UPDF vs Lugazi Municipal – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
05/12/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League - Round 9

Match Stats

Total shots
10
Red Cards
01
Total shots
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 15', 1 - 0, Ochen E. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 47', 2 - 0, Janjali J. ,
  • 69', Wasswa P. 🟥,

Chances of winning


UPDF
53.9%
Draw
23.9%
Lugazi Municipal
22.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45% 30.3% 24.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.8% 29.8% 24.3%

UPDF - Lugazi Municipal Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.67
(2.02)
3.77
(3)
4.05
(3.68)
11%
(10%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
  • The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation ~ Big League and 12)
  • UPDF has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
  • Lugazi's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
  • Lugazi may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
  • UPDF might have a minor edge in this game.
  • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, UPDF won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).
  • Including home match between the teams, UPDF won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between UPDF - Lugazi Municipal were as follows:
11.04.2025 Lugazi Municipal - UPDF 2:2
19.09.2024 UPDF - Lugazi Municipal 1:0
Latest results of UPDF
02.12.2025 Vipers - UPDF 5:1
25.11.2025 UPDF - Villa 0:1
19.11.2025 Calvary - UPDF 0:1
06.11.2025 UPDF - Police 1:2
Latest results of Lugazi Municipal
Ugandan Super League Table
2025/26
PlWDLDiffPts
1Kampala City1072116:9723
2Villa1062215:7820
3Kitara961214:6819
4Vipers853014:41018
5Police1053218:11718
6Entebbe UPPC1052313:9417
7Express1033411:10112
8Maroons103349:9012
9URA SC1025313:13011
10NEC FC1025310:11-111
11UPDF1031611:16-510
12BUL92437:7010
13Lugazi1024410:15-510
14Buhimba1031612:26-1410
15Mbarara City91359:15-66
16Calvary90275:19-142

      Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )
      Relegation ~ Big League