Result
6:1
06/04/2026 at 10:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eerste Divisie - Round 35
- Referee: Teuben S. (Ned)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.88 | 0.93 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 42% | 58% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (262/348) | 84% (422/501) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.88 | 0.93 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 4.61 | 0.77 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 16 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 37 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (262/348) | 84% (422/501) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 47% (24/51) | 55% (29/53) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (79/113) | 67% (80/119) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 39% (7/18) | 25% (2/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.45 | 0.72 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 22 | 27 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 6 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 74% (23/31) | 70% (14/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 65 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.77 | 4.61 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.23 | -1.39 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 19', Heerkens J. ↓, el Hani A. ↑,
- 25', Schwarz R. 🟨,
- 34', Butera E. 🟨,
- 43', Pinto J. ↓, Zonneveld N. ↑,
- 45+2', 1 - 0, Tahaui A. ⚽,
- 45+4', 2 - 0, Zonneveld N. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (4 - 1)
- 46', van der Lans M. ↓, Nash P. ↑,
- 54', 3 - 0, Zonneveld N. ⚽, Bannis N. (A),
- 58', Tahaui A. ↓, Marschalk M. ↑,
- 58', Schwarz R. ↓, Ouallil Y. ↑,
- 63', O'Niel D. ↓, Wolff K. ↑,
- 63', Ouazane A. ↓, Verkuijl M. ↑,
- 69', 3 - 1, Peters T. ⚽, Abdalla M. (A),
- 69', 4 - 1, Bannis N. ⚽, Achouitar O. (A),
- 77', Hoogewerf D. ↓, Ranon Y. ↑,
- 77', Bannis N. ↓, Huth E. ↑,
- 82', 5 - 1, Zumberi V. ⚽, Marschalk M. (A),
- 82', Abdalla M. ↓, van der Vaart D. ↑,
- 90+1', 6 - 1, Marschalk M. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Vitesse
58.7% | Draw
22.2% | Jong Ajax
19% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vitesse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)Jong Ajax has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitesse than the current prediction. (+2.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jong Ajax than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
Vitesse - Jong Ajax Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.59 ↑
(1.58) |
4.22 ↓
(4.3) |
4.93 ↑
(4.59) |
7%
(8.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Vitesse - Jong Ajax?
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Vitesse (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Vitesse will win
(6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 and 19).
- Vitesse is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Jong Ajax has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, Vitesse is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Vitesse: Steffen M.
(Leg Injury)
- There will not play in Jong Ajax: Regeer Y.
(Injury)
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Vitesse won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:5. (average 1:1.7).
- Including home match between the teams, Vitesse won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Vitesse won against Jong Ajax?
Vitesse has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Jong Ajax won against Vitesse?
Jong Ajax has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vitesse - Jong Ajax were as follows:
01.12.2025
Jong Ajax
-
Vitesse
2:0
14.04.2025
Jong Ajax
-
Vitesse
1:1
21.09.2024
Vitesse
-
Jong Ajax
2:2
Latest results of Vitesse
Latest results of Jong Ajax
Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Den Haag | 38 | 29 | 2 | 7 | 90:37 | 53 | 89 |
| 2 | Cambuur | 38 | 23 | 9 | 6 | 75:48 | 27 | 78 |
| 3 | Willem II | 38 | 20 | 8 | 10 | 59:42 | 17 | 68 |
| 4 | De Graafschap | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 74:58 | 16 | 63 |
| 5 | Almere City | 38 | 18 | 4 | 16 | 78:63 | 15 | 58 |
| 6 | Waalwijk | 38 | 16 | 10 | 12 | 71:59 | 12 | 58 |
| 7 | Jong PSV | 38 | 17 | 5 | 16 | 66:64 | 2 | 56 |
| 8 | Roda | 38 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 59:54 | 5 | 55 |
| 9 | Den Bosch | 38 | 14 | 9 | 15 | 65:69 | -4 | 51 |
| 10 | Dordrecht | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 48:56 | -8 | 47 |
| 11 | Eindhoven FC | 38 | 14 | 5 | 19 | 51:69 | -18 | 47 |
| 12 | Jong Utrecht | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 58:62 | -4 | 46 |
| 13 | Venlo | 38 | 13 | 6 | 19 | 50:58 | -8 | 45 |
| 14 | FC Emmen | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 58:72 | -14 | 45 |
| 15 | Vitesse | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 64:55 | 9 | 44 |
| 16 | Oss | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 54:64 | -10 | 44 |
| 17 | Jong AZ | 38 | 12 | 4 | 22 | 61:76 | -15 | 40 |
| 18 | Helmond | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 42:62 | -20 | 39 |
| 19 | Maastricht | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 41:73 | -32 | 38 |
| 20 | Jong Ajax | 38 | 9 | 8 | 21 | 50:73 | -23 | 35 |
Promotion ~ Eredivisie
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )
