Hornchurch vs Chelmsford City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:3
14/04/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • National League South - Round 32
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 5', 0 - 1, Barbrook H. ,
  • 16', 0 - 2, Crichlow K. ,
  • 33', 1 - 2, Poleon D. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 48', 2 - 2, Rees J. ,
  • 54', 3 - 2, Balanta A. ,
  • 77', 3 - 3, Barham J. ,

Chances of winning


Hornchurch
42.9%
Draw
27.3%
Chelmsford City
29.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.9% 25.7% 26.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.6% 26.6% 25.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Hornchurch has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)
  • Chelmsford City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hornchurch than the current prediction. (+6.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hornchurch, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chelmsford City than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
  • Hornchurch - Chelmsford City Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.15
    (1.92)
    3.38
    (3.58)
    3.1
    (3.48)
    8.3%
    (8.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Hornchurch - Chelmsford City?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 13).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hornchurch won 0.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Hornchurch may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Hornchurch could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Hornchurch won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 1:10. (average 0.2:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Hornchurch won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 0:6. (average 0:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Hornchurch - Chelmsford City were as follows:
    10.11.2025 Chelmsford City - Hornchurch 2:0
    18.01.2025 Chelmsford City - Hornchurch 2:1
    21.09.2024 Hornchurch - Chelmsford City 0:2
    Latest results of Hornchurch
    Latest results of Chelmsford City
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Hornchurch (2)Bye
    2Hemel Hempstead (5)Weston-super-Mare (6)1 : 2
    3Torquay (3)Bye
    4Dorking (4)Maidenhead (7)2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Hornchurch (2)Weston-super-Mare (6)2 : 0
    2Torquay (3)Dorking (4)4 : 2

    Final
    1Hornchurch (2)Torquay (3)