
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
44
Corner Kicks
63
Touches in opposition box
2523
Accurate through passes
20
Offsides
30
Free Kicks
1415
Passes
80% (349/436)79% (333/419)
Long passes
46% (36/79)49% (28/57)
Passes in final third
59% (52/88)56% (64/115)
Crosses
21% (3/14)7% (1/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.920.74
Throw-ins
1916
Fouls
1514
Tackles
43% (6/14)64% (7/11)
Duels won
5343
Clearances
2215
Interceptions
1211
Errors leading to shot
02
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
0.663.44
Goals prevented
0.66-0.56

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 23', 1 - 0, Akiyama H. ,
  • 28', 2 - 0, Maglica M. , Lopez S. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 48', 3 - 0, Hornby F. , Marseiler L. (A),
  • 59', Lidberg I. , Bialek B. ,
  • 60', 4 - 0, Bialek B. , Klefisch K. (A),
  • 63', Karaman K. , Younes A. ,
  • 63', Katic N. , Sanchez F. ,
  • 63', Sylla M. , Remmert P. ,
  • 71', Gantenbein A. , Donkor A. ,
  • 71', Schallenberg R. , Gruger M. ,
  • 76', Pfeiffer P. , Vukotic A. ,
  • 76', Klefisch K. , Papela M. ,
  • 76', Lopez S. , Bader M. ,
  • 77', Sanchez F. 🟨,
  • 80', Marseiler L. , Will P. ,

Chances of winning


Darmstadt
39.5%
Draw
29%
Schalke 04
31.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.9% 26.3% 27.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.6% 25.9% 27.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Darmstadt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Darmstadt's form might have worsened.
  • Schalke 04 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Darmstadt than the current prediction. (+7.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Darmstadt, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Schalke 04 than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
  • Darmstadt - Schalke 04 Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.36
    (2.06)
    3.27
    (3.6)
    2.93
    (3.4)
    7.1%
    (5.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Darmstadt - Schalke 04?
  • Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Darmstadt will win (votes: 8 - 40%). Schalke will win (votes: 8 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 20%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Darmstadt: 18.5%61.5%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Darmstadt (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Schalke (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DNB - Schalke (2.08) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.25 - Darmstadt (2.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Darmstadt (votes: 2 - 40%). Schalke (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Darmstadt won 3.
    • Darmstadt has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Schalke is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Darmstadt won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 18:21. (average 1.8:2.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Darmstadt won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:11. (average 1.4:2.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Darmstadt - Schalke 04 were as follows:
    24.10.2025 Schalke 04 - Darmstadt 1:0
    23.02.2025 Darmstadt - Schalke 04 2:0
    20.09.2024 Schalke 04 - Darmstadt 3:5
    Latest results of Darmstadt
    24.10.2025 Schalke 04 - Darmstadt 1:0
    19.10.2025 Darmstadt - Magdeburg 0:0
    04.10.2025 Holstein Kiel - Darmstadt 1:1
    26.09.2025 Darmstadt - Dynamo Dresden 2:0
    Latest results of Schalke 04
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/32-finals
    1EngersEintracht Frankfurt0 : 5
    2RW EssenDortmund0 : 1
    3Viktoria KolnPaderborn1 : 3
    4GrossaspachBayer Leverkusen0 : 4
    5DelmenhorstB. Monchengladbach2 : 3
    6MeuselwitzKarlsruher SC0 : 5
    7NorderstedtSt. Pauli0 : 1
    8Hansa RostockHoffenheim0 : 4
    9FC GuterslohUnion Berlin0 : 5
    10Arminia BielefeldWerder Bremen1 : 0
    11RegensburgFC Koln1 : 2
    12WehenBayern Munich2 : 3
    13CottbusHannover1 : 0
    14SandhausenRB Leipzig2 : 4
    15IllertissenNurnberg4 : 3
    16SaarbruckenMagdeburg1 : 3
    17BahlingerHeidenheim0 : 5
    18PirmasensHamburger SV1 : 2
    19HemelingenWolfsburg0 : 9
    20FC 08 HomburgHolstein Kiel0 : 2
    21HallescherAugsburg0 : 2
    22BFC DynamoBochum1 : 3
    23SG Dynamo DresdenMainz0 : 1
    24BraunschweigStuttgart4 : 5
    25Preussen MunsterHertha Berlin0 : 1
    26UlmElversberg0 : 1
    27LohneGreuther Furth0 : 2
    28RSV EintrachtKaiserslautern0 : 7
    29SchweinfurtDusseldorf2 : 4
    30LotteFreiburg0 : 2
    31LubeckDarmstadt1 : 2
    32Lokomotive LeipzigSchalke0 : 1

    1/16-finals
    1Eintracht FrankfurtDortmund1 : 2
    2PaderbornBayer Leverkusen2 : 4
    3B. MonchengladbachKarlsruher SC3 : 1
    4St. PauliHoffenheim3 : 2
    5Union BerlinArminia Bielefeld2 : 1
    6FC KolnBayern Munich1 : 4
    7CottbusRB Leipzig1 : 4
    8IllertissenMagdeburg0 : 3
    9HeidenheimHamburger SV0 : 1
    10WolfsburgHolstein Kiel0 : 1
    11AugsburgBochum0 : 1
    12MainzStuttgart0 : 2
    13Hertha BerlinElversberg3 : 0
    14Greuther FurthKaiserslautern0 : 1
    15DusseldorfFreiburg1 : 3
    16DarmstadtSchalke4 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1DortmundBayer Leverkusen0 : 1
    2B. MonchengladbachSt. Pauli1 : 2
    3Union BerlinBayern Munich2 : 3
    4RB LeipzigMagdeburg3 : 1
    5Hamburger SVHolstein Kiel1 : 2
    6BochumStuttgart0 : 2
    7Hertha BerlinKaiserslautern6 : 1
    8FreiburgDarmstadt2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Bayer LeverkusenSt. Pauli3 : 0
    2Bayern MunichRB Leipzig2 : 0
    3Holstein KielStuttgart0 : 3
    4Hertha BerlinFreiburg1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Bayer LeverkusenBayern Munich
    2StuttgartFreiburg

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2