Almería vs Eibar – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:1
01/11/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • LaLiga2 - Round 12
  • Referee: Lax S. (Esp)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDSports 6
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6, beIN Sports MENA English 2, TOD
australiaAustraliaAmazon Prime Video, beIN Connect
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 3
ecuadorEcuadorDSports 6
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, Vidio
israelIsraelONE Sport 2
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN SPORTS MAX
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSky Sports Norte
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN SPORTS MAX
portugalPortugalDAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaPrima Sport PPV 2
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 3
singaporeSingaporebeIN SPORTS MAX
south-americaSouth-americaDGO Latin America
spainSpainDAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion, LaLiga TV Bar 2, Movistar Plus+
swedenSwedenTV4 Play, TV4 Sportkanalen
thailandThailandbeIN SPORTS MAX
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 7, MEGOGO Ukraine
uruguayUruguayDSports 6

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.331.18
Ball Possession
42%58%
Total shots
1112
Shots on target
55
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
37
Passes
81% (316/392)85% (451/528)
Yellow Cards
23
Expected Goals (xG)
1.331.18
xG on target (xGOT)
1.661.20
Total shots
1112
Shots on target
55
Shots off target
45
Blocked Shots
22
Shots inside the Box
77
Shots outside the Box
45
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
11
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
37
Touches in opposition box
1522
Accurate through passes
20
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
715
Passes
81% (316/392)85% (451/528)
Long passes
45% (25/56)57% (31/54)
Passes in final third
72% (58/81)69% (99/144)
Crosses
22% (2/9)27% (7/26)
Expected assists (xA)
0.690.78
Throw-ins
1720
Fouls
157
Tackles
68% (13/19)89% (16/18)
Duels won
4550
Clearances
269
Interceptions
1611
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
42
xGOT faced
1.201.66
Goals prevented
0.20-1.34

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 0)
  • 4', Corpas J. 🟨,
  • 5', 1 - 0, Arribas S. (Pen),
  • 22', 2 - 0, Munoz A. , Melamed N. (A),
  • 33', Olaetxea L. 🟨,
  • 45+1', 3 - 0, Embarba A. , Dzodic S. (A),
  • 45+4', Lopy D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 61', Lopy D. , Gui Guedes ,
  • 64', Arbilla A. 🟨,
  • 64', Bautista J. , Javier Marton ,
  • 64', Corpas J. , Villa T. ,
  • 66', Olaetxea L. , Magunazelaia Argoitia J. ,
  • 68', Soko P. , Thalys ,
  • 68', Melamed N. , Puigmal A. ,
  • 70', 3 - 1, Arbilla A. , Villa T. (A),
  • 72', Munoz A. 🟨,
  • 74', Arbilla A. , Arambarri A. ,
  • 76', Dzodic S. , Clua S. ,
  • 76', Embarba A. , Perovic M. ,
  • 84', Rodriguez A. , Garcia H. ,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/ycxexxr4

Chances of winning


Almería
55.5%
Draw
25%
Eibar
19.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59% 23.1% 18%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.4% 22.6% 17.6%

Almería - Eibar Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.71
(1.6)
3.77
(4.09)
4.77
(5.25)
5.9%
(6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Almería - Eibar?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Almería (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Almería will win (12 of 14 users predict this - 85.71%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 67.38%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 15).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Almería won 1.
    • Almería is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • In recent matches, Eibar has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Almería is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Almería: Chumi (Ankle Injury) Horta A. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Eibar: Cubero S. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Eibar: Alvarez S. (Muscle Injury) Guruzeta J. (Injury)
    • We predict that Almería will win today's game, with odds of 1.74.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Almería won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:11. (average 1:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Almería won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Almería - Eibar were as follows:
    07.03.2025 Eibar - Almería 1:0
    22.09.2024 Almería - Eibar 2:2
    Latest results of Almería
    29.10.2025 Lorca Deportiva - Almería 0:2
    26.10.2025 Almería - Castellón 1:0
    19.10.2025 Córdoba - Almería 1:1
    11.10.2025 Almería - Zaragoza 4:2
    Latest results of Eibar
    29.10.2025 Náxara - Eibar 2:4
    25.10.2025 Eibar - Leganés 0:0
    19.10.2025 Las Palmas - Eibar 3:1
    12.10.2025 Eibar - Castellón 0:0
    03.10.2025 Ceuta - Eibar 1:0
    Spanish LaLiga2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Racing Santander19114442:271537
    2Las Palmas1997323:111234
    3Dep. La Coruna1995532:211132
    4Almeria1995535:26932
    5Castellon1994630:24631
    6Cadiz CF1986520:19130
    7Gijon1993723:23030
    8Burgos CF1985624:18629
    9Ceuta1985622:23-129
    10Malaga1975726:24226
    11Cordoba1968523:23026
    12Valladolid1966720:19124
    13Andorra1966721:26-524
    14Albacete1965825:31-623
    15Huesca1965818:24-623
    16Cultural Leonesa19721020:28-823
    17Real Sociedad B19631027:29-221
    18Eibar1956821:24-321
    19Granada CF1949621:24-321
    20Leganes1948717:20-320
    21Zaragoza19451016:30-1417
    22Mirandes19441119:31-1216

          Promotion ~ LaLiga
          Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation