Result
1:1
24/09/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Nacional - Apertura - Round 10
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Honduras | Deportes TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 61% | 39% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 29', Santos L. 🟨,
- 44', Garrido L. ↓, Matute K. ↑,
- 45+1', Gabriel Araujo 🟨,
- 45+2', 1 - 0, Torres D. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Nunez D. ↓, Arzu Zapata C. I. ↑,
- 56', Nunez Ramirez H. J. ↓, Moncada W. ↑,
- 56', Perez J. ↓, Miranda J. ↑,
- 65', 1 - 1, Tejeda A. ⚽,
- 65', Santos L. ↓, Palma J. ↑,
- 73', Lacayo J. ↓, Hurtado L. ↑,
- 73', Altamirano C. ↓, Canales C. ↑,
- 77', Canales C. 🟨,
- 88', Fonseca C. ↓, Colorado J. ↑,
- 90+1', Polidoro A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Juticalpa
38.6% | Draw
30.5% | Génesis PN
30.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Juticalpa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Juticalpa's form might have worsened.Génesis PN has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juticalpa than the current prediction. (+7.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Juticalpa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Génesis PN than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
Juticalpa - Génesis PN Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.37 ↑
(2.02) |
3 ↓
(3.3) |
2.97 ↓
(3.3) |
9.2%
(10.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Apertura ~ Triangulares: ) and 9).
- Juticalpa is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Génesis has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Juticalpa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Juticalpa might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Juticalpa won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 0:5. (average 0:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Juticalpa won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1. (average 0:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Juticalpa won against Génesis PN?
Juticalpa has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Génesis PN won against Juticalpa?
Génesis PN has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Juticalpa - Génesis PN were as follows:
26.04.2025
Génesis PN
-
Juticalpa
1:0
23.02.2025
Juticalpa
-
Génesis PN
0:1
30.11.2024
Génesis PN
-
Juticalpa
3:0
21.09.2024
Juticalpa
-
Génesis PN
0:0
Latest results of Juticalpa
Latest results of Génesis PN
Honduras Liga Nacional Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Olimpia | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 26:13 | 13 | 24 |
| 2 | Marathon | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 26:11 | 15 | 23 |
| 3 | Olancho | 12 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 26:17 | 9 | 21 |
| 4 | Motagua | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 21:19 | 2 | 18 |
| 5 | UPNFM | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 18:19 | -1 | 16 |
| 6 | Platense | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 19:13 | 6 | 15 |
| 7 | Real Espana | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 16:13 | 3 | 15 |
| 8 | Juticalpa | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 15:21 | -6 | 13 |
| 9 | Genesis | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 16:22 | -6 | 9 |
| 10 | Choloma | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 12:32 | -20 | 7 |
| 11 | Victoria | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 12:27 | -15 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Apertura ~ Triangulares: )
